Carlos Alcaraz and Taylor Fritz will fight against each other in the Round Robin of the the Nitto ATP Finals for the 6^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 2:00 pm on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.151
Taylor Fritz -> 5.85

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Taylor Fritz

This will be the 6^th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Taylor Fritz fight against each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they fought against each other, Alcaraz won 6-4 6-4 in the final in Tokyo back in September 2025.

Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz – Tokyo 30-September-2025

Carlos Alcaraz

Currently world no. 1 Alcaraz got to the Round Robin after defeating Alex De Minaur 7-6(5) 6-2.

In the previous match, Alcaraz had a good straight sets win against De Minaur (7-6⁵ 6-2). During the match, Alcaraz scored 71 points vs De Minaur’s 59. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Regarding the service games, Alcaraz recorded 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 67% of his first serves in, winning 63% (30/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the 2nd serve. Carlos broke De Minaur 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Alcaraz has a fantastic record in the last 8 years having won 81% of his matches (355-84). 7-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Alcaraz has a compiled32-15 match record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Rotterdam where he overcame Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2 and in Carlo where he overcame Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0 and in Rome where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 7-6(5) 6-1 and at the French Open where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2) and in London where he overcame Jiri Lehecka in the final 7-5 6-7(5) 6-2 and in Cincinnati where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 5-0 ret. and at the U.S. Open where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 6-2 3-6 6-1 6-4 and in Tokyo where he overcame Taylor Fritz in the final 6-4 6-4.

Carlos has an overall 68-8 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Nitto ATP Finals

Taylor Fritz

Ranked no. 6, Fritz reached the Round Robin after defeating Lorenzo Musetti 6-3 6-4.

In the previous match, Fritz had a good straight sets win against Musetti (6-3 6-4). During the match Fritz scored 80 points vs Musetti’s 62. Fritz was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.

About the serving games, Fritz scored 13 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Taylor Fritz was pretty efficient on serve to win 84% (31/37) of his 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Taylor broke Musetti twice after converting 17% of his break points (2/12).

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Australia where he defeated Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-4 5-7 7-6(4) and in Stuttgart where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(0) and in Eastbourne where he overcame Jenson Brooksby in the final 7-5 6-1.

The American has a compiled 53-21 win-loss record in 2025, 6-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Nitto ATP Finals

Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2024. See his history

.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Alcaraz	Fritz
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	21	19
Pts	71-59	80-62
Total Points	130	142
Winners	30	31
%Winners	42%	39%

Both Alcaraz and Fritz played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Alcaraz and Fritz have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Alcaraz played 2 games more than Fritz. Alcaraz scored 30 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Fritz fired 31 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Alcaraz	Fritz
Aces	5	13
Avg per match	5	13
1st in	48/72	37/56
%1st in	67%	66%
1st pts	30/48	31/37
%1st pts	63%	84%
2nd pts	14/24	12/19
%2nd pts	58%	63%

Alcaraz fired 5 aces . Fritz recorded 13 aces . Alcaraz won 63% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Fritz won 84% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Alcaraz	Fritz
Won	4	2
Converted	4/7	2/12
% Converted	57%	17%
Conceded	5	4
Saved	3	4
% Saved	60%	100%
Times Broken	2	0

The Spaniard broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Spaniard lost his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Taylor broke his opponent twice with a 17% conversion rate. Taylor was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points.

Alcaraz
	Round Robin De Minaur	Total
Score	7-65 6-2
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	21	21
pts	71-59	71-59
Total points	130	130
Winners	30	30
%Winners	42%	42%
SERVE
Aces	5	5
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	48/72	48/72
% 1st in	67%	67%
1st pts	30/48	30/48
% 1st pts	63%	63%
2nd pts	14/24	14/24
% 2nd pts	58%	58%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/7	4/7
Converted %	57%	57%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	3/5	3
Saved %	60%	60%
Times Broken	2	2

Fritz
	Round Robin Musetti	Total
Score	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	19	19
pts	80-62	80-62
Total points	142	142
Winners	31	31
%Winners	39%	39%
SERVE
Aces	13	13
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	37/56	37/56
% 1st in	66%	66%
1st pts	31/37	31/37
% 1st pts	84%	84%
2nd pts	12/19	12/19
% 2nd pts	63%	63%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/12	2/12
Converted %	17%	17%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	4/4	4
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Tennis Scores in Nitto ATP Finals

• Joe Salisbury/Neal SkupskiSalisbury/Neal Skupski – Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Taylor FritzFritz – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Ben SheltonShelton (6-3 7-6⁶) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz (6-4 4-6 10-6) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (7-6⁵ 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori – Julian Cash/Lloyd GlasspoolCash/Lloyd Glasspool (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Alexander ZverevZverev – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-3) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (5-6) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Alexander ZverevZverev (5-4) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (3-1) – H2H and prediction
• Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (7-1) – H2H and prediction