Henrique Rocha and Frederico Ferreira Silva will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Matsuyama Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:00 am on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Henrique Rocha who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Henrique Rocha is the pick to win this match.
Henrique Rocha -> 1.71
Frederico Ferreira Silva -> 1.99

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Prediction and head to head Henrique Rocha vs. Frederico Ferreira Silva

This will be the 2^nd time that Henrique Rocha and Frederico Ferreira Silva square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Ferreira Silva (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Ferreira Silva won 6-7(3) 7-6(3) 7-6(5) in the 2^nd round in the Oeiras 2 Challenger back in January 2025.

Henrique Rocha

Ranked no. 167, Rocha got to the semifinal after defeating Kokoro Isomura 5-7 6-4 6-1, Renta Tokuda 6-4 6-3 and Rio Noguchi 7-5 4-6 6-3.

In the quarter, The Portuguese defeated Noguchi (7-5 4-6 6-3). During the match, Rocha scored 90 points vs Noguchi’s 82. Rocha was quite aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rocha fired 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Henrique Rocha was extremely effective on serve to win 75% (44/59) of his 1st serve and 52% (13/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Henrique broke Noguchi 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Henrique has dropped 2 set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Rocha has a winning record in the last 6 years having won 57% of his matches (157-118). 14-9 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rocha has an overall82-43 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.

Henrique’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Lisbon Challenger.

The Portuguese has a compiled 31-28 win-loss record in 2025, 14-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Matsuyama Challenger

The Portuguese has never competed in this tournament before.

Frederico Ferreira Silva

Ranked no. 249, Ferreira Silva reached the semifinal after beating Yusuke Kusuhara 7-6(4) 6-7(3) 6-3, Max Basing 6-1 6-3 and Oliver Crawford 6-7(3) 6-4 7-5.

In the quarter against Crawford, Ferreira Silva recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7³

6-4 7-5). During the match Ferreira Silva scored 116 points vs Crawford’s 110. Ferreira Silva was quite aggressive to blast 58 winners.

About the serving games, Ferreira Silva scored 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Frederico Ferreira Silva lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Ferreira Silva put 71% of his first serves in, winning 71% (58/82) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (15/34) on the 2nd serve. The Portuguese broke Crawford 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ferreira Silva has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

The Portuguese’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio.

The Portuguese has a composed 35-21 win-loss record in 2025, 20-6 on hard (See FULL STATS)

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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rocha	Ferreira Silva
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	8	8
Tot Games	79	86
Pts	258-222	302-272
Total Points	480	574
Winners	110	136
%Winners	43%	45%

Both Rocha and Ferreira Silva played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Henrique Rocha conceded 2 sets, while Frederico Ferreira Silva dropped 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Rocha and Ferreira Silva have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Rocha played 7 games less than Ferreira Silva. Henrique scored 110 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Ferreira Silva bagged 136 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rocha	Ferreira Silva
Aces	11	13
Avg per match	3.7	4.3
1st in	154/252	194/272
%1st in	61%	71%
1st pts	110/154	136/194
%1st pts	71%	70%
2nd pts	55/98	34/78
%2nd pts	56%	44%

Rocha made 11 aces (3.7 per match). Ferreira Silva fired 13 aces (4.3 per match). Rocha won 71% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Ferreira Silva won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 44% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rocha	Ferreira Silva
Won	12	16
Converted	12/26	16/34
% Converted	46%	47%
Conceded	17	20
Saved	10	12
% Saved	59%	60%
Times Broken	7	8

The Portuguese broke his opponents 12 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Portuguese surrendered his serve 7 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded. Ferreira Silva broke his opponents 16 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Portuguese conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Rocha
	R1 Isomura	R2 Tokuda	1/4 Noguchi	Total
Score	5-7 6-4 6-1	6-4 6-3	7-5 4-6 6-3
Tot Set	3	2	3	8
Tot Games	29	19	31	79
pts	107-95	61-45	90-82	258-222
Total points	202	106	172	480
Winners	41	25	44	110
%Winners	38%	41%	49%	43%
SERVE
Aces	6	2	3	11
Double Faults	5	2	5	12
1st in	63/111	32/57	59/84	154/252
% 1st in	57%	56%	70%	61%
1st pts	41/63	25/32	44/59	110/154
% 1st pts	65%	78%	75%	71%
2nd pts	24/48	18/25	13/25	55/98
% 2nd pts	50%	72%	52%	56%
Breaks
Won	6	2	4	12
Converted	6/14	2/2	4/10	12/26
Converted %	43%	100%	40%	46%
Conceded	11	0	6	17
Saved	7/11	0/0	3/6	10
Saved %	64%	–	50%	38%
Times Broken	4	0	3	7

Ferreira Silva
	R1 Kusuhara	R2 Basing	1/4 Crawford	Total
Score	7-64 6-73 6-3	6-1 6-3	6-73 6-4 7-5
Tot Set	3	2	3	8
Tot Games	35	16	35	86
pts	124-123	62-39	116-110	302-272
Total points	247	101	226	574
Winners	54	24	58	136
%Winners	44%	39%	50%	45%
SERVE
Aces	3	1	9	13
Double Faults	3	1	2	6
1st in	78/112	34/44	82/116	194/272
% 1st in	70%	77%	71%	71%
1st pts	54/78	24/34	58/82	136/194
% 1st pts	69%	71%	71%	70%
2nd pts	15/34	4/10	15/34	34/78
% 2nd pts	44%	40%	44%	44%
Breaks
Won	5	6	5	16
Converted	5/11	6/11	5/12	16/34
Converted %	45%	55%	42%	47%
Conceded	8	3	9	20
Saved	5/8	1/3	6/9	12
Saved %	63%	33%	67%	54%
Times Broken	3	2	3	8

Tennis Scores in Matsuyama Challenger

• Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Hugo GrenierGrenier (4-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Henrique RochaRocha – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (7-5 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Ryan PenistonPeniston – Duje AjdukovicAjdukovic (7-5 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – Oliver CrawfordCrawford (6-7³ 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Finn Reynolds/James WattReynolds/James Watt – Yuki Mochizuki/Ryotaro TaguchiMochizuki/Ryotaro Taguchi (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Ryan PenistonPeniston – Duje AjdukovicAjdukovic (7-5 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Hugo GrenierGrenier (4-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Ryan PenistonPeniston – Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro (0-0) – H2H and prediction