Carlos Alcaraz and Alex De Minaur will play each other in the Round Robin of the the Nitto ATP Finals for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:00 pm on Centre Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.25
Alex De Minaur -> 3.92
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Alex De Minaur
This will be the 5th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Alex De Minaur play each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played, Alcaraz won 7-5 6-3 in the quarter in Barcelona back in April 2025.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex De Minaur – Barcelona 18-April-2025
Carlos Alcaraz
68 - 8win/loss
1
1
LWWWWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 71-9 | 28-4 | 22-1 | 10-3 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard will start his run in the Nitto ATP Finals after he played his last match in Paris where he lost 4-6 6-3 6-4 to Norrie in the 2nd round on the 28th of October.
Alcaraz has a compiled 67-8 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
His best result of the season was winning the title in Rotterdam where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2 and in Carlo where he beat Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0 and in Rome where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 7-6(5) 6-1 and at the French Open where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2) and in London where he beat Jiri Lehecka in the final 7-5 6-7(5) 6-2 and in Cincinnati where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 5-0 ret. and at the U.S. Open where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 6-2 3-6 6-1 6-4 and in Tokyo where he beat Taylor Fritz in the final 6-4 6-4.
Talking about his overall career, Carlos has an overall 354-84 record. He has a positive 31-15 record on indoor hard courts.
Previously in the Nitto ATP Finals
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See his history.
Alex De Minaur
55 - 22win/loss
7
6
LWLLLWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 56-24 | 30-11 | 10-5 | 13-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, Alex will start his run in the Nitto ATP Finals after he played his last match in Paris where he lost 6-7(5) 6-4 7-5 to Bublik in the quarter on the 31st of October.
Alex has an aggregate 55-21 win-loss record in 2025, 12-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
His best result of the season was winning the title in Washington where he beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 5-7 6-1 7-6(3).
In terms of his career, Alex has an overall 420-229 record. He has a positive 79-47 record on indoor hard courts.
Previously in the Nitto ATP Finals
Previously, his best result was reaching the Round Robin in 2024. See his history.
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexander ZverevZverev – (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (5-6) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Alexander ZverevZverev (5-4) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (7-1) – H2H and prediction
