Cameron Norrie and Lorenzo Sonego will play each other in the semifinal of the Moselle Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:30 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cameron Norrie who should win in 3 sets.
Cameron Norrie -> 1.64
Lorenzo Sonego -> 2.25
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Cameron Norrie vs. Lorenzo Sonego
This will be the 4th time that Cameron Norrie and Lorenzo Sonego fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Norrie (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played, Norrie won 6-2 4-6 6-1 in the 2nd round in Hong kong back in January 2025.
Highlights Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonego – Hong kong 01-January-2025
Cameron Norrie
38 - 28win/loss
27
8
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39-29 | 11-15 | 14-7 | 10-4 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-21 | 7-4 | 8-8 | 6-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-25 | 14-12 | 18-7 | 1-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-26 | 26-11 | 11-5 | 6-7 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-25 | 25-11 | 16-5 | 9-7 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 27, Norrie reached the semifinal after beating Valentin Royer 6-3 6-7(2) 6-3, Arthur Cazaux 6-7(1) 7-6(7) 6-2 and Kyrian Jacquet 4-6 7-6(2) 6-4.
In the quarter against Jacquet, Cameron recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-62 6-4). During the match, Norrie scored 108 points vs Jacquet’s 101. Norrie was pretty aggressive to blast 55 winners.
Regarding the service games, Norrie made 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Cameron Norrie lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Norrie put 75% of his first serves in, winning 70% (55/79) of the points behind his 1st serve and 63% (17/27) on the 2nd serve. Cameron broke Jacquet twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Norrie has conceded 3 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Norrie has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (350-226). 9-3 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Norrie has a compiled 50-45 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
The Brit’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Geneva.
Norrie has a compiled 38-28 win-loss record in 2025, 9-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Metz
Lorenzo Sonego
25 - 28win/loss
39
21
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-29 | 11-14 | 1-5 | 8-6 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 27-33 | 10-14 | 10-11 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-31 | 10-12 | 9-7 | 9-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-29 | 7-9 | 8-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-24 | 9-11 | 9-4 | 6-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 42, Lorenzo got to the semifinal after defeating Jan Choinski 4-6 6-4 6-4, Flavio Cobolli 2-6 6-3 7-5 and Daniel Altmaier 6-4 7-6(6).
In the quarter, Lorenzo had a good straight sets win against Altmaier (6-4 7-66). During the match Sonego scored 87 points vs Altmaier’s 74. Lorenzo was exceptionally aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Talking about serving, Sonego managed to score 10 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Lorenzo Sonego was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 79% (49/62) of his 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sonego broke Altmaier once after converting 13% of his break points (1/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The Italian has a compiled 25-28 win-loss record in 2025, 8-5 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Metz
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Norrie | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 98 | 82 |
| Pts | 315-284 | 272-244 |
| Total Points | 599 | 516 |
| Winners | 158 | 138 |
| %Winners | 50% | 51% |
Both Norrie and Sonego played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Cameron Norrie dropped 3 sets, while Lorenzo Sonego lost 2 sets. Norrie has played 1 set more than Sonego (9 vs 8). Therefore, Norrie played 16 games more than Sonego. The Brit scored 158 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Sonego blasted 138 winners (51%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Norrie | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 22 | 29 |
| Avg per match | 7.3 | 9.7 |
| 1st in | 218/298 | 181/241 |
| %1st in | 73% | 75% |
| 1st pts | 158/218 | 138/181 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 54/80 | 36/60 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 60% |
Norrie blasted 22 aces (7.3 per match). Sonego struck 29 aces (9.7 per match). Norrie won 72% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Sonego won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Norrie | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 6 |
| Converted | 7/18 | 6/25 |
| % Converted | 39% | 24% |
| Conceded | 12 | 17 |
| Saved | 9 | 13 |
| % Saved | 75% | 76% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 |
Cameron broke his opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. The Brit surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 6 times with a 24% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded.
| Norrie | |||||
| R1 Royer | R2 Cazaux | 1/4 Jacquet | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-72 6-3 | 6-71 7-67 6-2 | 4-6 7-62 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 34 | 33 | 98 | |
| pts | 93-80 | 114-103 | 108-101 | 315-284 | |
| Total points | 173 | 217 | 209 | 599 | |
| Winners | 48 | 55 | 55 | 158 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 48% | 51% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 10 | 6 | 6 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 60/84 | 79/108 | 79/106 | 218/298 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 73% | 75% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 48/60 | 55/79 | 55/79 | 158/218 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 70% | 70% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/24 | 19/29 | 17/27 | 54/80 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 66% | 63% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 3/6 | 2/6 | 7/18 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 50% | 33% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 4/5 | 5/7 | 9 | |
| Saved % | – | 80% | 71% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Sonego | |||||
| R1 Choinski | R2 Cobolli | 1/4 Altmaier | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-4 | 2-6 6-3 7-5 | 6-4 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 29 | 23 | 82 | |
| pts | 95-85 | 90-85 | 87-74 | 272-244 | |
| Total points | 180 | 175 | 161 | 516 | |
| Winners | 45 | 44 | 49 | 138 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 49% | 56% | 51% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 11 | 8 | 10 | 29 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 61/86 | 58/78 | 62/77 | 181/241 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 74% | 81% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 45/61 | 44/58 | 49/62 | 138/181 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 76% | 79% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/25 | 12/20 | 10/15 | 36/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 60% | 67% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 2/11 | 1/8 | 6/25 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 18% | 13% | 24% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 3 | 7 | 17 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 1/3 | 7/7 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 33% | 100% | 68% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
Tennis Scores in Metz
- Sander Arends/Luke JohnsonArends/Luke Johnson – Rafael Matos/Marcelo MeloMatos/Marcelo Melo (4-6 6-3 10-5) – See score progression
- Learner TienTien – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (5-7 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Kyrian JacquetJacquet (4-6 7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Vitaliy SachkoSachko – Clement TaburTabur (6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-4 7-66) – See score progression
- Petr Nouza/Patrik RiklNouza/Patrik Rikl – Rithvik Choudary Bollipalli/Arjun KadheChoudary Bollipalli/Arjun Kadhe (7-62 7-5) – See score progression
- Guido Andreozzi/Manuel GuinardAndreozzi/Manuel Guinard – Constantin Frantzen/Robin HaaseFrantzen/Robin Haase (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Quentin Halys/Pierre-Hugues HerbertHalys/Pierre-Hugues Herbert – Dan Added/Tom ParisAdded/Tom Paris (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Kyrian JacquetJacquet (4-6 7-6(2) 6-4) – See score progression
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-4 7-6(6)) – See score progression
- Learner TienTien – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (5-7 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Clement TaburTabur – Vitaliy SachkoSachko (1-0) – H2H and prediction