Cristian Garin and Gonzalo Bueno will square off in the quarter of the Lima 3 Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5:30 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cristian Garin who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Cristian Garin is the pick to win this match.
Cristian Garin -> 1.27
Gonzalo Bueno -> 3.34

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Cristian Garin vs. Gonzalo Bueno

There is no head to head record between Cristian Garin and Gonzalo Bueno since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Cristian Garin

Ranked no. 104, Christian reached the quarter after beating Timofey Skatov 6-1 6-2 and Ivan Gakhov 6-3 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, The Chilean had a good straight sets win against Gakhov (6-3 6-3). During the match, Garin scored 66 points vs Gakhov’s 50. Christian was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about the service games, Garin managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Cristian Garin was exceptionally effective on serve to win 74% (25/34) of his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Chilean broke Gakhov 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Christian hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 61% of the points he played.

Garin has winning match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (315-219). 34-12 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Garin has a composed 212-120 record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Mauthausen Challenger where he beat Tomas Barrios Vera in the final 3-6 6-1 6-4 and the Oeiras 5 Challenger where he beat Mitchell Krueger in the final 7-6(3) 4-6 6-2 and the Antofagasta Challenger where he beat Facundo Diaz Acosta in the final 2-6 6-3 6-3.

Christian has an aggregate 44-21 win-loss record in 2025, 34-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lima 3 Challenger

Gonzalo Bueno

Ranked no. 218, the Peruvian got to the quarter after defeating Vilius Gaubas 6-4 6-3 and Alex Barrena 6-3 1-6 7-6(7).

In the 2^nd round, The Peruvian defeated Barrena (6-3 1-6 7-6⁷). During the match Bueno scored 100 points vs Barrena’s 98. Gonzalo was exceptionally aggressive to blast 46 winners.

About the serving games, Bueno was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Gonzalo Bueno lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Bueno put 69% of his first serves in, winning 70% (46/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (14/29) on the 2nd serve. The Peruvian broke Barrena twice after converting 17% of his break points (2/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Peruvian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Liberec Challenger where he overcame Genaro Alberto Olivieri in the final 6-2 2-0 ret..

Gonzalo has a composed 42-29 win-loss record in 2025, 42-29 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Garin	Bueno
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	5
Tot Games	33	48
Pts	121-79	167-150
Total Points	200	317
Winners	48	69
%Winners	40%	41%

Both Garin and Bueno played 2 matches. At the moment, Gonzalo Bueno conceded 1 set while Cristian Garin hasn’t conceded a set so far. Garin has played 1 set(s) less than Bueno (4 vs 5). Therefore, Garin played 15 games less than Bueno. The Chilean scored 48 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Peruvian made 69 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Garin	Bueno
Aces	12	0
Avg per match	6	0
1st in	59/89	107/156
%1st in	66%	69%
1st pts	48/59	69/107
%1st pts	81%	64%
2nd pts	18/30	23/49
%2nd pts	60%	47%

Garin struck 12 aces (6 per match). Bueno didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Garin won 81% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Bueno won 64% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Garin	Bueno
Won	8	9
Converted	8/15	9/25
% Converted	53%	36%
Conceded	3	13
Saved	2	6
% Saved	67%	46%
Times Broken	1	7

Garin broke his opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. Christian dropped his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Peruvian broke his opponents 9 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Peruvian conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 46% of the break points that he conceded.

Garin
	R1 Skatov	R2 Gakhov	Total
Score	6-1 6-2	6-3 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	15	18	33
pts	55-29	66-50	121-79
Total points	84	116	200
Winners	23	25	48
%Winners	42%	38%	40%
SERVE
Aces	5	7	12
Double Faults	0	1	1
1st in	25/39	34/50	59/89
% 1st in	64%	68%	66%
1st pts	23/25	25/34	48/59
% 1st pts	92%	74%	81%
2nd pts	9/14	9/16	18/30
% 2nd pts	64%	56%	60%
Breaks
Won	4	4	8
Converted	4/7	4/8	8/15
Converted %	57%	50%	53%
Conceded	0	3	3
Saved	0/0	2/3	2
Saved %	–	67%	34%
Times Broken	0	1	1

Bueno
	R1 Gaubas	R2 Barrena	Total
Score	6-4 6-3	6-3 1-6 7-67
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	19	29	48
pts	67-52	100-98	167-150
Total points	119	198	317
Winners	23	46	69
%Winners	34%	46%	41%
SERVE
Aces	0	0	0
Double Faults	2	0	2
1st in	41/61	66/95	107/156
% 1st in	67%	69%	69%
1st pts	23/41	46/66	69/107
% 1st pts	56%	70%	64%
2nd pts	9/20	14/29	23/49
% 2nd pts	45%	48%	47%
Breaks
Won	7	2	9
Converted	7/13	2/12	9/25
Converted %	54%	17%	36%
Conceded	7	6	13
Saved	3/7	3/6	6
Saved %	43%	50%	47%
Times Broken	4	3	7

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva – Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri (1-2) – H2H and prediction