Lorenzo Musetti and Alexandre Muller will fight against each other in the quarter of the Hellenic Championship for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 2 sets.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.32
Alexandre Muller -> 3.36
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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Alexandre Muller
This will be the 2nd time that Lorenzo Musetti and Alexandre Muller square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Muller (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played, Muller won 6-3 1-6 6-4 in the quarter in Marrakech back in 2023.
Highlights Alexandre Muller vs Lorenzo Musetti – Marrakech 07-April-2023
Lorenzo Musetti
43 - 19win/loss
8
6
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 45-22 | 18-11 | 19-4 | 8-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, Lorenzo reached the quarter after defeating Stan Wawrinka 4-6 7-6(5) 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Wawrinka, Lorenzo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-65 6-4). During the match, Musetti scored 105 points vs Wawrinka’s 103. Lorenzo was exceptionally aggressive to blast 53 winners.
Regarding the service games, Musetti blasted 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Lorenzo Musetti was very efficient on serve to win 74% (53/72) of his 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Wawrinka once after converting 13% of his break points (1/8).
Musetti has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 59% of his matches (262-180). 5-3 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Musetti has a compiled38-42 win-loss record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.
The Italian’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Carlo and Chengdu.
Lorenzo has a composed 42-19 win-loss record in 2025, 5-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Athens
Lorenzo has never competed in this tournament before.
Alexandre Muller
26 - 29win/loss
42
38
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-29 | 12-12 | 11-10 | 3-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-32 | 11-14 | 20-12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-33 | 20-13 | 18-12 | 7-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-31 | 6-6 | 27-20 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-31 | 6-7 | 16-15 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 43, Muller got to the quarter after beating Jan-Lennard Struff 6-3 2-6 7-6(6) and Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-7(2) 7-6(4) 7-6(3).
In the 2nd round against Etcheverry, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-72 7-64 7-63).During the match Muller scored less points (5) than Etcheverry. In fact, the world no. 9 won 122 points vs Etcheverry’s. That means that Muller was more focused during the important points. Muller was quite aggressive to blast 65 winners.
About the serving games, Muller blasted 12 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Alexandre Muller was pretty effective on serve to win 73% (65/89) of his 1st serve and 61% (25/41) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Alexandre broke Etcheverry once after converting 14% of his break points (1/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alexandre has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 49% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in Hong Kong where he overcame Kei Nishikori in the final 2-6 6-1 6-3.
Muller has a composed 26-28 win-loss record in 2025, 3-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Musetti | Muller |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 33 | 69 |
| Pts | 105-103 | 217-226 |
| Total Points | 208 | 443 |
| Winners | 53 | 115 |
| %Winners | 50% | 53% |
Musetti played 1 match while Muller competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Lorenzo Musetti lost 1 set, while Alexandre Muller surrendered 2 sets. Musetti has played 3 set(s) less than Muller (3 vs 6). Therefore, Musetti played 36 games less than Muller. Lorenzo scored 53 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Muller scored 115 winners (53%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Musetti | Muller |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 9.5 |
| 1st in | 72/100 | 169/244 |
| %1st in | 72% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 53/72 | 115/169 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 16/28 | 45/75 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 60% |
Musetti blasted 8 aces . Muller made 19 aces (9.5 per match). Musetti won 74% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Muller won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Musetti | Muller |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 1 | 3 |
| Converted | 1/8 | 3/11 |
| % Converted | 13% | 27% |
| Conceded | 2 | 20 |
| Saved | 1 | 16 |
| % Saved | 50% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
The Italian broke his opponent once with a 13% conversion rate. The Italian surrendered his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Muller broke his opponents 3 times with a 27% conversion rate. Alexandre conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Musetti | |||
| R2 Wawrinka | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-65 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 33 | |
| pts | 105-103 | 105-103 | |
| Total points | 208 | 208 | |
| Winners | 53 | 53 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 72/100 | 72/100 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 53/72 | 53/72 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/28 | 16/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/8 | 1/8 | |
| Converted % | 13% | 13% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Muller | ||||
| R1 Struff | R2 Etcheverry | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 2-6 7-66 | 6-72 7-64 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 39 | 69 | |
| pts | 95-99 | 122-127 | 217-226 | |
| Total points | 194 | 249 | 443 | |
| Winners | 50 | 65 | 115 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 53% | 53% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 12 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 80/114 | 89/130 | 169/244 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 68% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 50/80 | 65/89 | 115/169 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 73% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/34 | 25/41 | 45/75 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 61% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 1/7 | 3/11 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 14% | 27% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 9 | 20 | |
| Saved | 8/11 | 8/9 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 89% | 162% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
Tennis Scores in Athens
- Santiago Gonzalez/David PelGonzalez/David Pel – Adam Pavlasek/Ryan SeggermanPavlasek/Ryan Seggerman (7-63 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Nuno BorgesBorges (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (2-1) – H2H and prediction