Carlos Maria Zarate and Orlando Luz will face off in the 1^st round of the Florianopolis Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 12:30 pm on QUADRA 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Maria Zarate who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Maria Zarate is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Maria Zarate -> 1.66
Orlando Luz -> 2.06

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Maria Zarate vs. Orlando Luz

There is no head to head record between Carlos Maria Zarate and Orlando Luz since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Carlos Maria Zarate

Ranked no. 674 (career-high), Carlos got to the 1^st round after beating Victor Braga 6-2 6-3 and Franco Ribero 7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(4).

In the qualifications, Carlos defeated Ribero (7-6³ 4-6 7-6⁴). During the match, Maria Zarate and Ribero scored the same amount of points (119). However, the world no. 674 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Maria Zarate was very aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Regarding the service games, Maria Zarate scored 4 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Carlos Maria Zarate lost the serve 6 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Maria Zarate put 55% of his first serves in, winning 59% (38/64) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (28/52) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Ribero 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Argentine started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Maria Zarate has a winning record in the last 2 years having won 57% of his matches (62-47). 47-28 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Maria Zarate has a composed57-38 win-loss record in the last 2 years on clay.

Maria Zarate’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in M15 San Salvador de Jujuy and M15 Santiago.

The Argentine has a composed 47-29 win-loss record in 2025, 47-28 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Florianopolis Challenger

The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.

Orlando Luz

Ranked no. 845, the Brazilian got to the 1^st round after defeating Daniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebelo 7-6(8) 6-0 and Natan Rodrigues 6-3 6-3.

In the qualifications, Luz had a good straight sets win against Rodrigues (6-3 6-3). During the match Luz scored 59 points vs Rodrigues’s 42. Luz was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about serving, Luz fired 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Orlando Luz lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Luz put 68% of his first serves in, winning 80% (24/30) of the points behind his 1st serve and 36% (5/14) on the 2nd serve. Luz broke Rodrigues 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Orlando started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 58% of the points he played.

Luz has an overall 6-6 win-loss record in 2025, 6-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Florianopolis Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Maria Zarate	Luz
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	4
Tot Games	53	37
Pts	179-160	135-96
Total Points	339	231
Winners	60	53
%Winners	34%	39%

Both Maria Zarate and Luz played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Carlos Maria Zarate lost 1 set while Orlando Luz hasn’t dropped a set so far. Maria Zarate has played 1 set more than Luz (5 vs 4). Therefore, Maria Zarate played 16 games more than Luz. The Argentine scored 60 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The Brazilian fired 53 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Maria Zarate	Luz
Aces	6	9
Avg per match	3	4.5
1st in	94/169	71/106
%1st in	56%	67%
1st pts	60/94	53/71
%1st pts	64%	75%
2nd pts	43/75	18/35
%2nd pts	57%	51%

Maria Zarate bagged 6 aces (3 per match). Luz fired 9 aces (4.5 per match). Maria Zarate won 64% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Luz won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Maria Zarate	Luz
Won	9	10
Converted	9/17	10/20
% Converted	53%	50%
Conceded	17	11
Saved	10	7
% Saved	59%	64%
Times Broken	7	4

Carlos broke his opponents 9 times with a 53% conversion rate. Maria Zarate dropped his serve 7 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded. Luz broke his opponents 10 times with a 50% conversion rate. Orlando conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.

Maria Zarate
	Q1 Braga	Q3 Ribero	Total
Score	6-2 6-3	7-63 4-6 7-64
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	17	36	53
pts	60-41	119-119	179-160
Total points	101	238	339
Winners	22	38	60
%Winners	37%	32%	34%
SERVE
Aces	2	4	6
Double Faults	4	6	10
1st in	30/53	64/116	94/169
% 1st in	57%	55%	56%
1st pts	22/30	38/64	60/94
% 1st pts	73%	59%	64%
2nd pts	15/23	28/52	43/75
% 2nd pts	65%	54%	57%
Breaks
Won	4	5	9
Converted	4/7	5/10	9/17
Converted %	57%	50%	53%
Conceded	4	13	17
Saved	3/4	7/13	10
Saved %	75%	54%	65%
Times Broken	1	6	7

Luz
	Q1 Vecchio Couldrey Rebelo	Q3 Rodrigues	Total
Score	7-68 6-0	6-3 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	19	18	37
pts	76-54	59-42	135-96
Total points	130	101	231
Winners	29	24	53
%Winners	38%	41%	39%
SERVE
Aces	4	5	9
Double Faults	6	2	8
1st in	41/62	30/44	71/106
% 1st in	66%	68%	67%
1st pts	29/41	24/30	53/71
% 1st pts	71%	80%	75%
2nd pts	13/21	5/14	18/35
% 2nd pts	62%	36%	51%
Breaks
Won	4	6	10
Converted	4/5	6/15	10/20
Converted %	80%	40%	50%
Conceded	5	6	11
Saved	4/5	3/6	7
Saved %	80%	50%	65%
Times Broken	1	3	4

Tennis Scores in Florianopolis Challenger

• Guido Ivan JustoIvan Justo – Joao Eduardo SchiesslEduardo Schiessl (6-4 4-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva – Bruno KuzuharaKuzuhara (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Daniel Dutra Da SilvaDutra Da Silva – Santiago Rodriguez TavernaRodriguez Taverna (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Juan Bautista TorresBautista Torres – Miguel TobonTobon (6-1 7-6²) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Mateus AlvesAlves – Dmitry PopkoPopko (2-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Andrea CollariniCollarini – Mariano KestelboimKestelboim (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Pedro SakamotoSakamoto – Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Christoph NegrituNegritu – Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Orlando LuzLuz – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Eduardo RibeiroRibeiro – Pedro Boscardin DiasBoscardin Dias (4-2) – H2H and prediction
• Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva – Guido Ivan JustoIvan Justo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Matheus Pucinelle De AlmeidaPucinelle De Almeida – Nicolas KickerKicker (2-2) – H2H and prediction