Gustavo Heide and Mateus Alves will face off in the 2^nd round of the Florianopolis Challenger for the 5^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:00 am on QUADRA 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gustavo Heide who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Gustavo Heide is the pick to win this match.
Gustavo Heide -> 1.39
Mateus Alves -> 2.72

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Prediction and head to head Gustavo Heide vs. Mateus Alves

This will be the 5^th time that Gustavo Heide and Mateus Alves fight against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Heide (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Heide won 6-3 6-7(5) 6-2 in the quarter in the Curitiba Challenger back in 2024.

Gustavo Heide

Ranked no. 309, Gustavo reached the 2^nd round after defeating Leonardo Storck Franca 6-1 6-2.

In the 1^st round, Heide had a good straight sets win against Storck Franca (6-1 6-2). During the match, Heide scored 65 points vs Storck Franca’s 43. The Brazilian was very aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Regarding the service games, Heide blasted 2 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Gustavo Heide was quite effective on serve to win 72% (21/29) of his 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Gustavo broke Storck Franca 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

Heide has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 64% of his matches (165-93). 24-11 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Heide has a compiled143-75 match record in the last 8 years on clay.

The Brazilian’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M25 Londrina,M25 Barueri and M25 Lajeado.

The Brazilian has an aggregate 28-13 win-loss record in 2025, 24-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Florianopolis Challenger

Mateus Alves

Ranked no. 476, the Brazilian reached the 2^nd round after defeating Dmitry Popko 2-0 ret..

In the 1^st round against Popko, Mateus had a free pass after Popko retired on a 2-0 . scoreline.

Mateus’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Cuiaba.

Mateus has a compiled 28-26 win-loss record in 2025, 27-22 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Heide	Alves
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	15	2
Pts	65-43	8-2
Total Points	108	10
Winners	21	2
%Winners	32%	25%

Both Heide and Alves played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Heide and Alves have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Heide played 13 games more than Alves. Heide scored 21 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Alves blasted 2 winners (25%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Heide	Alves
Aces	2	0
Avg per match	2	0
1st in	29/57	2/5
%1st in	51%	40%
1st pts	21/29	2/2
%1st pts	72%	100%
2nd pts	15/28	2/3
%2nd pts	54%	67%

Heide scored 2 aces . Alves didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Heide won 72% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Alves won 100% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Heide	Alves
Won	5	1
Converted	5/7	1/1
% Converted	71%	100%
Conceded	6	0
Saved	5	0
% Saved	83%	0%
Times Broken	1	0

Heide broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Heide conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Alves broke his opponent once with a 100% conversion rate. The Brazilian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.

Heide
	R1 Storck	Total
Score	6-1 6-2
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	15	15
pts	65-43	65-43
Total points	108	108
Winners	21	21
%Winners	32%	32%
SERVE
Aces	2	2
Double Faults	6	6
1st in	29/57	29/57
% 1st in	51%	51%
1st pts	21/29	21/29
% 1st pts	72%	72%
2nd pts	15/28	15/28
% 2nd pts	54%	54%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/7	5/7
Converted %	71%	71%
Conceded	6	6
Saved	5/6	5
Saved %	83%	83%
Times Broken	1	1

Alves
	R1 Popko	Total
Score	2-0 ret.
Tot Set	1	1
Tot Games	2	2
pts	8-2	8-2
Total points	10	10
Winners	2	2
%Winners	25%	25%
SERVE
Aces	0	0
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	2/5	2/5
% 1st in	40%	40%
1st pts	2/2	2/2
% 1st pts	100%	100%
2nd pts	2/3	2/3
% 2nd pts	67%	67%
Breaks
Won	1	1
Converted	1/1	1/1
Converted %	100%	100%
Conceded	0	0
Saved	0/0	0
Saved %	–	0%
Times Broken	0	0

Tennis Scores in Florianopolis Challenger

• Valentin Basel/Franco RiberoBasel/Franco Ribero – Santiago De La Fuente/Genaro Alberto OlivieriDe La Fuente/Genaro Alberto Olivieri (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Gustavo HeideHeide – Leonardo Storck FrancaStorck Franca (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Orlando LuzLuz – Carlos Maria ZarateMaria Zarate (3-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Bruno FernandezFernandez – Valentin BaselBasel (6-2 6-7⁵ 6-3) – See score progression
• Juan Carlos Prado AngeloCarlos Prado Angelo – Federico ZeballosZeballos (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta – Christoph NegrituNegritu (6-4 6-7² 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Maximo ZeituneZeitune – Jose PereiraPereira (7-6⁴ 6-3) – See score progression
• Andrea CollariniCollarini – Santiago De La FuenteDe La Fuente (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Gonzalo VillanuevaVillanueva – Nicolas ZanellatoZanellato (3-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Pedro SakamotoSakamoto – Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri (4-6 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Nicolas KickerKicker – Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPucinelli De Almeida (6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Eduardo RibeiroRibeiro – Pedro Boscardin DiasBoscardin Dias (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Daniel Dutra Da SilvaDutra Da Silva – Santiago Rodriguez TavernaRodriguez Taverna (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Juan Bautista TorresBautista Torres – Miguel TobonTobon (6-1 7-6²) – See score progression
• Mateus AlvesAlves – Dmitry PopkoPopko (2-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva – Bruno KuzuharaKuzuhara (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Guido Ivan JustoIvan Justo – Joao Eduardo SchiesslEduardo Schiessl (6-4 4-6 7-5) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Andrea CollariniCollarini – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Gonzalo VillanuevaVillanueva – Nicolas KickerKicker (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Orlando LuzLuz – Pedro SakamotoSakamoto (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Eduardo RibeiroRibeiro – Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mateus De Carvalho CardosoDe Carvalho Cardoso – (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva – Guido Ivan JustoIvan Justo (0-0) – H2H and prediction