Karl Poling and Juan Sebastian Gomez will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Bogota Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 10:00 am on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karl Poling who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Karl Poling is the pick to win this match.
Karl Poling -> 1.68
Juan Sebastian Gomez -> 2.03
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Prediction and head to head Karl Poling vs. Juan Sebastian Gomez
There is no head to head record between Karl Poling and Juan Sebastian Gomez since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Karl Poling
33 - 34win/loss
606
542
LWWWLWWLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-34 | 13-17 | 12-9 | 8-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 22-15 | 17-10 | 0-1 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 10-6 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 621, the American reached the 2nd round after defeating Davide Pontoglio 6-7(4) 6-2 6-4, Juan Sebastian Osorio 7-6(4) 6-3 and Dmitry Popko 3-6 4-1 ret..
In the 1st round against Popko, Poling had a free pass after Popko retired on a 3-6 4-1 . scoreline.
Poling has a winning win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 54% of his matches (70-59). 12-8 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Poling has a compiled14-10 win-loss record in the last 5 years on clay.
The American’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Bastad.
The American has an overall 33-33 win-loss record in 2025, 12-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Bogota Challenger
Karl has never competed in this tournament before.
Juan Sebastian Gomez
13 - 11win/loss
589
469
LWWWWWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-12 | 4-2 | 11-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 18-11 | 4-2 | 14-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-15 | 1-3 | 12-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 17-19 | 11-11 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-13 | 15-8 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 898, Sebastian Gomez reached the 2nd round after defeating Drew Van Orderlain 6-1 6-7(5) 6-1, Gerard Campana Lee 6-4 6-3 and Samuel Heredia 6-1 7-5.
In the 1st round, Sebastian Gomez had a good straight sets win against Heredia (6-1 7-5). During the match Sebastian Gomez scored 70 points vs Heredia’s 56. The Colombian was pretty aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about serving, Sebastian Gomez blasted 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Juan Sebastian Gomez lost the serve 3 times. Furthermore, Sebastian Gomez put 64% of his first serves in, winning 58% (21/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the 2nd serve. The Colombian broke Heredia 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).
The Colombian’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in M15 Valledupar.
Juan has a compiled 12-11 win-loss record in 2025, 8-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Bogota Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2017. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Poling | Sebastian Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 67 | 65 |
| Pts | 236-213 | 240-192 |
| Total Points | 449 | 432 |
| Winners | 106 | 96 |
| %Winners | 45% | 40% |
Both Poling and Sebastian Gomez played 3 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Karl Poling surrendered 2 sets, while Juan Sebastian Gomez surrendered 1 set. Poling has played 1 set more than Sebastian Gomez (8 vs 7). Therefore, Poling played 2 games more than Sebastian Gomez. Karl scored 106 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Juan bagged 96 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Poling | Sebastian Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 20 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 6.7 | 4.3 |
| 1st in | 148/231 | 142/205 |
| %1st in | 64% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 106/148 | 96/142 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 41/83 | 34/63 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 54% |
Poling struck 20 aces (6.7 per match). Sebastian Gomez bagged 13 aces (4.3 per match). Poling won 72% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Sebastian Gomez won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Poling | Sebastian Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 16 |
| Converted | 9/22 | 16/33 |
| % Converted | 41% | 48% |
| Conceded | 24 | 18 |
| Saved | 19 | 12 |
| % Saved | 79% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 6 |
Karl broke his opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. Karl lost his serve 5 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded. Juan broke his opponents 16 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Colombian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Poling | |||||
| Q1 Pontoglio |
Q3 Sebastian Osorio |
R1 Popko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-74 6-2 6-4 | 7-64 6-3 | 3-6 4-1 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 22 | 14 | 67 | |
| pts | 108-97 | 86-77 | 42-39 | 236-213 | |
| Total points | 205 | 163 | 81 | 449 | |
| Winners | 62 | 29 | 15 | 106 | |
| %Winners | 57% | 34% | 36% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | 2 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 88/112 | 40/82 | 20/37 | 148/231 | |
| % 1st in | 79% | 49% | 54% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 62/88 | 29/40 | 15/20 | 106/148 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 73% | 75% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/24 | 24/42 | 8/17 | 41/83 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 57% | 47% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 2/9 | 2/6 | 9/22 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 22% | 33% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 6 | 4 | 24 | |
| Saved | 12/14 | 5/6 | 2/4 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 83% | 50% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| Sebastian Gomez | |||||
| Q1 Van Orderlain |
Q3 Campana Lee |
R1 Heredia |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-75 6-1 | 6-4 6-3 | 6-1 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 19 | 19 | 65 | |
| pts | 100-81 | 70-55 | 70-56 | 240-192 | |
| Total points | 181 | 125 | 126 | 432 | |
| Winners | 49 | 26 | 21 | 96 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 37% | 30% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 2 | 3 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 71/98 | 35/51 | 36/56 | 142/205 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 69% | 64% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 49/71 | 26/35 | 21/36 | 96/142 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 74% | 58% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/27 | 10/16 | 11/20 | 34/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 63% | 55% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 4/13 | 6/12 | 16/33 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 31% | 50% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 3 | 3 | 18 | |
| Saved | 10/12 | 2/3 | 0/3 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 67% | 0% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWWLLL
LWWWWWWLWW Tennis Scores in Bogota Challenger
- Murkel DellienDellien – Peter BertranBertran (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich – Tristan MccormickMccormick (6-1 3-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Facundo MenaMena – Maxwell MckennonMckennon (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nicolas BarrientosBarrientos – Juan Alejandro HernandezAlejandro Hernandez (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- David Jorda SanchisJorda Sanchis – Stefan KozlovKozlov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Murkel Alejandro Dellien VelascoAlejandro Dellien Velasco – Facundo MenaMena (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich – Nicolas BarrientosBarrientos (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Santiago Fa Rodriguez TavernaFa Rodriguez Taverna – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (1-5) – H2H and prediction
- Karl PolingPoling – Juan Sebastian GomezSebastian Gomez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex MartinezMartinez – Nicolas MejiaMejia (0-1) – H2H and prediction
