Sho Shimabukuro and Garrett Johns will face off in the 2^nd round of the Matsuyama Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:00 am on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sho Shimabukuro who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Sho Shimabukuro is the pick to win this match.
Sho Shimabukuro -> 1.26
Garrett Johns -> 3.4

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Prediction and head to head Sho Shimabukuro vs. Garrett Johns

This will be the 2^nd time that Sho Shimabukuro and Garrett Johns square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Shimabukuro (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Shimabukuro won 6-3 7-6(3) in the 2^nd round in the Winnipeg Challenger back in July 2025.

Sho Shimabukuro

Ranked no. 157, Sho reached the 2^nd round after defeating Yuki Mochizuki 6-4 6-2.

In the 1^st round, Sho had a good straight sets win against Mochizuki (6-4 6-2). During the match, Shimabukuro scored 67 points vs Mochizuki’s 53. Sho was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Talking about the service games, Shimabukuro couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the match and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Sho Shimabukuro lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Shimabukuro put 64% of his first serves in, winning 56% (23/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (9/23) on the 2nd serve. Sho broke Mochizuki 7 times after converting 58% of his break points (7/12).

Shimabukuro has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (270-167). 26-18 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Shimabukuro has a composed 204-121 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Zhangjiagang Challenger where he overcame Oliver Crawford in the final 6-3 3-6 7-5 and the Seoul Challenger where he overcame Chak Lam Coleman Wong in the final 6-4 6-3.

The Japanese has an aggregate 29-21 win-loss record in 2025, 26-18 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Matsuyama Challenger

Garrett Johns

Ranked no. 285 (career-high), the American got to the 2^nd round after defeating Maximus Jones 6-4 4-6 6-1.

In the 1^st round, Garrett defeated Jones (6-4 4-6 6-1). During the match Johns scored 94 points vs Jones’s 85. Garrett was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.

About the serving games, Johns fired 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Garrett Johns lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Johns put 65% of his first serves in, winning 73% (40/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (14/29) on the 2nd serve. Johns broke Jones 5 times after converting 29% of his break points (5/17).

Garrett’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Palm Coast,M15 Sunrise,M15 Naples,M15 Huamantla and M25 Santo Domingo.

Johns has a compiled 51-27 win-loss record in 2025, 30-17 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Shimabukuro	Johns
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	3
Tot Games	18	27
Pts	67-53	94-85
Total Points	120	179
Winners	23	40
%Winners	34%	43%

Both Shimabukuro and Johns played 1 match. At the moment, Garrett Johns conceded 1 set while Sho Shimabukuro hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Shimabukuro has played 1 set(s) less than Johns (2 vs 3). Therefore, Shimabukuro played 9 games less than Johns. The Japanese scored 23 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Johns bagged 40 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Shimabukuro	Johns
Aces	0	5
Avg per match	0	5
1st in	41/64	55/84
%1st in	64%	65%
1st pts	23/41	40/55
%1st pts	56%	73%
2nd pts	9/23	14/29
%2nd pts	39%	48%

Shimabukuro didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Johns managed to score 5 aces . Shimabukuro won 56% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 39% of the points. On the other side, Johns won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Shimabukuro	Johns
Won	7	5
Converted	7/12	5/17
% Converted	58%	29%
Conceded	7	3
Saved	3	1
% Saved	43%	33%
Times Broken	4	2

Shimabukuro broke his opponent 7 times with a 58% conversion rate. The Japanese dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded. Garrett broke his opponent 5 times with a 29% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.

Shimabukuro
	R1 Mochizuki	Total
Score	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	18
pts	67-53	67-53
Total points	120	120
Winners	23	23
%Winners	34%	34%
SERVE
Aces	0	0
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	41/64	41/64
% 1st in	64%	64%
1st pts	23/41	23/41
% 1st pts	56%	56%
2nd pts	9/23	9/23
% 2nd pts	39%	39%
Breaks
Won	7	7
Converted	7/12	7/12
Converted %	58%	58%
Conceded	7	7
Saved	3/7	3
Saved %	43%	43%
Times Broken	4	4

Johns
	R1 Jones	Total
Score	6-4 4-6 6-1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	27	27
pts	94-85	94-85
Total points	179	179
Winners	40	40
%Winners	43%	43%
SERVE
Aces	5	5
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	55/84	55/84
% 1st in	65%	65%
1st pts	40/55	40/55
% 1st pts	73%	73%
2nd pts	14/29	14/29
% 2nd pts	48%	48%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/17	5/17
Converted %	29%	29%
Conceded	3	3
Saved	1/3	1
Saved %	33%	33%
Times Broken	2	2

Tennis Scores in Matsuyama Challenger

• Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – Max BasingBasing (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Oliver CrawfordCrawford – Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler (7-6⁶ 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Henrique RochaRocha – Renta TokudaTokuda (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Philip SekulicSekulic (6-2 7-6⁵) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama – Hugo GrenierGrenier (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Garrett JohnsJohns (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Duje AjdukovicAjdukovic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Oliver CrawfordCrawford – Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva (0-0) – H2H and prediction