Elmer Moller and Daniel Michalski will square off in the 2^nd round of the Maia Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 1:30 pm on COURT 4. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elmer Moller who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elmer Moller is the pick to win this match.
Elmer Moller -> 1.42
Daniel Michalski -> 2.61

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Prediction and head to head Elmer Moller vs. Daniel Michalski

There is no head to head record between Elmer Moller and Daniel Michalski since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Elmer Moller

Ranked no. 147, the Dane got to the 2^nd round after beating Pedro Araujo 6-4 6-4.

In the 1^st round, Moller had a good straight sets win against Araujo (6-4 6-4). During the match, Moller scored 73 points vs Araujo’s 64. Elmer was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Regarding the service games, Moller couldn’t to score even 1 ace during the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Elmer Moller lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Moller put 67% of his first serves in, winning 68% (27/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 35% (7/20) on the 2nd serve. Moller broke Araujo 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).

Moller has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 65% of his matches (182-98). 27-17 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Moller has an aggregate124-57 record in the last 6 years on clay.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Oeiras 4 Challenger where he overcame Francisco Comesana in the final 6-0 6-4 and the Iasi Challenger where he defeated Titouan Droguet in the final 3-6 6-1 7-6(2).

Moller has an aggregate 30-26 win-loss record in 2025, 27-17 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Maia Challenger

Daniel Michalski

Ranked no. 258, Michalski reached the 2^nd round after beating Tomas Curras Abasolo 3-6 6-4 6-4.

In the 1^st round against Curras Abasolo, Daniel recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-4).During the match Michalski scored less points (2) than Curras Abasolo. In fact, the world no. 147 won 100 points vs Curras Abasolo’s. That means that Michalski was more focused during the important points. Daniel was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about serving, Michalski bagged 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Daniel Michalski lost the serve 8 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Michalski put 48% of his first serves in, winning 58% (25/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 36% (17/47) on the 2nd serve. Daniel broke Curras Abasolo 8 times after converting 44% of his break points (8/18).

Michalski’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Antalya and M25 Santa Margherita di Pula.

Michalski has an aggregate 52-29 win-loss record in 2025, 47-26 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Maia Challenger

Daniel has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Moller	Michalski
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	3
Tot Games	20	29
Pts	73-64	100-102
Total Points	137	202
Winners	27	25
%Winners	37%	25%

Both Moller and Michalski played 1 match. At the moment, Daniel Michalski lost 1 set while Elmer Moller hasn’t conceded a set so far. Moller has played 1 set(s) less than Michalski (2 vs 3). Therefore, Moller played 9 games less than Michalski. Elmer scored 27 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Pole scored 25 winners (25%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Moller	Michalski
Aces	0	3
Avg per match	0	3
1st in	40/60	43/90
%1st in	67%	48%
1st pts	27/40	25/43
%1st pts	68%	58%
2nd pts	7/20	17/47
%2nd pts	35%	36%

Moller didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Michalski struck 3 aces . Moller won 68% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 35% of the points. On the other side, Michalski won 58% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 36% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Moller	Michalski
Won	5	8
Converted	5/13	8/18
% Converted	38%	44%
Conceded	5	11
Saved	2	3
% Saved	40%	27%
Times Broken	3	8

Elmer broke his opponent 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. Moller dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded. Michalski broke his opponent 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Pole conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 27% of the break points that he conceded.

Moller
	R1 Araujo	Total
Score	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	20	20
pts	73-64	73-64
Total points	137	137
Winners	27	27
%Winners	37%	37%
SERVE
Aces	0	0
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	40/60	40/60
% 1st in	67%	67%
1st pts	27/40	27/40
% 1st pts	68%	68%
2nd pts	7/20	7/20
% 2nd pts	35%	35%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/13	5/13
Converted %	38%	38%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	2/5	2
Saved %	40%	40%
Times Broken	3	3

Michalski
	R1 Curras	Total
Score	3-6 6-4 6-4
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	29	29
pts	100-102	100-102
Total points	202	202
Winners	25	25
%Winners	25%	25%
SERVE
Aces	3	3
Double Faults	4	4
1st in	43/90	43/90
% 1st in	48%	48%
1st pts	25/43	25/43
% 1st pts	58%	58%
2nd pts	17/47	17/47
% 2nd pts	36%	36%
Breaks
Won	8	8
Converted	8/18	8/18
Converted %	44%	44%
Conceded	11	11
Saved	3/11	3
Saved %	27%	27%
Times Broken	8	8

Tennis Scores in Maia Challenger

• Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva (6-2 4-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings

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