Mert Alkaya and Gian Luca Tanner will fight against each other in the 2^nd round of the Islamabad Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 12:30 pm on COURT 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mert Alkaya who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mert Alkaya is the pick to win this match.
Mert Alkaya -> 1.49
Gian Luca Tanner -> 2.4

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Mert Alkaya vs. Gian Luca Tanner

There is no head to head record between Mert Alkaya and Gian Luca Tanner since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Mert Alkaya

Ranked no. 473, Alkaya reached the 2^nd round after defeating Samir Iftikhar 6-2 6-2.

In the 1^st round, The Turk had a good straight sets win against Iftikhar (6-2 6-2). During the match, Alkaya scored 58 points vs Iftikhar’s 38. The Turk was exceptionally aggressive to blast 18 winners.

Talking about the service games, Alkaya fired 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Mert Alkaya was exceptionally effective on serve to win 78% (18/23) of his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Turk broke Iftikhar 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).

Alkaya has a winning match record in the last 9 years having won 58% of his matches (163-120). 52-23 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alkaya has a compiled85-39 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.

Mert’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Monastir and M15 Turku.

Alkaya has an overall 52-23 win-loss record in 2025, 52-23 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Islamabad Challenger

The Turk has never competed in this tournament before.

Gian Luca Tanner

Ranked no. 859 (career-high), Gian reached the 2^nd round after beating Alexey Aleshchev 6-1 6-3.

In the 1^st round, Gian had a good straight sets win against Aleshchev (6-1 6-3). During the match Luca scored 67 points vs Aleshchev’s 45. Gian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Talking about serving, Luca bagged 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Gian Luca Tanner was quite efficient on serve to win 72% (21/29) of his 1st serve and 68% (15/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Luca broke Aleshchev 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Gian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Sharm ElSheikh.

Luca has a compiled 28-12 win-loss record in 2025, 11-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Alkaya	Luca
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	16	16
Pts	58-38	67-45
Total Points	96	112
Winners	18	21
%Winners	31%	31%

Both Alkaya and Luca played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Alkaya and Luca have played the same amount of sets 2. They also played the same amount of games (16). The Turk scored 18 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, Gian blasted 21 winners (31%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Alkaya	Luca
Aces	2	2
Avg per match	2	2
1st in	23/46	29/51
%1st in	50%	57%
1st pts	18/23	21/29
%1st pts	78%	72%
2nd pts	13/23	15/22
%2nd pts	57%	68%

Alkaya bagged 2 aces . Luca struck 2 aces . Alkaya won 78% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Luca won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Alkaya	Luca
Won	5	4
Converted	5/11	4/8
% Converted	45%	50%
Conceded	3	2
Saved	2	2
% Saved	67%	100%
Times Broken	1	0

Mert broke his opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Turk lost his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Swiss broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Swiss was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.

Alkaya
	R1 Iftikhar	Total
Score	6-2 6-2
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	16	16
pts	58-38	58-38
Total points	96	96
Winners	18	18
%Winners	31%	31%
SERVE
Aces	2	2
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	23/46	23/46
% 1st in	50%	50%
1st pts	18/23	18/23
% 1st pts	78%	78%
2nd pts	13/23	13/23
% 2nd pts	57%	57%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/11	5/11
Converted %	45%	45%
Conceded	3	3
Saved	2/3	2
Saved %	67%	67%
Times Broken	1	1

Luca
	R1 Aleshchev	Total
Score	6-1 6-3
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	16	16
pts	67-45	67-45
Total points	112	112
Winners	21	21
%Winners	31%	31%
SERVE
Aces	2	2
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	29/51	29/51
% 1st in	57%	57%
1st pts	21/29	21/29
% 1st pts	72%	72%
2nd pts	15/22	15/22
% 2nd pts	68%	68%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/8	4/8
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	2/2	2
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Tennis Scores in Islamabad Challenger

• Jay ClarkeClarke – Dinko DinevDinev (6-2 6-7¹ 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Dominik PalanPalan – Leonardo BorrelliBorrelli (7-6⁶ 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Zach StephensStephens – Nikita BilozertsevBilozertsev (4-6 7-6² 5-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Vadym UrsuUrsu – Timofei DerepaskoDerepasko (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Muzammil MurtazaMurtaza (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elias YmerYmer – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Johan NiklesNikles – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Vadym UrsuUrsu – Jay ClarkeClarke (0-0) – H2H and prediction