Sho Shimabukuro and Hugo Grenier will fight against each other in the quarter of the Matsuyama Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sho Shimabukuro who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Sho Shimabukuro is the pick to win this match.
Sho Shimabukuro -> 1.49
Hugo Grenier -> 2.4

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Prediction and head to head Sho Shimabukuro vs. Hugo Grenier

There is no head to head record between Sho Shimabukuro and Hugo Grenier since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Sho Shimabukuro

Ranked no. 157, Shimabukuro reached the quarter after defeating Yuki Mochizuki 6-4 6-2 and Garrett Johns 6-2 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Johns (6-2 6-2). During the match, Shimabukuro scored 53 points vs Johns’s 29. Shimabukuro was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Talking about the service games, Shimabukuro struck 5 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Sho Shimabukuro was pretty efficient on serve to win 88% (21/24) of his 1st serve and 85% (11/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Shimabukuro broke Johns 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Shimabukuro hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 59% of the points he played.

Shimabukuro has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (271-167). 27-18 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Shimabukuro has an overall 205-121 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Zhangjiagang Challenger where he overcame Oliver Crawford in the final 6-3 3-6 7-5 and the Seoul Challenger where he overcame Chak Lam Coleman Wong in the final 6-4 6-3.

Shimabukuro has a compiled 30-21 win-loss record in 2025, 27-18 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Matsuyama Challenger

Hugo Grenier

Ranked no. 179, Grenier got to the quarter after defeating Hikaru Shiraishi 6-4 6-4

and Yasutaka Uchiyama 6-7(8) 6-3 6-1.

In the 2^nd round against Uchiyama, Hugo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7⁸ 6-3 6-1). During the match Grenier scored 100 points vs Uchiyama’s 76. Hugo was quite aggressive to blast 46 winners.

About the serving games, Grenier fired 11 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Hugo Grenier was very efficient on serve to win 81% (46/57) of his 1st serve and 59% (16/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The French player broke Uchiyama 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The French player has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Hugo’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Villena Challenger.

The French player has a compiled 39-32 win-loss record in 2025, 30-17 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Shimabukuro	Grenier
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	5
Tot Games	34	49
Pts	120-82	175-139
Total Points	202	314
Winners	44	86
%Winners	37%	49%

Both Shimabukuro and Grenier played 2 matches. At the moment, Hugo Grenier conceded 1 set while Sho Shimabukuro hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Shimabukuro has played 1 set(s) less than Grenier (4 vs 5). Therefore, Shimabukuro played 15 games less than Grenier. The Japanese scored 44 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The French player blasted 86 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Shimabukuro	Grenier
Aces	5	21
Avg per match	2.5	10.5
1st in	65/101	109/160
%1st in	64%	68%
1st pts	44/65	86/109
%1st pts	68%	79%
2nd pts	20/36	24/51
%2nd pts	56%	47%

Shimabukuro bagged 5 aces (2.5 per match). Grenier blasted 21 aces (10.5 per match). Shimabukuro won 68% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Grenier won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Shimabukuro	Grenier
Won	11	9
Converted	11/18	9/17
% Converted	61%	53%
Conceded	7	10
Saved	3	7
% Saved	43%	70%
Times Broken	4	3

Sho broke his opponents 11 times with a 61% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded. Grenier broke his opponents 9 times with a 53% conversion rate. Grenier conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Shimabukuro
	R1 Mochizuki	R2 Johns	Total
Score	6-4 6-2	6-2 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	18	16	34
pts	67-53	53-29	120-82
Total points	120	82	202
Winners	23	21	44
%Winners	34%	40%	37%
SERVE
Aces	0	5	5
Double Faults	0	0	0
1st in	41/64	24/37	65/101
% 1st in	64%	65%	64%
1st pts	23/41	21/24	44/65
% 1st pts	56%	88%	68%
2nd pts	9/23	11/13	20/36
% 2nd pts	39%	85%	56%
Breaks
Won	7	4	11
Converted	7/12	4/6	11/18
Converted %	58%	67%	61%
Conceded	7	0	7
Saved	3/7	0/0	3
Saved %	43%	–	22%
Times Broken	4	0	4

Grenier
	R1 Shiraishi	R2 Uchiyama	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	6-78 6-3 6-1
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	20	29	49
pts	75-63	100-76	175-139
Total points	138	176	314
Winners	40	46	86
%Winners	53%	46%	49%
SERVE
Aces	10	11	21
Double Faults	3	3	6
1st in	52/76	57/84	109/160
% 1st in	68%	68%	68%
1st pts	40/52	46/57	86/109
% 1st pts	77%	81%	79%
2nd pts	8/24	16/27	24/51
% 2nd pts	33%	59%	47%
Breaks
Won	3	6	9
Converted	3/4	6/13	9/17
Converted %	75%	46%	53%
Conceded	4	6	10
Saved	3/4	4/6	7
Saved %	75%	67%	71%
Times Broken	1	2	3

Tennis Scores in Matsuyama Challenger

• Finn Reynolds/James WattReynolds/James Watt – Yuki Mochizuki/Ryotaro TaguchiMochizuki/Ryotaro Taguchi (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Hugo GrenierGrenier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Duje AjdukovicAjdukovic – Ryan PenistonPeniston (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Oliver CrawfordCrawford – Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva (0-0) – H2H and prediction