Pedro Sakamoto and Orlando Luz will square off in the 2^nd round of the Florianopolis Challenger for the 5^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 2:00 pm on QUADRA 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pedro Sakamoto who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Pedro Sakamoto is the pick to win this match.
Pedro Sakamoto -> 1.39
Orlando Luz -> 2.72

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Prediction and head to head Pedro Sakamoto vs. Orlando Luz

This will be the 5^th time that Pedro Sakamoto and Orlando Luz square off. The head to head is 2-2 for Sakamoto and Luz (see full H2H stats),but they are 2-2 on clay.

The last time that they played, Luz won 6-4 4-6 6-4 in the 2^nd round in the Sao Leopoldo Challenger back in 2024.

Pedro Sakamoto

Ranked no. 397, the Brazilian got to the 2^nd round after beating Genaro Alberto Olivieri 4-6 7-5 6-1.

In the 1^st round against Alberto Olivieri, Sakamoto recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 6-1). During the match, Sakamoto scored 98 points vs Alberto Olivieri’s 87. Sakamoto was exceptionally aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sakamoto fired 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Pedro Sakamoto was extremely effective on serve to win 72% (43/60) of his 1st serve and 56% (20/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Pedro broke Alberto Olivieri 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Sakamoto has good record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (314-222). 34-21 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sakamoto has an aggregate 290-204 record in the last years on clay.

The Brazilian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Yerba Buena and the Bogota Challenger.

Pedro has a composed 39-23 win-loss record in 2025, 34-21 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Florianopolis Challenger

Orlando Luz

Ranked no. 845, Orlando got to the 2^nd round after beating Daniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebelo 7-6(8) 6-0, Natan Rodrigues 6-3 6-3 and Carlos Maria Zarate 3-6 6-2 6-4.

In the 1^st round against Maria Zarate, Luz recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-2 6-4). During the match Luz scored 85 points vs Maria Zarate’s 73. The Brazilian was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about serving, Luz recorded 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Orlando Luz was very effective on serve to win 73% (36/49) of his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Orlando broke Maria Zarate 4 times after converting 29% of his break points (4/14).

The Brazilian has a composed 7-6 win-loss record in 2025, 7-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Florianopolis Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sakamoto	Luz
Match played	1	3
Tot Set	3	7
Tot Games	29	64
Pts	98-87	220-169
Total Points	185	389
Winners	43	89
%Winners	44%	40%

Sakamoto played 1 match while Luz competed in 3 matches. Luz started his run from the qualifications while Sakamoto had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Pedro Sakamoto dropped 1 set, while Orlando Luz dropped 1 set. Sakamoto has played 4 set(s) less than Luz (3 vs 7). Therefore, Sakamoto played 35 games less than Luz. Sakamoto scored 43 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Brazilian struck 89 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sakamoto	Luz
Aces	8	16
Avg per match	8	5.3
1st in	60/96	120/178
%1st in	63%	67%
1st pts	43/60	89/120
%1st pts	72%	74%
2nd pts	20/36	31/58
%2nd pts	56%	53%

Sakamoto scored 8 aces . Luz blasted 16 aces (5.3 per match). Sakamoto won 72% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Luz won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sakamoto	Luz
Won	4	14
Converted	4/10	14/34
% Converted	40%	41%
Conceded	10	14
Saved	8	8
% Saved	80%	57%
Times Broken	2	6

Sakamoto broke his opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. Sakamoto lost his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Orlando broke his opponents 14 times with a 41% conversion rate. Orlando conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.

Sakamoto
	R1 Alberto	Total
Score	4-6 7-5 6-1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	29	29
pts	98-87	98-87
Total points	185	185
Winners	43	43
%Winners	44%	44%
SERVE
Aces	8	8
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	60/96	60/96
% 1st in	63%	63%
1st pts	43/60	43/60
% 1st pts	72%	72%
2nd pts	20/36	20/36
% 2nd pts	56%	56%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/10	4/10
Converted %	40%	40%
Conceded	10	10
Saved	8/10	8
Saved %	80%	80%
Times Broken	2	2

Luz
	Q1 Vecchio Couldrey Rebelo	Q3 Rodrigues	R1 Maria	Total
Score	7-68 6-0	6-3 6-3	3-6 6-2 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	19	18	27	64
pts	76-54	59-42	85-73	220-169
Total points	130	101	158	389
Winners	29	24	36	89
%Winners	38%	41%	42%	40%
SERVE
Aces	4	5	7	16
Double Faults	6	2	4	12
1st in	41/62	30/44	49/72	120/178
% 1st in	66%	68%	68%	67%
1st pts	29/41	24/30	36/49	89/120
% 1st pts	71%	80%	73%	74%
2nd pts	13/21	5/14	13/23	31/58
% 2nd pts	62%	36%	57%	53%
Breaks
Won	4	6	4	14
Converted	4/5	6/15	4/14	14/34
Converted %	80%	40%	29%	41%
Conceded	5	6	3	14
Saved	4/5	3/6	1/3	8
Saved %	80%	50%	33%	163%
Times Broken	1	3	2	6

Tennis Scores in Florianopolis Challenger

• Juan Carlos Prado AngeloCarlos Prado Angelo – Federico ZeballosZeballos (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Andrea CollariniCollarini – Santiago De La FuenteDe La Fuente (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta – Christoph NegrituNegritu (6-4 6-7² 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Maximo ZeituneZeitune – Jose PereiraPereira (7-6⁴ 6-3) – See score progression
• Valentin Basel/Franco RiberoBasel/Franco Ribero – Santiago De La Fuente/Genaro Alberto OlivieriDe La Fuente/Genaro Alberto Olivieri (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Gonzalo VillanuevaVillanueva – Nicolas ZanellatoZanellato (3-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Pedro SakamotoSakamoto – Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri (4-6 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Nicolas KickerKicker – Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPucinelli De Almeida (6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Eduardo RibeiroRibeiro – Pedro Boscardin DiasBoscardin Dias (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Gustavo HeideHeide – Leonardo Storck FrancaStorck Franca (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Orlando LuzLuz – Carlos Maria ZarateMaria Zarate (3-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Bruno FernandezFernandez – Valentin BaselBasel (6-2 6-7⁵ 6-3) – See score progression
• Daniel Dutra Da SilvaDutra Da Silva – Santiago Rodriguez TavernaRodriguez Taverna (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Mateus AlvesAlves – Dmitry PopkoPopko (2-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva – Bruno KuzuharaKuzuhara (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Guido Ivan JustoIvan Justo – Joao Eduardo SchiesslEduardo Schiessl (6-4 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Juan Bautista TorresBautista Torres – Miguel TobonTobon (6-1 7-6²) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Andrea CollariniCollarini – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Gonzalo VillanuevaVillanueva – Nicolas KickerKicker (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Orlando LuzLuz – Pedro SakamotoSakamoto (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Eduardo RibeiroRibeiro – Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mateus De Carvalho CardosoDe Carvalho Cardoso – (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva – Guido Ivan JustoIvan Justo (0-0) – H2H and prediction