Alex De Minaur and Lorenzo Musetti will square off in the Round Robin of the the Nitto ATP Finals for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 8:30 pm on Centre Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.76
Lorenzo Musetti -> 2.12
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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Lorenzo Musetti
This will be the 5th time that Alex De Minaur and Lorenzo Musetti square off. The head to head is 3-1 for Musetti (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they competed against each other, Musetti won 6-4 6-2 in the 4th round in Madrid back in April 2025.
Highlights Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De Minaur – Madrid 30-April-2025
Alex De Minaur
55 - 22win/loss
7
6
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 56-24 | 30-11 | 10-5 | 13-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, the Australian reached the Round Robin after defeating Carlos Alcaraz 7-6(5) 6-2.
De Minaur has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (414-227). 12-4 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, De Minaur has a composed 79-48 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Washington where he defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 5-7 6-1 7-6(3).
Alex has an overall 55-22 win-loss record in 2025, 12-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Nitto ATP Finals
Lorenzo Musetti
44 - 21win/loss
8
6
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 45-22 | 18-11 | 19-4 | 8-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, Lorenzo got to the Round Robin after defeating Taylor Fritz 6-3 6-4.
Musetti’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Carlo, Chengdu and Athens.
Musetti has a composed 44-21 win-loss record in 2025, 7-5 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS)
.Previously in the Nitto ATP Finals
Musetti has never competed in this tournament before.
Tennis Scores in Nitto ATP Finals
- Joe Salisbury/Neal SkupskiSalisbury/Neal Skupski – Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Taylor FritzFritz – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Ben SheltonShelton (6-3 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz (6-4 4-6 10-6) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (7-65 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori – Julian Cash/Lloyd GlasspoolCash/Lloyd Glasspool (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-3) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (5-6) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Alexander ZverevZverev (5-4) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (7-1) – H2H and prediction