Lorenzo Musetti and Sebastian Korda will square off in the semifinal of the Hellenic Championship for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 7:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Korda who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Sebastian Korda is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Korda -> 1.88
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.92

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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Sebastian Korda

This will be the 5th time that Lorenzo Musetti and Sebastian Korda clash against each other. The head to head is 2-2 (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they played each other, Korda won 6-3 7-6(6) in the 2nd round in Metz back in 2022.

Highlights Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Musetti – Metz 21-September-2022

Lorenzo Musetti

Lorenzo Musetti

43 - 19win/loss

Hard
18-11
I Hard
6-3
Clay
19-4
Grass
0-1
Rank
8
High
6
LWLLWWWLLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 45-22 18-11 19-4 8-6 0-1 0-0
2024 46-30 13-12 18-10 3-5 12-3 0-0
2023 32-29 10-10 16-11 0-5 6-3 0-0
2022 44-30 11-10 21-7 12-10 0-3 0-0
2021 36-31 9-8 17-12 10-10 0-1 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 9, Musetti reached the semifinal after defeating Stan Wawrinka 4-6 7-6(5) 6-4 and Alexandre Muller 6-2 6-4.

In the quarter, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Muller (6-2 6-4). During the match, Musetti scored 74 points vs Muller’s 51. Lorenzo was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about the service games, Musetti made 9 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Lorenzo Musetti was very effective on serve to win 78% (28/36) of his 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Muller 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Musetti has lost 1 set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.

Musetti has a winning win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 59% of his matches (263-180). 6-3 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Musetti has an overall39-42 record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.

Musetti’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Carlo and Chengdu.

Lorenzo has a compiled 43-19 win-loss record in 2025, 6-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Athens

The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.

Athens
Musetti's Record

Sebastian Korda

Sebastian Korda

24 - 17win/loss

Hard
12-8
I Hard
7-4
Clay
5-5
Rank
48
High
15
LWWWLWWLLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 24-18 12-8 5-5 7-5 0-0 0-0
2024 31-19 17-9 5-5 2-2 7-3 0-0
2023 26-16 18-8 1-3 4-3 3-2 0-0
2022 34-22 13-9 8-6 12-5 1-2 0-0
2021 36-20 12-8 6-5 13-5 5-2 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 52, Korda got to the semifinal after beating Alexei Popyrin 4-6 6-3 6-4, Damir Dzumhur 4-6 6-3 6-3 and Miomir Kecmanovic 6-3 6-2.

In the quarter, Korda had a good straight sets win against Kecmanovic (6-3 6-2). During the match Korda scored 60 points vs Kecmanovic’s 34. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.

About the serving games, Korda managed to score 13 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Sebastian Korda was pretty effective on serve to win 91% (30/33) of his 1st serve and 67% (8/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Korda broke Kecmanovic 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Korda has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Korda’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Adelaide.

Sebastian has an aggregate 24-17 win-loss record in 2025, 7-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Athens
Korda's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

L.Musetti
S.Korda
3h:46
3h:46
Time on court​
4h:53
4h:53
1h:21
1h:21
Last match​
!
0h:58
0h:58
2
2
Match played
!
3
3
51
51
Games Played​
74
74
5
5
Set played​​
8
8
179
179
Total points​
240
240
89.5
89.5
Avg point​
80
80
81
81
Winners
109
109
40.5
40.5
Avg Winners​
36.3
36.3
45%
45%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
17
17
Aces
39
39
8.5
8.5
Avg Aces
!
13
13
3
3
Double Faults
2
2
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
0.7
0.7
81/108
81/108
1st won total​
109/137
109/137
!
75%
75%
1st won %
!
80%
80%
26/45
26/45
2nd won total​
49/74
49/74
58%
58%
2nd won %
!
66%
66%
-- Break Points --
5/19
5/19
BP won
8/17
8/17
2.5/9.5
2.5/9.5
Avg BP won
2.7/5.7
2.7/5.7
!
26%
26%
Won
47%
47%
5
5
Conceded
9
9
2.5
2.5
Avg Conceded
3
3
2
2
Broken
2
2
1
1
Avg Broken
!
0.7
0.7
3
3
Saved
7
7
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Musetti Korda
Match played 2 3
Tot Set 5 8
Tot Games 51 74
Pts 179-154 240-186
Total Points 333 426
Winners 81 109
%Winners 45% 45%

Musetti played 2 matches while Korda competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Lorenzo Musetti conceded 1 set, while Sebastian Korda dropped 2 sets. Musetti has played 3 set(s) less than Korda (5 vs 8). Therefore, Musetti played 23 games less than Korda. The Italian scored 81 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Sebastian made 109 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve Musetti Korda
Aces 17 39
Avg per match 8.5 13
1st in 108/153 137/211
%1st in 71% 65%
1st pts 81/108 109/137
%1st pts 75% 80%
2nd pts 26/45 49/74
%2nd pts 58% 66%

Musetti struck 17 aces (8.5 per match). Korda scored 39 aces (13 per match). Musetti won 75% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Korda won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 66% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Musetti Korda
Won 5 8
Converted 5/19 8/17
% Converted 26% 47%
Conceded 5 9
Saved 3 7
% Saved 60% 78%
Times Broken 2 2

Lorenzo broke his opponents 5 times with a 26% conversion rate. Lorenzo surrendered his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Sebastian broke his opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. Korda conceded his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.

Musetti
R2
Wawrinka		 1/4
Muller		 Total
Score 4-6 7-65 6-4 6-2 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 33 18 51
pts 105-103 74-51 179-154
Total points 208 125 333
Winners 53 28 81
%Winners 50% 38% 45%
SERVE
Aces 8 9 17
Double Faults 3 0 3
1st in 72/100 36/53 108/153
% 1st in 72% 68% 71%
1st pts 53/72 28/36 81/108
% 1st pts 74% 78% 75%
2nd pts 16/28 10/17 26/45
% 2nd pts 57% 59% 58%
Breaks
Won 1 4 5
Converted 1/8 4/11 5/19
Converted % 13% 36% 26%
Conceded 2 3 5
Saved 1/2 2/3 3
Saved % 50% 67% 59%
Times Broken 1 1 2
Korda
R1
Popyrin		 R2
Dzumhur		 1/4
Kecmanovic		 Total
Score 4-6 6-3 6-4 4-6 6-3 6-3 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 3 3 2 8
Tot Games 29 28 17 74
pts 89-79 91-73 60-34 240-186
Total points 168 164 94 426
Winners 41 38 30 109
%Winners 46% 42% 50% 45%
SERVE
Aces 12 14 13 39
Double Faults 1 1 0 2
1st in 53/82 51/84 33/45 137/211
% 1st in 65% 61% 73% 65%
1st pts 41/53 38/51 30/33 109/137
% 1st pts 77% 75% 91% 80%
2nd pts 19/29 22/33 8/12 49/74
% 2nd pts 66% 67% 67% 66%
Breaks
Won 2 3 3 8
Converted 2/5 3/5 3/7 8/17
Converted % 40% 60% 43% 47%
Conceded 4 4 1 9
Saved 3/4 3/4 1/1 7
Saved % 75% 75% 100% 125%
Times Broken 1 1 0 2

Tennis Scores in Athens

Upcoming matches in the draw

Musetti
More Stats
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Korda

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