Alexey Vatutin and Andrea Guerrieri will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Bergamo Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 3:30 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexey Vatutin who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexey Vatutin is the pick to win this match.
Alexey Vatutin -> 1.52
Andrea Guerrieri -> 2.33
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Prediction and head to head Alexey Vatutin vs. Andrea Guerrieri
This will be the 2nd time that Alexey Vatutin and Andrea Guerrieri fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Guerrieri (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they locked horns, Guerrieri won 6-1 6-7(2) 4-1 ret. in the 1st round in M15 Grenoble back in 2024.
Alexey Vatutin
38 - 28win/loss
377
136
LWWLWLLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-31 | 2-1 | 28-17 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 52-32 | 0-2 | 32-16 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-27 | 5-7 | 6-8 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 4-1 |
| 2022 | 38-39 | 8-3 | 19-20 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-38 | 0-1 | 15-26 | 16-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 382, Alexey got to the qualifications after beating Ivan Liutarevich 6-2 6-2.
In the qualifications, Vatutin had a good straight sets win against Liutarevich (6-2 6-2). During the match, Vatutin scored 69 points vs Liutarevich’s 47. Vatutin was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Vatutin fired 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Alexey Vatutin was quite efficient on serve to win 89% (24/27) of his 1st serve and 55% (12/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Vatutin broke Liutarevich 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Vatutin has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 54% of his matches (368-308). 11-11 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Vatutin has a compiled 121-109 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
The Russian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in M25 Koszalin and M25 Poznan.
Alexey has an overall 38-27 win-loss record in 2025, 11-11 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Bergamo Challenger
Andrea Guerrieri
28 - 14win/loss
500
500
LWWWWLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-15 | 2-1 | 15-10 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| 2024 | 41-25 | 10-4 | 20-15 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| 2023 | 41-24 | 21-12 | 9-5 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2022 | 32-26 | 15-8 | 9-13 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-16 | 4-6 | 2-6 | 4-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 570, the Italian reached the qualifications after defeating Leonardo Malgaroli 4-6 6-2 6-2.
In the qualifications against Malgaroli, Guerrieri recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-2). During the match Guerrieri scored 89 points vs Malgaroli’s 74. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
About the serving games, Guerrieri blasted 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Andrea Guerrieri lost the serve 4 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Guerrieri put 66% of his first serves in, winning 69% (37/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (11/28) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Malgaroli 7 times after converting 64% of his break points (7/11).
The Italian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Santa margherita di Pula,M15 Ljubljana and M15 Offenbach.
The Italian has a composed 27-14 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Vatutin | Guerrieri |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 26 |
| Pts | 69-47 | 89-74 |
| Total Points | 116 | 163 |
| Winners | 24 | 37 |
| %Winners | 35% | 42% |
Both Vatutin and Guerrieri played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Andrea Guerrieri lost 1 set while Alexey Vatutin hasn’t lost a set so far. Vatutin has played 1 set(s) less than Guerrieri (2 vs 3). Therefore, Vatutin played 10 games less than Guerrieri. The Russian scored 24 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Andrea made 37 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Vatutin | Guerrieri |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 3 |
| 1st in | 27/49 | 54/82 |
| %1st in | 55% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 24/27 | 37/54 |
| %1st pts | 89% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 12/22 | 11/28 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 39% |
Vatutin scored 7 aces . Guerrieri struck 3 aces . Vatutin won 89% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Guerrieri won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 39% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Vatutin | Guerrieri |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 7 |
| Converted | 4/12 | 7/11 |
| % Converted | 33% | 64% |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 |
| Saved | 4 | 2 |
| % Saved | 100% | 33% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
The Russian broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. Alexey pretty effective on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points. The Italian broke his opponent 7 times with a 64% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.
| Vatutin | |||
| Q1 Liutarevich |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 69-47 | 69-47 | |
| Total points | 116 | 116 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 27/49 | 27/49 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 24/27 | 24/27 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 89% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/22 | 12/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/12 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Guerrieri | |||
| Q1 Malgaroli |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 89-74 | 89-74 | |
| Total points | 163 | 163 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 54/82 | 54/82 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 37/54 | 37/54 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/28 | 11/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 39% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/11 | 7/11 | |
| Converted % | 64% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/6 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWLLWLW
LWWWWLWWLW 
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