Connor Thomson and Karl Poling will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Drummondville Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 12:30 pm on COURT 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Connor Thomson who should win in 3 sets.
Connor Thomson -> 1.84
Karl Poling -> 1.84
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Prediction and head to head Connor Thomson vs. Karl Poling
There is no head to head record between Connor Thomson and Karl Poling since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Connor Thomson
10 - 9win/loss
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-9 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| 2024 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently unranked, Thomson reached the qualifications after beating Oliver Bonding 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Bonding (6-4 6-4). During the match, Thomson scored 78 points vs Bonding’s 61. Thomson was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about the service games, Thomson struck 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Connor Thomson was extremely effective on serve to win 76% (26/34) of his 1st serve and 71% (20/28) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Brit broke Bonding twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).
Thomson has a negative match record in the last 4 years having won 44% of his matches (14-18). 1-0 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Thomson has a composed3-5 win-loss record in the last 4 years on indoor hard courts.
Thomson has an aggregate 10-8 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Drummondville Challenger
Connor has never competed in this tournament before.
Karl Poling
30 - 32win/loss
613
542
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-33 | 13-17 | 9-8 | 8-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 22-15 | 17-10 | 0-1 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 10-6 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 611, the American reached the qualifications after defeating Jean-Christophe L Baril 6-0 6-0.
In the qualifications, Poling had a good straight sets win against L Baril (6-0 6-0). During the match Poling scored 51 points vs L Baril’s 18. Karl was very aggressive to blast 17 winners.
Talking about serving, Poling was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Karl Poling was exceptionally effective on serve to win 81% (17/21) of his 1st serve and 73% (8/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Karl broke L Baril 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Poling’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 Bastad.
The American has a composed 29-32 win-loss record in 2025, 7-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Drummondville Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Thomson | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 12 |
| Pts | 78-61 | 51-18 |
| Total Points | 139 | 69 |
| Winners | 26 | 17 |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% |
Both Thomson and Poling played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Thomson and Poling have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Thomson played 8 games more than Poling. The Brit scored 26 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, The American blasted 17 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Thomson | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 0 |
| 1st in | 34/62 | 21/32 |
| %1st in | 55% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 26/34 | 17/21 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 20/28 | 8/11 |
| %2nd pts | 71% | 73% |
Thomson made 3 aces . Poling didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Thomson won 76% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Poling won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 73% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Thomson | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 6 |
| Converted | 2/9 | 6/9 |
| % Converted | 22% | 67% |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 |
| Saved | 2 | 0 |
| % Saved | 100% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Thomson broke his opponent twice with a 22% conversion rate. The Brit extremely effective on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 2 break points. Karl broke his opponent 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. Karl was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Thomson | |||
| Q1 Bonding | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 78-61 | 78-61 | |
| Total points | 139 | 139 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 34/62 | 34/62 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 26/34 | 26/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/28 | 20/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 71% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/9 | 2/9 | |
| Converted % | 22% | 22% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Poling | |||
| Q1 L | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 12 | 12 | |
| pts | 51-18 | 51-18 | |
| Total points | 69 | 69 | |
| Winners | 17 | 17 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 21/32 | 21/32 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 17/21 | 17/21 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/11 | 8/11 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 73% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 6/9 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
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