Gianluca Cadenasso and Carlos Lopez Montagud will square off in the qualifications of the Montemar Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 10:30 am on IVAN NAVARRO COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gianluca Cadenasso who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Gianluca Cadenasso is the pick to win this match.
Gianluca Cadenasso -> 1.41
Carlos Lopez Montagud -> 2.64

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Prediction and head to head Gianluca Cadenasso vs. Carlos Lopez Montagud

This will be the 2^nd time that Gianluca Cadenasso and Carlos Lopez Montagud clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Cadenasso (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they played, Cadenasso won 6-4 1-6 6-3 in the 1^st round in M25 Valencia back in November 2025.

Gianluca Cadenasso

Ranked no. 365 (career-high), the Italian reached the qualifications after defeating Gerard Campana Lee 6-3 6-7(2) 6-1.

In the qualifications, Cadenasso defeated Campana Lee (6-3 6-7² 6-1). During the match, Cadenasso scored 98 points vs Campana Lee’s 81. Cadenasso was extremely aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Talking about the service games, Cadenasso was unable to score even 1 ace in the encounter and he committed only 3 double faults. Gianluca Cadenasso lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Cadenasso put 67% of his first serves in, winning 65% (43/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (15/32) on the 2nd serve. Cadenasso broke Campana Lee 7 times after converting 58% of his break points (7/12).

Cadenasso has a solid win-loss record in the last 4 years having won 65% of his matches (121-64). 38-18 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Cadenasso has an overall97-52 record in the last 4 years on clay.

Cadenasso’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Store and M25 Santa Margherita di Pula.

Gianluca has an aggregate 43-22 win-loss record in 2025, 38-18 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Montemar Challenger

The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.

Carlos Lopez Montagud

Ranked no. 543, Lopez reached the qualifications after defeating Imanol Lopez Morillo 6-4 3-6 7-5.

In the qualifications, Carlos defeated Lopez Morillo (6-4 3-6 7-5). During the match Lopez scored 100 points vs Lopez Morillo’s 90. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Talking about serving, Lopez fired 2 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Carlos Lopez Montagud lost the serve 6 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Lopez put 72% of his first serves in, winning 65% (45/69) of the points behind his 1st serve and 37% (10/27) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Lopez Morillo 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).

Carlos’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Gandia.

The Spaniard has an aggregate 33-26 win-loss record in 2025, 33-23 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Montemar Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Cadenasso	Lopez
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	29	31
Pts	98-81	100-90
Total Points	179	190
Winners	43	45
%Winners	44%	45%

Both Cadenasso and Lopez played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Gianluca Cadenasso surrendered 1 set, while Carlos Lopez Montagud conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Cadenasso and Lopez have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Cadenasso played 2 games less than Lopez. Gianluca scored 43 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Carlos bagged 45 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Cadenasso	Lopez
Aces	0	2
Avg per match	0	2
1st in	66/98	69/96
%1st in	67%	72%
1st pts	43/66	45/69
%1st pts	65%	65%
2nd pts	15/32	10/27
%2nd pts	47%	37%

Cadenasso didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Lopez fired 2 aces . Cadenasso won 65% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Lopez won 65% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 37% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Cadenasso	Lopez
Won	7	6
Converted	7/12	6/12
% Converted	58%	50%
Conceded	7	11
Saved	3	5
% Saved	43%	45%
Times Broken	4	6

Gianluca broke his opponent 7 times with a 58% conversion rate. Gianluca conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponent 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. Carlos conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 45% of the break points that he conceded.

Cadenasso
	Q1 Campana	Total
Score	6-3 6-72 6-1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	29	29
pts	98-81	98-81
Total points	179	179
Winners	43	43
%Winners	44%	44%
SERVE
Aces	0	0
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	66/98	66/98
% 1st in	67%	67%
1st pts	43/66	43/66
% 1st pts	65%	65%
2nd pts	15/32	15/32
% 2nd pts	47%	47%
Breaks
Won	7	7
Converted	7/12	7/12
Converted %	58%	58%
Conceded	7	7
Saved	3/7	3
Saved %	43%	43%
Times Broken	4	4

Lopez
	Q1 Lopez Morillo	Total
Score	6-4 3-6 7-5
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	31	31
pts	100-90	100-90
Total points	190	190
Winners	45	45
%Winners	45%	45%
SERVE
Aces	2	2
Double Faults	6	6
1st in	69/96	69/96
% 1st in	72%	72%
1st pts	45/69	45/69
% 1st pts	65%	65%
2nd pts	10/27	10/27
% 2nd pts	37%	37%
Breaks
Won	6	6
Converted	6/12	6/12
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	11	11
Saved	5/11	5
Saved %	45%	45%
Times Broken	6	6

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