Daniel Merida Aguilar and Andres Santamarta Roig will face off in the 2^nd round of the Maia Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:30 pm on COURT 5. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniel Merida Aguilar who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniel Merida Aguilar is the pick to win this match.
Daniel Merida Aguilar -> 1.31
Andres Santamarta Roig -> 3.08

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Prediction and head to head Daniel Merida Aguilar vs. Andres Santamarta Roig

There is no head to head record between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Andres Santamarta Roig since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Ranked no. 170, Merida Aguilar reached the 2^nd round after beating Gianluca Cadenasso 6-4 6-4.

In the 1^st round, Daniel had a good straight sets win against Cadenasso (6-4 6-4). During the match, Merida Aguilar scored 87 points vs Cadenasso’s 76. Merida Aguilar was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Regarding the service games, Merida Aguilar scored just 1 ace in the course of the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Daniel Merida Aguilar lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Merida Aguilar put 70% of his first serves in, winning 71% (40/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (11/24) on the 2nd serve. Merida Aguilar broke Cadenasso 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Merida Aguilar has a winning match record in the last 6 years having won 58% of his matches (184-131). 33-15 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Merida Aguilar has a compiled126-84 match record in the last 6 years on clay.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Pozoblanco Challenger where he overcame Fajing Sun in the final 6-3 6-4.

The Spaniard has a compiled 48-24 win-loss record in 2025, 33-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Maia Challenger

Andres Santamarta Roig

Ranked no. 674, the Spaniard got to the 2^nd round after defeating Raul Brancaccio 6-4 3-6 4-1 ret., Stefan Palosi 4-6 6-1 6-2 and Francisco Rocha 6-4 6-4.

In the 1^st round, Andres had a good straight sets win against Rocha (6-4 6-4). During the match Santamarta Roig scored 66 points vs Rocha’s 57. Andres was exceptionally aggressive to blast 23 winners.

About the serving games, Santamarta Roig scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Andres Santamarta Roig lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Santamarta Roig put 64% of his first serves in, winning 62% (23/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (10/21) on the 2nd serve. Santamarta Roig broke Rocha 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).

Andres’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in M25 Tarragona.

Andres has a compiled 26-19 win-loss record in 2025, 26-19 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Maia Challenger

Santamarta Roig has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Merida Aguilar	Santamarta Roig
Match played	1	3
Tot Set	2	9
Tot Games	20	69
Pts	87-76	233-194
Total Points	163	427
Winners	40	102
%Winners	46%	44%

Merida Aguilar played 1 match while Santamarta Roig competed in 3 matches. Santamarta Roig started his run from the qualifications while Merida Aguilar had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Andres Santamarta Roig conceded 2 sets while Daniel Merida Aguilar hasn’t lost a set so far. Merida Aguilar has played 7 set(s) less than Santamarta Roig (2 vs 9). Therefore, Merida Aguilar played 49 games less than Santamarta Roig. Merida Aguilar scored 40 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Andres struck 102 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Merida Aguilar	Santamarta Roig
Aces	1	3
Avg per match	1	1
1st in	56/80	149/206
%1st in	70%	72%
1st pts	40/56	102/149
%1st pts	71%	68%
2nd pts	11/24	29/57
%2nd pts	46%	51%

Merida Aguilar made 1 ace . Santamarta Roig also made 3 aces (1 per match). Merida Aguilar won 71% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Santamarta Roig won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Merida Aguilar	Santamarta Roig
Won	3	14
Converted	3/9	14/37
% Converted	33%	38%
Conceded	5	23
Saved	4	15
% Saved	80%	65%
Times Broken	1	8

The Spaniard broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Spaniard surrendered his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Andres broke his opponents 14 times with a 38% conversion rate. Santamarta Roig conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.

Merida Aguilar
	R1 Cadenasso	Total
Score	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	20	20
pts	87-76	87-76
Total points	163	163
Winners	40	40
%Winners	46%	46%
SERVE
Aces	1	1
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	56/80	56/80
% 1st in	70%	70%
1st pts	40/56	40/56
% 1st pts	71%	71%
2nd pts	11/24	11/24
% 2nd pts	46%	46%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/9	3/9
Converted %	33%	33%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	4/5	4
Saved %	80%	80%
Times Broken	1	1

Santamarta Roig
	Q1 Brancaccio	Q3 Palosi	R1 Rocha	Total
Score	6-4 3-6 4-1 ret.	4-6 6-1 6-2	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	3	3	2	8
Tot Games	24	25	20	69
pts	74-72	93-65	66-57	233-194
Total points	146	158	123	427
Winners	33	46	23	102
%Winners	45%	49%	35%	44%
SERVE
Aces	1	1	1	3
Double Faults	0	2	1	3
1st in	48/67	64/81	37/58	149/206
% 1st in	72%	79%	64%	72%
1st pts	33/48	46/64	23/37	102/149
% 1st pts	69%	72%	62%	68%
2nd pts	9/19	10/17	10/21	29/57
% 2nd pts	47%	59%	48%	51%
Breaks
Won	4	5	5	14
Converted	4/14	5/14	5/9	14/37
Converted %	29%	36%	56%	38%
Conceded	7	11	5	23
Saved	4/7	9/11	2/5	15
Saved %	57%	82%	40%	179%
Times Broken	3	2	3	8

Tennis Scores in Maia Challenger

• Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva (6-2 4-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings

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