James Duckworth and Hayato Matsuoka will play each other in the final of the Sydney Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:30 pm on COURT 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is James Duckworth who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, James Duckworth is the pick to win this match.
James Duckworth -> 1.114
Hayato Matsuoka -> 5.3

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Prediction and head to head James Duckworth vs. Hayato Matsuoka

There is no head to head record between James Duckworth and Hayato Matsuoka since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

James Duckworth

Ranked no. 106, the Australian reached the final after beating Moerani Bouzige 6-4 6-1, Matthew Dellavedova 6-3 6-0, Dane Sweeny 6-2 6-3 and Jason Murray Kubler 7-5 6-2.

In the semifinal, James had a good straight sets win against Murray Kubler (7-5 6-2). During the match, Duckworth scored 76 points vs Murray Kubler’s 61. James was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Duckworth bagged 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. James Duckworth was extremely efficient on serve to win 80% (32/40) of his 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Duckworth broke Murray Kubler 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Australian hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 59% of the points he played.

Duckworth has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (320-211). 21-19 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Duckworth has an overall 218-125 record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the San Luis Potosi Challenger where he overcame Max Wiskandt in the final 6-1 6-1.

James has an overall 42-33 win-loss record in 2025, 21-19 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Sydney Challenger

Hayato Matsuoka

Ranked no. 483 (career-high), the Japanese reached the final after beating Daniel Jovanovski 7-6(6) 6-7(6) 6-4, Taiyo Yamanaka 6-3 7-5, Bernard Tomic 6-4 ret., Cruz Hewitt 5-7 6-3 7-5, Tai Sach 4-6 7-5 6-1 and James McCabe 7-5 6-4.

In the semifinal, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against McCabe (7-5 6-4). During the match Matsuoka scored 75 points vs McCabe’s 67. Hayato was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.

About the serving games, Matsuoka managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Hayato Matsuoka was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 74% (32/43) of his 1st serve and 59% (13/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Japanese broke McCabe 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Hayato started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Hayato’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in M15 Torello,M25 Les Franqueses del Valles,M25 Huzhou,the Brisbane 3 Challenger and the Sydney Challenger.

Hayato has a composed 38-28 win-loss record in 2025, 31-21 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Sydney Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Duckworth	Matsuoka
Match played	4	6
Tot Set	8	15
Tot Games	69	151
Pts	249-173	526-465
Total Points	422	991
Winners	110	230
%Winners	44%	44%

Duckworth played 4 matches while Matsuoka competed in 6 matches. Matsuoka started his run from the qualifications while Duckworth had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Hayato Matsuoka surrendered 3 sets while James Duckworth hasn’t lost a set so far. Duckworth has played 7 set(s) less than Matsuoka (8 vs 15). Therefore, Duckworth played 82 games less than Matsuoka. James scored 110 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Matsuoka made 230 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Duckworth	Matsuoka
Aces	31	47
Avg per match	7.8	7.8
1st in	132/213	316/477
%1st in	62%	66%
1st pts	110/132	230/316
%1st pts	83%	73%
2nd pts	47/81	81/161
%2nd pts	58%	50%

Duckworth bagged 31 aces (7.8 per match). Matsuoka bagged 47 aces (7.8 per match). Duckworth won 83% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Matsuoka won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Duckworth	Matsuoka
Won	13	23
Converted	13/21	23/58
% Converted	62%	40%
Conceded	7	39
Saved	7	26
% Saved	100%	67%
Times Broken	0	13

James broke his opponents 13 times with a 62% conversion rate. James pretty effective on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 7 break points. Matsuoka broke his opponents 23 times with a 40% conversion rate. Matsuoka conceded his serve 13 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Duckworth
	R1 Bouzige	R2 Dellavedova	1/4 Sweeny	1/2 Murray Kubler	Total
Score	6-4 6-1	6-3 6-0	6-2 6-3	7-5 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	17	15	17	20	69
pts	59-34	54-31	60-47	76-61	249-173
Total points	93	85	107	137	422
Winners	26	26	26	32	110
%Winners	44%	48%	43%	42%	44%
SERVE
Aces	8	6	8	9	31
Double Faults	1	0	0	3	4
1st in	29/42	32/48	31/56	40/67	132/213
% 1st in	69%	67%	55%	60%	62%
1st pts	26/29	26/32	26/31	32/40	110/132
% 1st pts	90%	81%	84%	80%	83%
2nd pts	10/13	9/16	13/25	15/27	47/81
% 2nd pts	77%	56%	52%	56%	58%
Breaks
Won	3	4	3	3	13
Converted	3/4	4/4	3/7	3/6	13/21
Converted %	75%	100%	43%	50%	62%
Conceded	0	0	2	5	7
Saved	0/0	0/0	2/2	5/5	7
Saved %	–	–	100%	100%	50%
Times Broken	0	0	0	0	0

Matsuoka
	Q1 Jovanovski	Q3 Yamanaka	R1 Tomic	R2 Hewitt	1/4 Sach	1/2 McCabe	Total
Score	7-66 6-76 6-4	6-3 7-5	6-4 ret.	5-7 6-3 7-5	4-6 7-5 6-1	7-5 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	1	3	3	2	14
Tot Games	36	21	10	33	29	22	151
pts	115-106	83-66	37-30	107-104	109-92	75-67	526-465
Total points	221	149	67	211	201	142	991
Winners	50	43	13	51	41	32	230
%Winners	43%	52%	35%	48%	38%	43%	44%
SERVE
Aces	8	8	7	16	6	2	47
Double Faults	3	4	1	4	1	4	17
1st in	63/104	55/72	17/29	75/114	63/93	43/65	316/477
% 1st in	61%	76%	59%	66%	68%	66%	66%
1st pts	50/63	43/55	13/17	51/75	41/63	32/43	230/316
% 1st pts	79%	78%	76%	68%	65%	74%	73%
2nd pts	19/41	5/17	9/12	22/39	13/30	13/22	81/161
% 2nd pts	46%	29%	75%	56%	43%	59%	50%
Breaks
Won	5	3	1	3	8	3	23
Converted	5/13	3/9	1/3	3/10	8/13	3/10	23/58
Converted %	38%	33%	33%	30%	62%	30%	40%
Conceded	6	3	1	10	14	5	39
Saved	2/6	2/3	1/1	8/10	9/14	4/5	26
Saved %	33%	67%	100%	80%	64%	80%	106%
Times Broken	4	1	0	2	5	1	13

Upcoming matches in the draw

• James DuckworthDuckworth – (0-0) – H2H and prediction