Mert Alkaya and Gian Luca Tanner will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Islamabad Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 12:30 pm on COURT 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mert Alkaya who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mert Alkaya is the pick to win this match.
Mert Alkaya -> 1.49
Gian Luca Tanner -> 2.4
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Mert Alkaya vs. Gian Luca Tanner
There is no head to head record between Mert Alkaya and Gian Luca Tanner since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Mert Alkaya
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 55-24 | 55-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-21 | 20-7 | 15-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-17 | 10-5 | 21-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 473, Alkaya reached the 2nd round after defeating Samir Iftikhar 6-2 6-2.
In the 1st round, The Turk had a good straight sets win against Iftikhar (6-2 6-2). During the match, Alkaya scored 58 points vs Iftikhar’s 38. The Turk was exceptionally aggressive to blast 18 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alkaya fired 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Mert Alkaya was exceptionally effective on serve to win 78% (18/23) of his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Turk broke Iftikhar 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Alkaya has a winning match record in the last 9 years having won 58% of his matches (163-120). 52-23 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alkaya has a compiled85-39 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
Mert’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Monastir and M15 Turku.
Alkaya has an overall 52-23 win-loss record in 2025, 52-23 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Islamabad Challenger
The Turk has never competed in this tournament before.
Gian Luca Tanner
28 - 12win/loss
826
826
LWLLWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 28-13 | 11-4 | 16-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 17-13 | 5-6 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-21 | 12-7 | 8-13 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 859 (career-high), Gian reached the 2nd round after beating Alexey Aleshchev 6-1 6-3.
In the 1st round, Gian had a good straight sets win against Aleshchev (6-1 6-3). During the match Luca scored 67 points vs Aleshchev’s 45. Gian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about serving, Luca bagged 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Gian Luca Tanner was quite efficient on serve to win 72% (21/29) of his 1st serve and 68% (15/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Luca broke Aleshchev 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Gian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Sharm ElSheikh.
Luca has a compiled 28-12 win-loss record in 2025, 11-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alkaya | Luca |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 |
| Pts | 58-38 | 67-45 |
| Total Points | 96 | 112 |
| Winners | 18 | 21 |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% |
Both Alkaya and Luca played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Alkaya and Luca have played the same amount of sets 2. They also played the same amount of games (16). The Turk scored 18 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, Gian blasted 21 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alkaya | Luca |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 2 |
| 1st in | 23/46 | 29/51 |
| %1st in | 50% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 18/23 | 21/29 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 13/23 | 15/22 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 68% |
Alkaya bagged 2 aces . Luca struck 2 aces . Alkaya won 78% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Luca won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alkaya | Luca |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 4 |
| Converted | 5/11 | 4/8 |
| % Converted | 45% | 50% |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 |
| Saved | 2 | 2 |
| % Saved | 67% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
Mert broke his opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Turk lost his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Swiss broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Swiss was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.
| Alkaya | |||
| R1 Iftikhar |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 58-38 | 58-38 | |
| Total points | 96 | 96 | |
| Winners | 18 | 18 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 23/46 | 23/46 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 18/23 | 18/23 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/23 | 13/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/11 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Luca | |||
| R1 Aleshchev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 67-45 | 67-45 | |
| Total points | 112 | 112 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 29/51 | 29/51 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 21/29 | 21/29 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/22 | 15/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLLWWW
LWLLWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Islamabad Challenger
- Jay ClarkeClarke – Dinko DinevDinev (6-2 6-71 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Dominik PalanPalan – Leonardo BorrelliBorrelli (7-66 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Zach StephensStephens – Nikita BilozertsevBilozertsev (4-6 7-62 5-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Vadym UrsuUrsu – Timofei DerepaskoDerepasko (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Muzammil MurtazaMurtaza (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elias YmerYmer – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Johan NiklesNikles – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Vadym UrsuUrsu – Jay ClarkeClarke (0-0) – H2H and prediction
