Novak Djokovic and Lorenzo Musetti will fight against each other in the final of the Hellenic Championship for the 10th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 5:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 3 sets.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.46
Lorenzo Musetti -> 2.7
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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Lorenzo Musetti
This will be the 10th time that Novak Djokovic and Lorenzo Musetti face off. The head to head is 8-1 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they squared off, Djokovic won 6-2 6-2 in the 4th round in Miami back in March 2025.
Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti – Miami 25-March-2025
Novak Djokovic
38 - 11win/loss
4
1
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39-11 | 21-7 | 9-3 | 4-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-9 | 15-5 | 16-3 | 1-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-7 | 27-1 | 12-3 | 11-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-7 | 2-1 | 14-4 | 19-2 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-7 | 19-3 | 18-3 | 11-1 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, the Serbian reached the final after beating Alejandro Tabilo 7-6(3) 6-1, Nuno Borges 7-6(1) 6-4 and Yannick Hanfmann 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal, Novak had a good straight sets win against Hanfmann (6-3 6-4). During the match, Djokovic scored 55 points vs Hanfmann’s 44. Djokovic was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Djokovic made 9 aces and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults. Overall, Novak Djokovic was exceptionally effective on serve to win 74% (28/38) of his 1st serve and 69% (9/13) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Novak broke Hanfmann 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Djokovic hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Djokovic has an impressive record in the last 10 years having won 85% of his matches (476-87). 3-0 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Djokovic has a compiled 76-15 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Geneva where he beat Hubert Hurkacz in the final 5-7 7-6(2) 7-6(2).
Novak has an overall 38-11 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Athens
Novak has never competed in this tournament before.
Lorenzo Musetti
44 - 19win/loss
8
6
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 45-22 | 18-11 | 19-4 | 8-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, Musetti got to the final after defeating Stan Wawrinka 4-6 7-6(5) 6-4, Alexandre Muller 6-2 6-4 and Sebastian Korda 6-0 5-7 7-5.
In the semifinal, Musetti defeated Korda (6-0 5-7 7-5). During the match Musetti scored 99 points vs Korda’s 88. Lorenzo was extremely aggressive to blast 50 winners.
About the serving games, Musetti struck 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Lorenzo Musetti lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Musetti put 72% of his first serves in, winning 68% (50/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (15/29) on the 2nd serve. Lorenzo broke Korda 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Musetti has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The Italian’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Carlo and Chengdu.
The Italian has a composed 44-19 win-loss record in 2025, 7-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Djokovic | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 62 | 81 |
| Pts | 206-155 | 278-242 |
| Total Points | 361 | 520 |
| Winners | 98 | 131 |
| %Winners | 48% | 47% |
Both Djokovic and Musetti played 3 matches. At the moment, Lorenzo Musetti lost 2 sets while Novak Djokovic hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Djokovic has played 2 set(s) less than Musetti (6 vs 8). Therefore, Djokovic played 19 games less than Musetti. Novak scored 98 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Lorenzo recorded 131 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Djokovic | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 31 | 26 |
| Avg per match | 10.3 | 8.7 |
| 1st in | 117/171 | 182/256 |
| %1st in | 68% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 98/117 | 131/182 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 35/54 | 41/74 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 55% |
Djokovic recorded 31 aces (10.3 per match). Musetti struck 26 aces (8.7 per match). Djokovic won 84% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Musetti won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Djokovic | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 10 |
| Converted | 6/16 | 10/26 |
| % Converted | 38% | 38% |
| Conceded | 4 | 10 |
| Saved | 3 | 6 |
| % Saved | 75% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
Djokovic broke his opponents 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Serbian surrendered his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Musetti broke his opponents 10 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Djokovic | |||||
| R2 Tabilo | 1/4 Borges | 1/2 Hanfmann | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-1 | 7-61 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 23 | 19 | 62 | |
| pts | 73-48 | 78-63 | 55-44 | 206-155 | |
| Total points | 121 | 141 | 99 | 361 | |
| Winners | 34 | 36 | 28 | 98 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 46% | 51% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 13 | 9 | 9 | 31 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 37/59 | 42/61 | 38/51 | 117/171 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 69% | 75% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 34/37 | 36/42 | 28/38 | 98/117 | |
| % 1st pts | 92% | 86% | 74% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/22 | 13/19 | 9/13 | 35/54 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 68% | 69% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 1/5 | 3/6 | 6/16 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 20% | 50% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/1 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 0% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Musetti | |||||
| R2 Wawrinka | 1/4 Muller | 1/2 Korda | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-65 6-4 | 6-2 6-4 | 6-0 5-7 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 18 | 30 | 81 | |
| pts | 105-103 | 74-51 | 99-88 | 278-242 | |
| Total points | 208 | 125 | 187 | 520 | |
| Winners | 53 | 28 | 50 | 131 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 38% | 51% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 9 | 9 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 72/100 | 36/53 | 74/103 | 182/256 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 68% | 72% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 53/72 | 28/36 | 50/74 | 131/182 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 78% | 68% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/28 | 10/17 | 15/29 | 41/74 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 59% | 52% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 1/8 | 4/11 | 5/7 | 10/26 | |
| Converted % | 13% | 36% | 71% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 2/3 | 3/5 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 67% | 60% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (8-1) – H2H and prediction