Tom Paris and Mikhail Kukushkin will face off in the quarter of the Lyon Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 1:30 pm on COURT CENTRAL. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mikhail Kukushkin who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mikhail Kukushkin is the pick to win this match.
Mikhail Kukushkin -> 1.51
Tom Paris -> 2.35

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Prediction and head to head Tom Paris vs. Mikhail Kukushkin

This will be the 2nd time that Tom Paris and Mikhail Kukushkin play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Paris (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they competed against each other, Paris won 7-6(5) 6-4 in the 2nd round in the St. Tropez Challenger back in September 2025.

Tom Paris

Tom Paris

44 - 27win/loss

Hard
14-4
I Hard
11-11
Clay
10-11
Carpet
9-1
Rank
252
High
252
LWWWLLLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 45-28 14-4 10-11 12-12 0-0 9-1
2024 19-10 12-5 0-1 5-3 0-0 2-1
2023 38-21 5-7 10-4 18-10 0-0 5-0
2022 4-1 4-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 2-3 1-2 0-0 1-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 260 (career-high), Tom got to the quarter after beating Benjamin Hassan 6-3 6-4

and Laslo Djere 7-6(5) 7-6(3).

In the 2nd round, Paris had a good straight sets win against Djere (7-65 7-63). During the match, Paris scored 78 points vs Djere’s 75. Tom was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Regarding the service games, Paris scored 15 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Overall, Tom Paris was exceptionally effective on serve to win 84% (37/44) of his 1st serve and 53% (20/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Tom broke Djere once after converting 50% of his break points (1/2).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tom hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Paris has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 61% of his matches (108-68). 11-11 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paris has an aggregate35-28 win-loss record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.

Tom’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Oslo,M25 Nussloch,Nova and M25 Sarreguemines.

The French player has a compiled 44-27 win-loss record in 2025, 11-11 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lyon Challenger

Lyon Challenger
Paris's Record

Mikhail Kukushkin

Mikhail Kukushkin

24 - 26win/loss

Hard
11-13
I Hard
9-8
Clay
3-2
Grass
1-3
Rank
294
High
39
LWWWWLLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 24-27 11-13 3-2 9-9 1-3 0-0
2024 52-32 24-10 10-9 12-9 6-4 0-0
2023 23-24 17-11 3-5 3-8 0-0 0-0
2022 36-28 18-11 0-2 13-11 5-4 0-0
2021 12-24 8-9 0-6 2-6 2-3 0-0

Ranked no. 317, Kukushkin got to the quarter after beating Gilles Arnaud Bailly 6-1 6-3, Marat Sharipov 6-4 6-4, Billy Harris 7-6(2) 7-5 and Luca Van Assche 6-2 7-6(5).

In the 2nd round, Kukushkin had a good straight sets win against Van Assche (6-2 7-65). During the match Kukushkin scored 79 points vs Van Assche’s 74. Mikhail was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about serving, Kukushkin recorded 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Mikhail Kukushkin was exceptionally effective on serve to win 77% (33/43) of his 1st serve and 55% (17/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Mikhail broke Van Assche twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Mikhail started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Mikhail has a compiled 24-26 win-loss record in 2025, 9-8 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lyon Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.

Lyon Challenger
Kukushkin's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

T.Paris
M.Kukushkin
2h:52
2h:52
Time on court​
!
6h:21
6h:21
1h:45
1h:45
Last match​
1h:59
1h:59
2
2
Match played
!
4
4
45
45
Games Played​
82
82
4
4
Set played​​
8
8
143
143
Total points​
281
281
71.5
71.5
Avg point​
70.3
70.3
66
66
Winners
118
118
33
33
Avg Winners​
29.5
29.5
46%
46%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
29
29
Aces
25
25
!
14.5
14.5
Avg Aces
6.3
6.3
12
12
Double Faults
3
3
!
6
6
Avg Double Faults
0.8
0.8
66/81
66/81
1st won total​
118/149
118/149
!
81%
81%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
33/60
33/60
2nd won total​
61/88
61/88
55%
55%
2nd won %
!
69%
69%
-- Break Points --
4/9
4/9
BP won
9/28
9/28
2/4.5
2/4.5
Avg BP won
2.3/7
2.3/7
44%
44%
Won
32%
32%
4
4
Conceded
7
7
2
2
Avg Conceded
1.8
1.8
2
2
Broken
0
0
1
1
Avg Broken
!
0
0
2
2
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Paris Kukushkin
Match played 2 4
Tot Set 4 8
Tot Games 45 82
Pts 143-123 281-231
Total Points 266 512
Winners 66 118
%Winners 46% 42%

Paris played 2 matches while Kukushkin competed in 4 matches. Kukushkin started his run from the qualifications while Paris had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Paris has played 4 set(s) less than Kukushkin (4 vs 8). Therefore, Paris played 37 games less than Kukushkin. The French player scored 66 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The Kazakhstani recorded 118 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Paris Kukushkin
Aces 29 25
Avg per match 14.5 6.3
1st in 81/141 149/237
%1st in 57% 63%
1st pts 66/81 118/149
%1st pts 81% 79%
2nd pts 33/60 61/88
%2nd pts 55% 69%

Paris made 29 aces (14.5 per match). Kukushkin recorded 25 aces (6.3 per match). Paris won 81% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Kukushkin won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 69% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Paris Kukushkin
Won 4 9
Converted 4/9 9/28
% Converted 44% 32%
Conceded 4 7
Saved 2 7
% Saved 50% 100%
Times Broken 2 0

The French player broke his opponents 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. The French player lost his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Kukushkin broke his opponents 9 times with a 32% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 7 break points.

Paris
R1
Hassan
R2
Djere
Total
Score 6-3 6-4 7-65 7-63
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 19 26 45
pts 65-48 78-75 143-123
Total points 113 153 266
Winners 29 37 66
%Winners 45% 47% 46%
SERVE
Aces 14 15 29
Double Faults 3 9 12
1st in 37/59 44/82 81/141
% 1st in 63% 54% 57%
1st pts 29/37 37/44 66/81
% 1st pts 78% 84% 81%
2nd pts 13/22 20/38 33/60
% 2nd pts 59% 53% 55%
Breaks
Won 3 1 4
Converted 3/7 1/2 4/9
Converted % 43% 50% 44%
Conceded 3 1 4
Saved 2/3 0/1 2
Saved % 67% 0% 34%
Times Broken 1 1 2
Kukushkin
Q1
Arnaud
Q3
Sharipov
R1
Harris
R2
Van
Total
Score 6-1 6-3 6-4 6-4 7-62 7-5 6-2 7-65
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 16 20 25 21 82
pts 61-39 67-56 74-62 79-74 281-231
Total points 100 123 136 153 512
Winners 23 28 34 33 118
%Winners 38% 42% 46% 42% 42%
SERVE
Aces 5 3 11 6 25
Double Faults 0 0 1 2 3
1st in 26/42 39/57 41/64 43/74 149/237
% 1st in 62% 68% 64% 58% 63%
1st pts 23/26 28/39 34/41 33/43 118/149
% 1st pts 88% 72% 83% 77% 79%
2nd pts 10/16 14/18 20/23 17/31 61/88
% 2nd pts 63% 78% 87% 55% 69%
Breaks
Won 4 2 1 2 9
Converted 4/11 2/3 1/5 2/9 9/28
Converted % 36% 67% 20% 22% 32%
Conceded 2 0 0 5 7
Saved 2/2 0/0 0/0 5/5 7
Saved % 100% 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0 0 0 0

Upcoming matches in the draw