Gonzalo Bueno and Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi will play each other in the 2nd round of the Guayaquil Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 2:30 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gonzalo Bueno who should win in 3 sets.
Gonzalo Bueno -> 1.44
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi -> 2.55
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Prediction and head to head Gonzalo Bueno vs. Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
This will be the 2nd time that Gonzalo Bueno and Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Bueno (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Bueno won 6-7(1) 6-1 6-2 in the quarter in the Cali Challenger back in 2024.
Gonzalo Bueno
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 44-31 | 0-0 | 44-31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-31 | 0-2 | 35-28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-28 | 2-1 | 38-27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 209, Gonzalo reached the 2nd round after beating Federico Aguilar Cardozo 6-2 6-4.
In the 1st round, Bueno had a good straight sets win against Aguilar Cardozo (6-2 6-4). During the match, Bueno scored 64 points vs Aguilar Cardozo’s 52. The Peruvian was very aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about the service games, Bueno scored just 1 ace in the course of the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Gonzalo Bueno lost the serve 5 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Bueno put 64% of his first serves in, winning 60% (21/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 25% (5/20) on the 2nd serve. Bueno broke Aguilar Cardozo 8 times after converting 62% of his break points (8/13).
Bueno has a winning win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 56% of his matches (143-111). 44-31 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Bueno has an overall141-107 record in the last 6 years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Liberec Challenger where he overcame Genaro Alberto Olivieri in the final 6-2 2-0 ret..
The Peruvian has an overall 44-31 win-loss record in 2025, 44-31 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guayaquil Challenger
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 38-29 | 0-0 | 38-29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-30 | 1-3 | 41-27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-23 | 0-0 | 45-23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-14 | 0-1 | 29-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 460, Emanuel reached the 2nd round after defeating Tristan Mccormick 6-2 7-5.
In the 1st round, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Mccormick (6-2 7-5). During the match Emanuel scored 66 points vs Mccormick’s 46. The Argentine was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Emanuel managed to score 2 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi was quite effective on serve to win 77% (33/43) of his 1st serve and 64% (7/11) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Argentine broke Mccormick 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Luciano’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M25 Punta del Este and M25 Coquimbo.
Luciano has a compiled 38-29 win-loss record in 2025, 38-29 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guayaquil Challenger
Emanuel has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bueno | Emanuel |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 20 |
| Pts | 64-52 | 66-46 |
| Total Points | 116 | 112 |
| Winners | 21 | 33 |
| %Winners | 33% | 50% |
Both Bueno and Emanuel played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Bueno and Emanuel have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Bueno played 2 games less than Emanuel. Gonzalo scored 21 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, The Argentine scored 33 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bueno | Emanuel |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 2 |
| 1st in | 35/55 | 43/54 |
| %1st in | 64% | 80% |
| 1st pts | 21/35 | 33/43 |
| %1st pts | 60% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 5/20 | 7/11 |
| %2nd pts | 25% | 64% |
Bueno made 1 ace . Emanuel also blasted 2 aces . Bueno won 60% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 25% of the points. On the other side, Emanuel won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bueno | Emanuel |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 4 |
| Converted | 8/13 | 4/7 |
| % Converted | 62% | 57% |
| Conceded | 9 | 3 |
| Saved | 4 | 2 |
| % Saved | 44% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 |
Bueno broke his opponent 8 times with a 62% conversion rate. Bueno conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded. Luciano broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bueno | |||
| R1 Aguilar | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 64-52 | 64-52 | |
| Total points | 116 | 116 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 35/55 | 35/55 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 21/35 | 21/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 60% | 60% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/20 | 5/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 25% | 25% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 8 | 8 | |
| Converted | 8/13 | 8/13 | |
| Converted % | 62% | 62% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 4/9 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 44% | 44% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
| Emanuel | |||
| R1 Mccormick | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 66-46 | 66-46 | |
| Total points | 112 | 112 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 43/54 | 43/54 | |
| % 1st in | 80% | 80% | |
| 1st pts | 33/43 | 33/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/11 | 7/11 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Tennis Scores in Guayaquil Challenger
- Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez – Paulo Saraiva Dos SantosSaraiva Dos Santos (6-1 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Hady HabibHabib – Joaquin Aguilar CardozoAguilar Cardozo (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andres AndradeAndrade – David Jorda SanchisJorda Sanchis (7-65 3-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Murkel DellienDellien (6-0 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Luis David MartinezDavid Martinez – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Facundo MenaMena – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hernan CasanovaCasanova – Alvaro Guillen MezaGuillen Meza (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Hady HabibHabib – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andres AndradeAndrade – Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez (2-2) – H2H and prediction