Henrique Rocha and Alexey Vatutin will fight against each other in the 2^nd round of the Maia Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 1:00 pm on CENTER. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Henrique Rocha who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Henrique Rocha is the pick to win this match.
Henrique Rocha -> 1.41
Alexey Vatutin -> 2.64

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Prediction and head to head Henrique Rocha vs. Alexey Vatutin

There is no head to head record between Henrique Rocha and Alexey Vatutin since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Henrique Rocha

Ranked no. 155, Rocha reached the 2^nd round after defeating Gastao Elias 5-7 6-3 6-1.

In the 1^st round against Elias, The Portuguese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-3 6-1). During the match, Rocha scored 94 points vs Elias’s 74. Henrique was exceptionally aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rocha scored just 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Henrique Rocha was pretty effective on serve to win 81% (43/53) of his 1st serve and 52% (13/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Portuguese broke Elias 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Rocha has a winning win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 58% of his matches (160-118). 16-16 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rocha has an overall71-66 win-loss record in the last 6 years on clay.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Matsuyama Challenger where he defeated Sho Shimabukuro in the final 7-5 3-6 6-2.

Henrique has an aggregate 34-28 win-loss record in 2025, 16-16 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Maia Challenger

Alexey Vatutin

Ranked no. 413, Alexey reached the 2^nd round after defeating Tomas Antonio Serrano Luis 6-2 6-3, Carlos Lopez Montagud 5-7 6-3 6-3 and Franco Agamenone 2-6 6-1 7-5.

In the 1^st round against Agamenone, Alexey recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-1 7-5). During the match Vatutin scored 90 points vs Agamenone’s 83. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about serving, Vatutin fired 2 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Alexey Vatutin lost the serve 5 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Vatutin put 53% of his first serves in, winning 64% (27/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (17/38) on the 2nd serve. Alexey broke Agamenone 7 times after converting 78% of his break points (7/9).

Vatutin’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in M25 Koszalin and M25 Poznan.

Alexey has an overall 40-30 win-loss record in 2025, 27-16 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Maia Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2020. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rocha	Vatutin
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	3	5
Tot Games	28	44
Pts	94-74	153-130
Total Points	168	283
Winners	43	50
%Winners	46%	33%

Rocha played 1 match while Vatutin competed in 2 matches. Vatutin started his run from the qualifications while Rocha had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Henrique Rocha dropped 1 set, while Alexey Vatutin conceded 1 set. Rocha has played 2 set(s) less than Vatutin (3 vs 5). Therefore, Rocha played 16 games less than Vatutin. Henrique scored 43 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Alexey fired 50 winners (33%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rocha	Vatutin
Aces	1	5
Avg per match	1	2.5
1st in	53/78	74/129
%1st in	68%	57%
1st pts	43/53	50/74
%1st pts	81%	68%
2nd pts	13/25	23/55
%2nd pts	52%	42%

Rocha managed to score 1 ace . Vatutin also scored 5 aces (2.5 per match). Rocha won 81% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Vatutin won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 42% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rocha	Vatutin
Won	4	13
Converted	4/8	13/20
% Converted	50%	65%
Conceded	4	10
Saved	3	3
% Saved	75%	30%
Times Broken	1	7

Rocha broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Portuguese dropped his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The Russian broke his opponents 13 times with a 65% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 30% of the break points that he conceded.

Rocha
	R1 Elias	Total
Score	5-7 6-3 6-1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	28	28
pts	94-74	94-74
Total points	168	168
Winners	43	43
%Winners	46%	46%
SERVE
Aces	1	1
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	53/78	53/78
% 1st in	68%	68%
1st pts	43/53	43/53
% 1st pts	81%	81%
2nd pts	13/25	13/25
% 2nd pts	52%	52%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/8	4/8
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	3/4	3
Saved %	75%	75%
Times Broken	1	1

Vatutin
	Q1 Antonio Serrano Luis	Q3 Lopez	R1 Agamenone	Total
Score	6-2 6-3	5-7 6-3 6-3	2-6 6-1 7-5
Tot Set	2	3	3	8
Tot Games	17	30	27	74
pts	63-47	–	90-83	153-130
Total points	110	0	173	283
Winners	23		27	50
%Winners	37%	0%	30%	33%
SERVE
Aces	3	0	2	5
Double Faults	5		5	10
1st in	32/49	/	42/80	74/129
% 1st in	65%	0%	53%	57%
1st pts	23/32	/	27/42	50/74
% 1st pts	72%	0%	64%	68%
2nd pts	6/17	/	17/38	23/55
% 2nd pts	35%	0%	45%	42%
Breaks
Won	6		7	13
Converted	6/11	/	7/9	13/20
Converted %	55%	0%	78%	65%
Conceded	3		7	10
Saved	1/3	0/	2/7	3
Saved %	33%	–	29%	62%
Times Broken	2		5	7

Tennis Scores in Maia Challenger

• Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva (6-2 4-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino – Andrej MartinMartin (3-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alexey VatutinVatutin – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux – Carlos Lopez MontagudLopez Montagud (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Miguel DamasDamas – Lilian MarmousezMarmousez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Carlos Sanchez JoverSanchez Jover – Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu (0-0) – H2H and prediction