Alexandr Binda and Michael Bassem Sobhy will face off in the 2^nd round of the Soma Bay Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 11:00 am on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexandr Binda who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexandr Binda is the pick to win this match.
Alexandr Binda -> 1.52
Michael Bassem Sobhy -> 2.33

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Alexandr Binda vs. Michael Bassem Sobhy

This will be the 2^nd time that Alexandr Binda and Michael Bassem Sobhy play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Binda (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Binda won 6-4 6-2 in the semifinal in M15 Sharm ElSheikh back in 2024.

Alexandr Binda

Ranked no. 434, Binda reached the 2^nd round after defeating Yurii Dzhavakian 6-3 6-1.

In the 1^st round, Binda had a good straight sets win against Dzhavakian (6-3 6-1). During the match, Binda scored 61 points vs Dzhavakian’s 44. Alexandr was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Regarding the service games, Binda managed to score 2 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Alexandr Binda lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Binda put 65% of his first serves in, winning 68% (23/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Dzhavakian 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

Binda has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 61% of his matches (178-114). 38-23 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Binda has an overall110-65 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

The Russian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15 Sharm ElSheikh,M15 Ahmedabad,M15 Tsaghkadzor and the Astana Challenger.

Binda has a compiled 45-28 win-loss record in 2025, 38-23 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Soma Bay Challenger

Binda has never competed in this tournament before.

Michael Bassem Sobhy

Ranked no. 764, the Egyptian reached the 2^nd round after beating Mirza Basic 6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(6).

In the 1^st round, The Egyptian defeated Basic (6-3 6-7⁵ 7-6⁶). During the match Bassem scored 113 points vs Basic’s 106. The Egyptian was very aggressive to blast 53 winners.

Talking about serving, Bassem blasted 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Michael Bassem Sobhy lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Bassem put 60% of his first serves in, winning 78% (53/68) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (21/45) on the 2nd serve. Michael broke Basic 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Michael’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Hurghada.

Bassem has an overall 25-22 win-loss record in 2025, 24-21 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Binda	Bassem
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	3
Tot Games	16	35
Pts	61-44	113-106
Total Points	105	219
Winners	23	53
%Winners	38%	47%

Both Binda and Bassem played 1 match. At the moment, Michael Bassem Sobhy dropped 1 set while Alexandr Binda hasn’t dropped a set so far. Binda has played 1 set(s) less than Bassem (2 vs 3). Therefore, Binda played 19 games less than Bassem. The Russian scored 23 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Egyptian scored 53 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Binda	Bassem
Aces	2	7
Avg per match	2	7
1st in	34/52	68/113
%1st in	65%	60%
1st pts	23/34	53/68
%1st pts	68%	78%
2nd pts	10/18	21/45
%2nd pts	56%	47%

Binda fired 2 aces . Bassem made 7 aces . Binda won 68% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Bassem won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Binda	Bassem
Won	5	4
Converted	5/7	4/8
% Converted	71%	50%
Conceded	2	9
Saved	1	6
% Saved	50%	67%
Times Broken	1	3

Binda broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Alexandr surrendered his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Bassem broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Bassem conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Binda
	R1 Dzhavakian	Total
Score	6-3 6-1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	16	16
pts	61-44	61-44
Total points	105	105
Winners	23	23
%Winners	38%	38%
SERVE
Aces	2	2
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	34/52	34/52
% 1st in	65%	65%
1st pts	23/34	23/34
% 1st pts	68%	68%
2nd pts	10/18	10/18
% 2nd pts	56%	56%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/7	5/7
Converted %	71%	71%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	1/2	1
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	1	1

Bassem
	R1 Basic	Total
Score	6-3 6-75 7-66
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	35	35
pts	113-106	113-106
Total points	219	219
Winners	53	53
%Winners	47%	47%
SERVE
Aces	7	7
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	68/113	68/113
% 1st in	60%	60%
1st pts	53/68	53/68
% 1st pts	78%	78%
2nd pts	21/45	21/45
% 2nd pts	47%	47%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/8	4/8
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	9	9
Saved	6/9	6
Saved %	67%	67%
Times Broken	3	3

Tennis Scores in Soma Bay Challenger

• Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Sebastian SorgerSorger (5-7 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Vadym UrsuUrsu – Egor AgafonovAgafonov (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Dominik KellovskyKellovsky – Petr Bar BiryukovBar Biryukov (7-6⁴ 7-6³) – See score progression
• Alexandr BindaBinda – Yurii DzhavakianDzhavakian (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Maxim MrvaMrva – Pedro Vives MarcosVives Marcos (4-6 6-2 ret.) – See score progression
• Radu AlbotAlbot – Vladyslav OrlovOrlov (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Charlie RobertsonRobertson – Amr ElsayedElsayed (3-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Jannik OpitzOpitz – Mert AlkayaAlkaya (6-5 ret.) – See score progression
• Jelle SelsSels – Aziz OuakaaOuakaa (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
• Pedro Vives MarcosVives Marcos – Maxim MrvaMrva (6-4 2-6 ret. (Marcos ret.)) – See score progression
• Mathys ErhardErhard – Matthew SummersSummers (7-6⁵ 7-6¹) – See score progression
• Peter FajtaFajta – Dali BlanchBlanch (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Toby SamuelSamuel – Ilia SimakinSimakin (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Michael Bassem SobhyBassem Sobhy – Mirza BasicBasic (6-3 6-7⁵ 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Giles HusseyHussey – Henry BernetBernet (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Jay ClarkeClarke – Fares ZakariaZakaria (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Sebastian SorgerSorger (5-7 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Mathys ErhardErhard – Matthew SummersSummers (7-6(5) 7-6(1)) – See score progression
• Vadym UrsuUrsu – Egor AgafonovAgafonov (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Jelle SelsSels – Aziz OuakaaOuakaa (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
• Jannik OpitzOpitz – Mert AlkayaAlkaya (6-5 ret.) – See score progression
• Charlie RobertsonRobertson – Amr ElsayedElsayed (3-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Dominik KellovskyKellovsky – Petr Bar BiryukovBar Biryukov (7-6(4) 7-6(3)) – See score progression
• Alexandr BindaBinda – Yurii DzhavakianDzhavakian (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Peter FajtaFajta – Dali BlanchBlanch (6-1 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Radu AlbotAlbot – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jelle SelsSels – Jannik OpitzOpitz (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jay ClarkeClarke – Denis YevseyevYevseyev (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Vadym UrsuUrsu – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Rudolf MollekerMolleker – Pietro Orlando FellinOrlando Fellin (0-0) – H2H and prediction