Ryan Peniston and Duje Ajdukovic will square off in the quarter of the Matsuyama Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:30 pm on COURT 6. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ryan Peniston who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ryan Peniston is the pick to win this match.
Ryan Peniston -> 1.77
Duje Ajdukovic -> 1.92

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Prediction and head to head Ryan Peniston vs. Duje Ajdukovic

This will be the 2^nd time that Ryan Peniston and Duje Ajdukovic fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Peniston (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Peniston won 6-2 5-7 7-6(2) in the quarter in the Antalya 3 Challenger back in 2021.

Ryan Peniston

Ranked no. 194, the Brit reached the quarter after beating Takuya Kumasaka 6-0 6-1 and Shunsuke Nakagawa 6-2 6-7(5) 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Ryan defeated Nakagawa (6-2 6-7⁵ 6-3). During the match, Peniston scored 103 points vs Nakagawa’s 83. Peniston was very aggressive to blast 49 winners.

Talking about the service games, Peniston blasted 4 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Ryan Peniston was extremely effective on serve to win 72% (49/68) of his 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Peniston broke Nakagawa 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Peniston has dropped 1 set in this event to win 60% of the points he played.

Peniston has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 62% of his matches (316-191). 44-14 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Peniston has an aggregate215-101 match record in the last 9 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Hersonissos 5 Challenger where he overcame Kimmer Coppejans in the final 6-3 7-5.

Ryan has a compiled 52-21 win-loss record in 2025, 44-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Matsuyama Challenger

The Brit has never competed in this tournament before.

Duje Ajdukovic

Ranked no. 322, Ajdukovic got to the quarter after defeating Dimitar Kuzmanov 6-1 6-3 and Koki Matsuda 6-4 3-6 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Duje defeated Matsuda (6-4 3-6 6-3). During the match Ajdukovic scored 93 points vs Matsuda’s 82. The Croatian was quite aggressive to blast 40 winners.

About the serving games, Ajdukovic managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Duje Ajdukovic lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Ajdukovic put 66% of his first serves in, winning 77% (40/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (13/27) on the 2nd serve. Ajdukovic broke Matsuda 3 times after converting 23% of his break points (3/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Croatian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Ajdukovic’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Como Challenger.

Ajdukovic has a compiled 23-27 win-loss record in 2025, 9-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Peniston	Ajdukovic
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	5
Tot Games	43	44
Pts	157-104	154-123
Total Points	261	277
Winners	66	62
%Winners	42%	40%

Both Peniston and Ajdukovic played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Ryan Peniston surrendered 1 set, while Duje Ajdukovic conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Peniston and Ajdukovic have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Peniston played 1 game less than Ajdukovic. Ryan scored 66 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Croatian scored 62 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Peniston	Ajdukovic
Aces	4	10
Avg per match	2	5
1st in	87/119	85/132
%1st in	73%	64%
1st pts	66/87	62/85
%1st pts	76%	73%
2nd pts	21/32	26/47
%2nd pts	66%	55%

Peniston scored 4 aces (2 per match). Ajdukovic managed to score 10 aces (5 per match). Peniston won 76% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Ajdukovic won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Peniston	Ajdukovic
Won	11	8
Converted	11/23	8/22
% Converted	48%	36%
Conceded	7	11
Saved	5	8
% Saved	71%	73%
Times Broken	2	3

Peniston broke his opponents 11 times with a 48% conversion rate. Ryan lost his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Duje broke his opponents 8 times with a 36% conversion rate. Duje conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.

Peniston
	R1 Kumasaka	R2 Nakagawa	Total
Score	6-0 6-1	6-2 6-75 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	13	30	43
pts	54-21	103-83	157-104
Total points	75	186	261
Winners	17	49	66
%Winners	31%	48%	42%
SERVE
Aces	0	4	4
Double Faults	0	5	5
1st in	19/27	68/92	87/119
% 1st in	70%	74%	73%
1st pts	17/19	49/68	66/87
% 1st pts	89%	72%	76%
2nd pts	7/8	14/24	21/32
% 2nd pts	88%	58%	66%
Breaks
Won	6	5	11
Converted	6/11	5/12	11/23
Converted %	55%	42%	48%
Conceded	0	7	7
Saved	0/0	5/7	5
Saved %	–	71%	36%
Times Broken	0	2	2

Ajdukovic
	R1 Kuzmanov	R2 Matsuda	Total
Score	6-1 6-3	6-4 3-6 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	16	28	44
pts	61-41	93-82	154-123
Total points	102	175	277
Winners	22	40	62
%Winners	36%	43%	40%
SERVE
Aces	4	6	10
Double Faults	0	1	1
1st in	33/53	52/79	85/132
% 1st in	62%	66%	64%
1st pts	22/33	40/52	62/85
% 1st pts	67%	77%	73%
2nd pts	13/20	13/27	26/47
% 2nd pts	65%	48%	55%
Breaks
Won	5	3	8
Converted	5/9	3/13	8/22
Converted %	56%	23%	36%
Conceded	6	5	11
Saved	5/6	3/5	8
Saved %	83%	60%	72%
Times Broken	1	2	3

Tennis Scores in Matsuyama Challenger

• Finn Reynolds/James WattReynolds/James Watt – Yuki Mochizuki/Ryotaro TaguchiMochizuki/Ryotaro Taguchi (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Hugo GrenierGrenier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Duje AjdukovicAjdukovic – Ryan PenistonPeniston (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Oliver CrawfordCrawford – Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva (0-0) – H2H and prediction