Federico Arnaboldi and Alexander Donski will square off in the qualifications of the Bergamo Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 10:30 am on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Donski who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexander Donski is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Donski -> 1.79
Federico Arnaboldi -> 1.89

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Prediction and head to head Federico Arnaboldi vs. Alexander Donski

There is no head to head record between Federico Arnaboldi and Alexander Donski since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Federico Arnaboldi

Ranked no. 406, Federico reached the qualifications after defeating Nicola Rispoli 6-3 6-1.

In the qualifications, Arnaboldi had a good straight sets win against Rispoli (6-3 6-1). During the match, Arnaboldi scored 58 points vs Rispoli’s 32. Federico was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about the service games, Arnaboldi scored 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Federico Arnaboldi was very efficient on serve to win 92% (22/24) of his 1st serve and 63% (10/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Rispoli 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Arnaboldi has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 55% of his matches (202-167). 2-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Arnaboldi has an aggregate9-22 record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.

Federico has an overall 15-27 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS)

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Previously in the Bergamo Challenger

Alexander Donski

Ranked no. 717, Alexander got to the qualifications after defeating Johan Nikles 6-3 2-6 6-1.

In the qualifications, Donski defeated Nikles (6-3 2-6 6-1). During the match Donski scored 89 points vs Nikles’s 81. Donski was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Talking about serving, Donski blasted 12 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Alexander Donski lost the serve twice and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Donski put 53% of his first serves in, winning 78% (35/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (19/40) on the 2nd serve. The Canadian broke Nikles 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

The Canadian’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Pretoria.

Donski has an overall 15-15 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Arnaboldi	Donski
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	3
Tot Games	16	24
Pts	58-32	89-81
Total Points	90	170
Winners	22	35
%Winners	38%	39%

Both Arnaboldi and Donski played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Alexander Donski lost 1 set while Federico Arnaboldi hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Arnaboldi has played 1 set(s) less than Donski (2 vs 3). Therefore, Arnaboldi played 8 games less than Donski. Arnaboldi scored 22 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Alexander struck 35 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Arnaboldi	Donski
Aces	5	12
Avg per match	5	12
1st in	24/40	45/85
%1st in	60%	53%
1st pts	22/24	35/45
%1st pts	92%	78%
2nd pts	10/16	19/40
%2nd pts	63%	48%

Arnaboldi bagged 5 aces . Donski struck 12 aces . Arnaboldi won 92% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Donski won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Arnaboldi	Donski
Won	4	4
Converted	4/7	4/10
% Converted	57%	40%
Conceded	0	11
Saved	0	9
% Saved	0%	82%
Times Broken	0	2

The Italian broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Arnaboldi pretty solid on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 0 break points. Alexander broke his opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Canadian conceded his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.

Arnaboldi
	Q1 Rispoli	Total
Score	6-3 6-1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	16	16
pts	58-32	58-32
Total points	90	90
Winners	22	22
%Winners	38%	38%
SERVE
Aces	5	5
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	24/40	24/40
% 1st in	60%	60%
1st pts	22/24	22/24
% 1st pts	92%	92%
2nd pts	10/16	10/16
% 2nd pts	63%	63%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/7	4/7
Converted %	57%	57%
Conceded	0	0
Saved	0/0	0
Saved %	–	0%
Times Broken	0	0

Donski
	Q1 Nikles	Total
Score	6-3 2-6 6-1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	24	24
pts	89-81	89-81
Total points	170	170
Winners	35	35
%Winners	39%	39%
SERVE
Aces	12	12
Double Faults	4	4
1st in	45/85	45/85
% 1st in	53%	53%
1st pts	35/45	35/45
% 1st pts	78%	78%
2nd pts	19/40	19/40
% 2nd pts	48%	48%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/10	4/10
Converted %	40%	40%
Conceded	11	11
Saved	9/11	9
Saved %	82%	82%
Times Broken	2	2

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexey VatutinVatutin – Andrea GuerrieriGuerrieri (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Oleg PrihodkoPrihodko – Buvaysar GadamauriGadamauri (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniil GlinkaGlinka – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi – Alexander DonskiDonski (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Hamish StewartStewart – Anton MatusevichMatusevich (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Francesco PassaroPassaro – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (0-0) – H2H and prediction