Toby Samuel and Semen Pankin will square off in the 2^nd round of the Manama 2 Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:00 am on COURT 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Toby Samuel who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Toby Samuel is the pick to win this match.
Toby Samuel -> 1.26
Semen Pankin -> 3.4

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Prediction and head to head Toby Samuel vs. Semen Pankin

There is no head to head record between Toby Samuel and Semen Pankin since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Toby Samuel

Ranked no. 329 (career-high), Samuel reached the 2^nd round after defeating Colin Sinclair 6-3 6-0.

In the 1^st round, Samuel had a good straight sets win against Sinclair (6-3 6-0). During the match, Samuel scored 58 points vs Sinclair’s 28. Toby was very aggressive to blast 16 winners.

Regarding the service games, Samuel made 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Toby Samuel was exceptionally effective on serve to win 89% (16/18) of his 1st serve and 81% (17/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Toby broke Sinclair 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Samuel has a fantastic match record in the last 5 years having won 73% of his matches (99-37). 45-11 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Samuel has an aggregate64-17 win-loss record in the last 5 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Soma Bay Challenger where he overcame Jay Clarke in the final 4-6 7-6(4) 6-0.

The Brit has an aggregate 53-16 win-loss record in 2025, 45-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Manama 2 Challenger

The Brit has never competed in this tournament before.

Semen Pankin

Ranked no. 746, Semen reached the 2^nd round after defeating Yusuf Qaed 6-1 6-2, Colin Sinclair 6-4 6-4 and Olaf Pieczkowski 6-4 7-6(5).

In the 1^st round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Pieczkowski (6-4 7-6⁵). During the match Pankin scored 91 points vs Pieczkowski’s 84. Pankin was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about serving, Pankin scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 5 double faults. Semen Pankin lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Pankin put 52% of his first serves in, winning 82% (32/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (18/36) on the 2nd serve. Semen broke Pieczkowski twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).

The Russian’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Kayseri.

Pankin has an overall 39-21 win-loss record in 2025, 24-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Samuel	Pankin
Match played	1	3
Tot Set	2	6
Tot Games	15	58
Pts	58-28	213-169
Total Points	86	382
Winners	16	70
%Winners	28%	33%

Samuel played 1 match while Pankin competed in 3 matches. Pankin started his run from the qualifications while Samuel had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Samuel has played 4 set(s) less than Pankin (2 vs 6). Therefore, Samuel played 43 games less than Pankin. Toby scored 16 winners (28% of the total points). On the other side, Pankin recorded 70 winners (33%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Samuel	Pankin
Aces	3	7
Avg per match	3	2.3
1st in	18/39	89/174
%1st in	46%	51%
1st pts	16/18	70/89
%1st pts	89%	79%
2nd pts	17/21	50/85
%2nd pts	81%	59%

Samuel bagged 3 aces . Pankin managed to score 7 aces (2.3 per match). Samuel won 89% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 81% of the points. On the other side, Pankin won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Samuel	Pankin
Won	4	10
Converted	4/8	10/21
% Converted	50%	48%
Conceded	0	8
Saved	0	5
% Saved	0%	63%
Times Broken	0	3

Samuel broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Toby was rock solid on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. Pankin broke his opponents 10 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.

Samuel
	R1 Sinclair	Total
Score	6-3 6-0
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	15	15
pts	58-28	58-28
Total points	86	86
Winners	16	16
%Winners	28%	28%
SERVE
Aces	3	3
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	18/39	18/39
% 1st in	46%	46%
1st pts	16/18	16/18
% 1st pts	89%	89%
2nd pts	17/21	17/21
% 2nd pts	81%	81%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/8	4/8
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	0	0
Saved	0/0	0
Saved %	–	0%
Times Broken	0	0

Pankin
	Q1 Ebrahim Ahmed Abdulla Qaed	Q3 Sinclair	R1 Pieczkowski	Total
Score	6-1 6-2	6-4 6-4	6-4 7-65
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	15	20	23	58
pts	61-34	61-51	91-84	213-169
Total points	95	112	175	382
Winners	15	23	32	70
%Winners	25%	38%	35%	33%
SERVE
Aces	3	3	1	7
Double Faults	6	2	5	13
1st in	17/43	33/56	39/75	89/174
% 1st in	40%	59%	52%	51%
1st pts	15/17	23/33	32/39	70/89
% 1st pts	88%	70%	82%	79%
2nd pts	16/26	16/23	18/36	50/85
% 2nd pts	62%	70%	50%	59%
Breaks
Won	5	3	2	10
Converted	5/8	3/3	2/10	10/21
Converted %	63%	100%	20%	48%
Conceded	2	2	4	8
Saved	1/2	1/2	3/4	5
Saved %	50%	50%	75%	175%
Times Broken	1	1	1	3

Tennis Scores in Manama 2 Challenger

• Matisse BobichonBobichon – Fares ZakariaZakaria (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ivan Marrero CurbeloMarrero Curbelo – Vladislav MelnicMelnic (3-6 7-6⁶ 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ilia SimakinSimakin – Eero VasaVasa (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alexander RitschardRitschard – Dominik KellovskyKellovsky (3-6 6-1 7-6⁵) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Mirza BasicBasic – Mathys ErhardErhard (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ivan Marrero CurbeloMarrero Curbelo – (0-0) – H2H and prediction