Nicolas Mejia and Murphy Cassone will square off in the 2^nd round of the Knoxville Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 5:30 pm on COURT 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Murphy Cassone who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Murphy Cassone is the pick to win this match.
Murphy Cassone -> 1.72
Nicolas Mejia -> 1.98

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Prediction and head to head Nicolas Mejia vs. Murphy Cassone

This will be the 2^nd time that Nicolas Mejia and Murphy Cassone play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Mejia (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they locked horns, Mejia won 6-3 7-5 in the qualifications in Los cabos back in July 2025.

Nicolas Mejia

Ranked no. 208, the Colombian reached the 2^nd round after beating Aristotelis Thanos 6-4 7-5.

In the 1^st round, Nicolas had a good straight sets win against Thanos (6-4 7-5). During the match, Mejia scored 71 points vs Thanos’s 59. Nicolas was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about the service games, Mejia blasted 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Nicolas Mejia lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Mejia put 55% of his first serves in, winning 69% (25/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (15/30) on the 2nd serve. Nicolas broke Thanos 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

Mejia has positive match record in the last 10 years having won 54% of his matches (243-210). 2-6 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Mejia has a composed 11-26 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Savannah Challenger where he overcame Liam Draxl in the final 2-6 6-2 7-6(3).

Mejia has a composed 36-31 win-loss record in 2025, 2-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Knoxville Challenger

Murphy Cassone

Ranked no. 245, Murphy got to the 2^nd round after defeating Gage Brymer 6-3 6-1, Alejandro Moreno 6-2 6-0 and Matias Soto 6-3 6-2.

In the 1^st round, Cassone had a good straight sets win against Soto (6-3 6-2). During the match Cassone scored 57 points vs Soto’s 37. Cassone was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.

About the serving games, Cassone managed to score 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Murphy Cassone was quite effective on serve to win 77% (30/39) of his 1st serve and 62% (8/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Cassone was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Soto 3 times.

Cassone’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger,the Nonthaburi 3 Challenger and the Lugano Challenger.

The American has an overall 37-29 win-loss record in 2025, 12-7 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Knoxville Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2023 and 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Mejia	Cassone
Match played	1	3
Tot Set	2	6
Tot Games	22	47
Pts	71-59	173-99
Total Points	130	272
Winners	25	71
%Winners	35%	41%

Mejia played 1 match while Cassone competed in 3 matches. Cassone started his run from the qualifications while Mejia had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Mejia has played 4 set(s) less than Cassone (2 vs 6). Therefore, Mejia played 25 games less than Cassone. The Colombian scored 25 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Cassone fired 71 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Mejia	Cassone
Aces	2	28
Avg per match	2	9.3
1st in	36/66	86/131
%1st in	55%	66%
1st pts	25/36	71/86
%1st pts	69%	83%
2nd pts	15/30	30/45
%2nd pts	50%	67%

Mejia bagged 2 aces . Cassone bagged 28 aces (9.3 per match). Mejia won 69% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Cassone won 83% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Mejia	Cassone
Won	5	12
Converted	5/7	12/18
% Converted	71%	67%
Conceded	6	2
Saved	3	2
% Saved	50%	100%
Times Broken	3	0

The Colombian broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Mejia dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 12 times with a 67% conversion rate. Cassone was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.

Mejia
	R1 Thanos	Total
Score	6-4 7-5
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	22	22
pts	71-59	71-59
Total points	130	130
Winners	25	25
%Winners	35%	35%
SERVE
Aces	2	2
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	36/66	36/66
% 1st in	55%	55%
1st pts	25/36	25/36
% 1st pts	69%	69%
2nd pts	15/30	15/30
% 2nd pts	50%	50%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/7	5/7
Converted %	71%	71%
Conceded	6	6
Saved	3/6	3
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	3	3

Cassone
	Q1 Brymer	Q3 Moreno	R1 Soto	Total
Score	6-3 6-1	6-2 6-0	6-3 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	16	14	17	47
pts	60-34	56-28	57-37	173-99
Total points	94	84	94	272
Winners	23	18	30	71
%Winners	38%	32%	53%	41%
SERVE
Aces	12	6	10	28
Double Faults	0	3	1	4
1st in	27/41	20/38	39/52	86/131
% 1st in	66%	53%	75%	66%
1st pts	23/27	18/20	30/39	71/86
% 1st pts	85%	90%	77%	83%
2nd pts	11/14	11/18	8/13	30/45
% 2nd pts	79%	61%	62%	67%
Breaks
Won	4	5	3	12
Converted	4/6	5/9	3/3	12/18
Converted %	67%	56%	100%	67%
Conceded	1	0	1	2
Saved	1/1	0/0	1/1	2
Saved %	100%	–	100%	200%
Times Broken	0	0	0	0

Tennis Scores in Knoxville Challenger

• Darwin BlanchBlanch – Andres MartinMartin (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Mitchell KruegerKrueger – Antoine GhibaudoGhibaudo (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Inaki Montes-De La TorreMontes-De La Torre – James Kent TrotterKent Trotter (7-6³ 7-6⁶) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jay ClarkeClarke – Stefan KozlovKozlov (6-2 2-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Nicolas MejiaMejia – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniil GlinkaGlinka – Alfredo PerezPerez (0-0) – H2H and prediction