Cristian Garin and Ignacio Buse will square off in the final of the Montevideo Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 5:30 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cristian Garin who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Cristian Garin is the pick to win this match.
Cristian Garin -> 1.66
Ignacio Buse -> 2.06

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Prediction and head to head Cristian Garin vs. Ignacio Buse

There is no head to head record between Cristian Garin and Ignacio Buse since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Cristian Garin

Ranked no. 105, Garin reached the final after beating Andrea Collarini 6-3 7-5, Alex Barrena 6-2 6-4, Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 2-6 6-2 6-3 and Tomas Barrios Vera 4-6 6-4 6-1.

In the semifinal against Tomas Barrios Vera, Christian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-1). During the match, Garin scored 87 points vs Tomas Barrios Vera’s 76. Christian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about the service games, Garin struck 2 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Cristian Garin lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Garin put 64% of his first serves in, winning 63% (34/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (16/30) on the 2nd serve. Garin broke Tomas Barrios Vera 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Garin has surrendered 2 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Garin has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (319-220). 38-13 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Garin has an overall 216-121 match record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Mauthausen Challenger where he defeated Tomas Barrios Vera in the final 3-6 6-1 6-4 and the Oeiras 5 Challenger where he beat Mitchell Krueger in the final 7-6(3) 4-6 6-2 and the Antofagasta Challenger where he defeated Facundo Diaz Acosta in the final 2-6 6-3 6-3.

Christian has a compiled 48-22 win-loss record in 2025, 38-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Montevideo Challenger

Ignacio Buse

Ranked no. 110, Ignacio reached the final after beating Timofey Skatov 6-3 6-1, Vilius Gaubas 6-2 2-6 7-6(3), Gustavo Heide 6-1 6-4 and Roman Andres Burruchaga 6-2 7-5.

In the semifinal, Buse had a good straight sets win against Andres Burruchaga (6-2 7-5). During the match Buse scored 83 points vs Andres Burruchaga’s 70. Buse was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.

About the serving games, Buse bagged 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Ignacio Buse lost the serve twice and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Buse put 59% of his first serves in, winning 64% (30/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (17/32) on the 2nd serve. Ignacio broke Andres Burruchaga 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Buse has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Heilbronn Challenger where he beat Guy Den Ouden in the final 7-5 7-5 and the Seville Challenger where he beat Genaro Alberto Olivieri in the final 6-3 3-6 6-3.

The Peruvian has a compiled 49-27 win-loss record in 2025, 42-18 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Garin	Buse
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	10	9
Tot Games	91	82
Pts	329-284	308-251
Total Points	613	559
Winners	114	111
%Winners	35%	36%

Both Garin and Buse played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Cristian Garin dropped 2 sets, while Ignacio Buse lost 1 set. Garin has played 1 set more than Buse (10 vs 9). Therefore, Garin played 9 games more than Buse. The Chilean scored 114 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Buse blasted 111 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Garin	Buse
Aces	13	11
Avg per match	3.3	2.8
1st in	164/285	156/273
%1st in	58%	57%
1st pts	114/164	111/156
%1st pts	70%	71%
2nd pts	56/121	63/117
%2nd pts	46%	54%

Garin bagged 13 aces (3.3 per match). Buse fired 11 aces (2.8 per match). Garin won 70% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Buse won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Garin	Buse
Won	21	17
Converted	21/54	17/45
% Converted	39%	38%
Conceded	22	22
Saved	10	15
% Saved	45%	68%
Times Broken	12	7

Christian broke his opponents 21 times with a 39% conversion rate. Garin lost his serve 12 times and he saved 45% of the break points that he conceded. Buse broke his opponents 17 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Peruvian conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.

Garin
	R1 Collarini	R2 Barrena	1/4 Daniel	1/2 Tomas Barrios Vera	Total
Score	6-3 7-5	6-2 6-4	2-6 6-2 6-3	4-6 6-4 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	3	3	10
Tot Games	21	18	25	27	91
pts	84-74	67-50	91-84	87-76	329-284
Total points	158	117	175	163	613
Winners	31	27	22	34	114
%Winners	37%	40%	24%	39%	35%
SERVE
Aces	5	2	4	2	13
Double Faults	4	2	1	5	12
1st in	40/77	34/57	36/67	54/84	164/285
% 1st in	52%	60%	54%	64%	58%
1st pts	31/40	27/34	22/36	34/54	114/164
% 1st pts	78%	79%	61%	63%	70%
2nd pts	16/37	8/23	16/31	16/30	56/121
% 2nd pts	43%	35%	52%	53%	46%
Breaks
Won	4	5	6	6	21
Converted	4/16	5/12	6/16	6/10	21/54
Converted %	25%	42%	38%	60%	39%
Conceded	4	3	7	8	22
Saved	2/4	1/3	3/7	4/8	10
Saved %	50%	33%	43%	50%	44%
Times Broken	2	2	4	4	12

Buse
	R1 Skatov	R2 Gaubas	1/4 Heide	1/2 Andres	Total
Score	6-3 6-1	6-2 2-6 7-63	6-1 6-4	6-2 7-5
Tot Set	2	3	2	2	9
Tot Games	16	29	17	20	82
pts	71-46	89-85	65-50	83-70	308-251
Total points	117	174	115	153	559
Winners	22	36	23	30	111
%Winners	31%	40%	35%	36%	36%
SERVE
Aces	1	0	5	5	11
Double Faults	1	1	3	1	6
1st in	28/47	52/85	29/62	47/79	156/273
% 1st in	60%	61%	47%	59%	57%
1st pts	22/28	36/52	23/29	30/47	111/156
% 1st pts	79%	69%	79%	64%	71%
2nd pts	13/19	17/33	16/33	17/32	63/117
% 2nd pts	68%	52%	48%	53%	54%
Breaks
Won	4	4	4	5	17
Converted	4/11	4/13	4/12	5/9	17/45
Converted %	36%	31%	33%	56%	38%
Conceded	1	5	7	9	22
Saved	1/1	1/5	6/7	7/9	15
Saved %	100%	20%	86%	78%	71%
Times Broken	0	4	1	2	7

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Christian GarinGarin – (0-0) – H2H and prediction