Aryna Sabalenka and Amanda Anisimova will clash against each other in the semifinal of the WTA Finals for the 11th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 6:30 pm on Center Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.43
Amanda Anisimova -> 2.94

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Amanda Anisimova

This will be the 11th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Amanda Anisimova fight against each other. The head to head is 6-4 for Anisimova (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they competed against each other, Sabalenka won 6-3 7-6(3) in the final in at the U.S. Open back in September 2025.

Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimova – U.S. Open 06-September-2025

Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka

63 - 11win/loss

Hard
35-6
I Hard
4-0
Clay
17-3
Grass
7-2
Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 63-12 35-6 17-3 4-1 7-2 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0

Currently world no. 1 Aryna reached the semifinal after defeating Jasmine Paolini 6-3 6-1, Cori Gauff 7-6(5) 6-2 and Jessica Pegula 6-4 2-6 6-3.

In the previous match, Sabalenka had a good straight sets win against Gauff (7-65 6-2). During the match, Sabalenka scored 70 points vs Gauff’s 54. Sabalenka was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sabalenka struck 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve 3 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 76% of her first serves in, winning 67% (35/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (8/16) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Gauff 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sabalenka has lost 1 set in this competition to win 54% of the points she played.

Sabalenka has a terrific win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 71% of her matches (436-179). 3-0 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has an aggregate 34-17 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Brisbane where she defeated Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2 and in Miami where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2 and in Madrid where she overcame Cori Gauff in the final 6-3 7-6(3) and at the U.S. Open where she defeated Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-3 7-6(3).

Sabalenka has a compiled 62-11 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Riyadh

Riyadh
Sabalenka's Record

Amanda Anisimova

Amanda Anisimova

47 - 18win/loss

Hard
25-8
I Hard
2-2
Clay
8-5
Grass
12-3
Rank
4
High
4
LWWLWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 47-18 25-8 8-5 2-2 12-3 0-0
2024 21-13 17-7 2-4 0-0 2-2 0-0
2023 3-8 3-7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 33-14 14-8 13-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2021 18-16 12-8 4-5 0-0 2-3 0-0

Ranked no. 4 (career-high), Amanda reached the semifinal after defeating Madison Keys 4-6 6-3 6-2, Elena Rybakina 6-3 6-1 and Iga Swiatek 6-7(3) 6-4 6-2.

In the previous match against Swiatek, Anisimova recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-73 6-4 6-2). During the match Anisimova scored 107 points vs Swiatek’s 103. Anisimova was very aggressive to blast 46 winners.

About the serving games, Anisimova bagged 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Amanda Anisimova was very effective on serve to win 72% (46/64) of her 1st serve and 57% (20/35) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Amanda broke Swiatek 3 times after converting 25% of her break points (3/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Anisimova has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.

Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Doha where she overcame Jelena Ostapenko in the final 6-4 6-3 and in Beijing where she overcame Linda Noskova in the final 6-0 2-6 6-2.

The American has a composed 47-17 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Riyadh

The American has never competed in this tournament before.

Riyadh
Anisimova's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Sabalenka
A.Anisimova
4h:41
4h:41
Time on court​
5h:16
5h:16
1h:28
1h:28
Last match​
!
2h:36
2h:36
3
3
Match played
3
3
64
64
Games Played​
74
74
7
7
Set played​​
8
8
222
222
Total points​
226
226
74
74
Avg point​
75.3
75.3
94
94
Winners
99
99
31.3
31.3
Avg Winners​
33
33
42%
42%
Ratio winners
44%
44%
-- Serve --
18
18
Aces
7
7
6
6
Avg Aces
2.3
2.3
7
7
Double Faults
8
8
2.3
2.3
Avg Double Faults
2.7
2.7
94/143
94/143
1st won total​
99/146
99/146
66%
66%
1st won %
68%
68%
34/61
34/61
2nd won total​
42/82
42/82
56%
56%
2nd won %
51%
51%
-- Break Points --
14/29
14/29
BP won
9/23
9/23
4.7/9.7
4.7/9.7
Avg BP won
3/7.7
3/7.7
48%
48%
Won
39%
39%
18
18
Conceded
16
16
6
6
Avg Conceded
5.3
5.3
8
8
Broken
8
8
2.7
2.7
Avg Broken
2.7
2.7
10
10
Saved
8
8

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sabalenka Anisimova
Match played 3 2
Tot Set 7 6
Tot Games 64 58
Pts 222-189 191-175
Total Points 411 366
Winners 94 80
%Winners 42% 42%

Sabalenka played 3 matches while Anisimova competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Aryna Sabalenka conceded 1 set, while Amanda Anisimova conceded 2 sets. Sabalenka has played 1 set more than Anisimova (7 vs 6). Therefore, Sabalenka played 6 games more than Anisimova. The Belarussian scored 94 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Amanda made 80 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sabalenka Anisimova
Aces 18 5
Avg per match 6 2.5
1st in 143/204 112/181
%1st in 70% 62%
1st pts 94/143 80/112
%1st pts 66% 71%
2nd pts 34/61 37/69
%2nd pts 56% 54%

Sabalenka scored 18 aces (6 per match). Anisimova bagged 5 aces (2.5 per match). Sabalenka won 66% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Anisimova won 71% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sabalenka Anisimova
Won 14 9
Converted 14/29 9/22
% Converted 48% 41%
Conceded 18 11
Saved 10 7
% Saved 56% 64%
Times Broken 8 4

Aryna broke her opponents 14 times with a 48% conversion rate. Aryna conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded. Anisimova broke her opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. Anisimova conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
Round Robin
Gauff
Round Robin
Pegula
Round Robin
Paolini
Total
Score 7-65 6-2 6-4 2-6 6-3 6-3 6-1
Tot Set 2 3 2 7
Tot Games 21 27 16 64
pts 70-54 89-86 63-49 222-189
Total points 124 175 112 411
Winners 35 30 29 94
%Winners 50% 34% 46% 42%
SERVE
Aces 3 4 11 18
Double Faults 1 6 0 7
1st in 52/68 47/82 44/54 143/204
% 1st in 76% 57% 81% 70%
1st pts 35/52 30/47 29/44 94/143
% 1st pts 67% 64% 66% 66%
2nd pts 8/16 21/35 5/10 34/61
% 2nd pts 50% 60% 50% 56%
Breaks
Won 5 4 5 14
Converted 5/6 4/16 5/7 14/29
Converted % 83% 25% 71% 48%
Conceded 6 8 4 18
Saved 3/6 4/8 3/4 10
Saved % 50% 50% 75% 58%
Times Broken 3 4 1 8
Anisimova
Round Robin
Swiatek
Round Robin
Keys
Round Robin
Rybakina
Total
Score 6-73 6-4 6-2 4-6 6-3 6-2 6-3 6-1
Tot Set 3 3 2 8
Tot Games 31 27 16 74
pts 107-103 84-72 191-175
Total points 210 156 0 366
Winners 46 34 80
%Winners 43% 40% 0% 42%
SERVE
Aces 3 2 0 5
Double Faults 2 3 5
1st in 64/99 48/82 / 112/181
% 1st in 65% 59% 0% 62%
1st pts 46/64 34/48 / 80/112
% 1st pts 72% 71% 0% 71%
2nd pts 20/35 17/34 / 37/69
% 2nd pts 57% 50% 0% 54%
Breaks
Won 3 6 9
Converted 3/12 6/10 / 9/22
Converted % 25% 60% 0% 41%
Conceded 4 7 11
Saved 4/4 3/7 0/ 7
Saved % 100% 43% 48%
Times Broken 0 4 4

Tennis Scores in Riyadh

Upcoming matches in the draw