Bernard Tomic and Dane Sweeny will play each other in the quarter of the Brisbane 3 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 12:30 pm on PAT RAFTER ARENA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Bernard Tomic who should win in 3 sets.
Bernard Tomic -> 1.727
Dane Sweeny -> 1.97
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Prediction and head to head Bernard Tomic vs. Dane Sweeny
This will be the 2nd time that Bernard Tomic and Dane Sweeny play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Tomic (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Tomic won 6-4 7-6(3) in the 2nd round in the Palmas del Mar Challenger back in 2023.
Bernard Tomic
42 - 31win/loss
182
17
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 42-32 | 29-22 | 6-7 | 2-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 50-29 | 34-19 | 12-5 | 4-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-27 | 35-19 | 4-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-12 | 24-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 9-12 | 4-4 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 186, the Australian got to the quarter after beating Li Tu 6-4 7-5 and Marek Gengel 7-5 3-6 7-6(3).
In the 2nd round, The Australian defeated Gengel (7-5 3-6 7-63). During the match, Tomic scored 106 points vs Gengel’s 101. Tomic was exceptionally aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Talking about the service games, Tomic struck 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Bernard Tomic was very efficient on serve to win 84% (48/57) of his 1st serve and 59% (16/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Bernard broke Gengel twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Tomic has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Tomic has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (259-205). 29-21 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Tomic has a compiled 171-113 match record in the last years on hard.
Tomic’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Lexington Challenger and the Barranquilla Challenger.
Bernard has an aggregate 42-31 win-loss record in 2025, 29-21 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Brisbane 3 Challenger
Dane Sweeny
71 - 23win/loss
215
194
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 72-24 | 65-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 18-26 | 18-19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-33 | 25-23 | 10-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 62-26 | 59-22 | 3-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-23 | 19-15 | 1-1 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 231, Dane got to the quarter after beating Pavle Marinkov 6-0 6-1 and Tai Sach 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Sweeny had a good straight sets win against Sach (6-2 6-3). During the match Sweeny scored 62 points vs Sach’s 47. The Australian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Sweeny scored 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Dane Sweeny was quite effective on serve to win 78% (28/36) of his 1st serve and 53% (10/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Dane broke Sach 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Dane hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 62% of the points he played.
Dane’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M25 Swan Hill,M15 Los Angeles,M15 San Diego,M15 Brisbane,M25 Taipei,M25 Tamworth,M25 Perth and M25 Brisbane.
The Australian has a composed 71-23 win-loss record in 2025, 64-21 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Tomic | Sweeny |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 56 | 30 |
| Pts | 188-169 | 113-70 |
| Total Points | 357 | 183 |
| Winners | 87 | 46 |
| %Winners | 46% | 41% |
Both Tomic and Sweeny played 2 matches. At the moment, Bernard Tomic dropped 1 set while Dane Sweeny hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Tomic has played 1 set more than Sweeny (5 vs 4). Therefore, Tomic played 26 games more than Sweeny. The Australian scored 87 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Dane scored 46 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Tomic | Sweeny |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 109/151 | 61/95 |
| %1st in | 72% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 87/109 | 46/61 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 23/42 | 22/34 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 65% |
Tomic struck 14 aces (7 per match). Sweeny scored 7 aces (3.5 per match). Tomic won 80% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Sweeny won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Tomic | Sweeny |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 8 |
| Converted | 5/17 | 8/13 |
| % Converted | 29% | 62% |
| Conceded | 8 | 4 |
| Saved | 5 | 4 |
| % Saved | 63% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 |
Tomic broke his opponents 5 times with a 29% conversion rate. Bernard conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponents 8 times with a 62% conversion rate. The Australian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points.
| Tomic | ||||
| R1 Tu | R2 Gengel | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | 7-5 3-6 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 34 | 56 | |
| pts | 82-68 | 106-101 | 188-169 | |
| Total points | 150 | 207 | 357 | |
| Winners | 39 | 48 | 87 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 45% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 10 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 52/67 | 57/84 | 109/151 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 68% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 39/52 | 48/57 | 87/109 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 84% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/15 | 16/27 | 23/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 59% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 2/8 | 5/17 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 25% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 4/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 67% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Sweeny | ||||
| R1 Marinkov | R2 Sach | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-1 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 17 | 30 | |
| pts | 51-23 | 62-47 | 113-70 | |
| Total points | 74 | 109 | 183 | |
| Winners | 18 | 28 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 45% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 25/40 | 36/55 | 61/95 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 65% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 18/25 | 28/36 | 46/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 78% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/15 | 10/19 | 22/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 80% | 53% | 65% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 3/5 | 8/13 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 60% | 62% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2/2 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Alex BoltBolt (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Bernard TomicTomic – Dane SweenySweeny (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jake DelaneyDelaney – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tung-Lin WuWu – (0-0) – H2H and prediction