Marin Cilic and Stefano Napolitano will fight against each other in the 2^nd round of the Helsinki Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marin Cilic who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Marin Cilic is the pick to win this match.
Marin Cilic -> 1.141
Stefano Napolitano -> 4.75

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Marin Cilic vs. Stefano Napolitano

There is no head to head record between Marin Cilic and Stefano Napolitano since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Marin Cilic

Ranked no. 79, the Croatian reached the 2^nd round after beating Benjamin Hassan 6-4 7-5.

In the 1^st round, Marin had a good straight sets win against Hassan (6-4 7-5). During the match, Cilic scored 72 points vs Hassan’s 62. Marin was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Regarding the service games, Cilic scored 9 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Marin Cilic was quite effective on serve to win 85% (29/34) of his 1st serve and 52% (16/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Cilic broke Hassan 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Cilic has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (277-172). 5-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Cilic has an overall 60-45 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Girona Challenger where he beat Elmer Moller in the final 6-3 6-4 and the Nottingham 2 Challenger where he overcame Shintaro Mochizuki in the final 6-2 6-3.

Marin has an overall 28-19 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Helsinki Challenger

Marin has never competed in this tournament before.

Stefano Napolitano

Ranked no. 525, the Italian reached the 2^nd round after defeating Alexis Galarneau 6-2 6-7(3) 6-4.

In the 1^st round, Stefano defeated Galarneau (6-2 6-7³ 6-4). During the match Napolitano scored 103 points vs Galarneau’s 85. Stefano was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.

About the serving games, Napolitano made 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Stefano Napolitano was quite efficient on serve to win 75% (36/48) of his 1st serve and 72% (26/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Napolitano broke Galarneau 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

His best result of the season was winning the title the Biella Challenger where he overcame Kilian Feldbausch in the final 7-5 6-3.

The Italian has a composed 17-16 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Cilic	Napolitano
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	3
Tot Games	22	31
Pts	72-62	103-85
Total Points	134	188
Winners	29	36
%Winners	40%	35%

Both Cilic and Napolitano played 1 match. At the moment, Stefano Napolitano conceded 1 set while Marin Cilic hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Cilic has played 1 set(s) less than Napolitano (2 vs 3). Therefore, Cilic played 9 games less than Napolitano. Cilic scored 29 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Stefano bagged 36 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Cilic	Napolitano
Aces	9	7
Avg per match	9	7
1st in	34/65	48/84
%1st in	52%	57%
1st pts	29/34	36/48
%1st pts	85%	75%
2nd pts	16/31	26/36
%2nd pts	52%	72%

Cilic fired 9 aces . Napolitano recorded 7 aces . Cilic won 85% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Napolitano won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 72% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Cilic	Napolitano
Won	3	4
Converted	3/8	4/8
% Converted	38%	50%
Conceded	4	2
Saved	3	1
% Saved	75%	50%
Times Broken	1	1

Cilic broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Cilic conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Napolitano conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Cilic
	R1 Hassan	Total
Score	6-4 7-5
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	22	22
pts	72-62	72-62
Total points	134	134
Winners	29	29
%Winners	40%	40%
SERVE
Aces	9	9
Double Faults	5	5
1st in	34/65	34/65
% 1st in	52%	52%
1st pts	29/34	29/34
% 1st pts	85%	85%
2nd pts	16/31	16/31
% 2nd pts	52%	52%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/8	3/8
Converted %	38%	38%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	3/4	3
Saved %	75%	75%
Times Broken	1	1

Napolitano
	R1 Galarneau	Total
Score	6-2 6-73 6-4
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	31	31
pts	103-85	103-85
Total points	188	188
Winners	36	36
%Winners	35%	35%
SERVE
Aces	7	7
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	48/84	48/84
% 1st in	57%	57%
1st pts	36/48	36/48
% 1st pts	75%	75%
2nd pts	26/36	26/36
% 2nd pts	72%	72%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/8	4/8
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	1/2	1
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	1	1

Tennis Scores in Helsinki Challenger

• Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans – Brandon HoltHolt (6-4 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Lukas NeumayerNeumayer (6-4 7-6³) – See score progression
• Sascha Gueymard WayenburgGueymard Wayenburg – Borna GojoGojo (3-6 7-6² 6-4) – See score progression
• Luca NardiNardi – Edas ButvilasButvilas (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Matej DodigDodig – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-3 7-6³) – See score progression
• Patrick KypsonKypson – Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux (5-7 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Chris RodeschRodesch – Justin EngelEngel (6-4 6-7³ 6-4) – See score progression
• Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – Stuart ParkerParker (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Viktor DurasovicDurasovic – Federico CinaCina (7-6⁶ 6-4) – See score progression
• Eero VasaVasa – Luka MikrutMikrut (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Calvin HemeryHemery – Nerman FaticFatic (6-3 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano – Alexis GalarneauGalarneau (6-2 6-7³ 6-4) – See score progression
• Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri – Oskari PaldaniusPaldanius (7-6² 6-2) – See score progression
• Marin CilicCilic – Benjamin HassanHassan (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Lukas NeumayerNeumayer (6-4 7-6(3)) – See score progression
• Matej DodigDodig – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-3 7-6(3)) – See score progression
• Sascha Gueymard WayenburgGueymard Wayenburg – Borna GojoGojo (3-6 7-6(2) 6-4) – See score progression
• Chris RodeschRodesch – Justin EngelEngel (6-4 6-7(3) 6-4) – See score progression
• Patrick KypsonKypson – Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux (5-7 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans – Brandon HoltHolt (6-4 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Eero VasaVasa – Luka MikrutMikrut (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – Stuart ParkerParker (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Viktor DurasovicDurasovic – Federico CinaCina (7-6(6) 6-4) – See score progression
• Luca NardiNardi – Edas ButvilasButvilas (6-4 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Marin CilicCilic – Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino – Titouan DroguetDroguet (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Viktor DurasovicDurasovic – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Eero VasaVasa – Stefano TravagliaTravaglia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Patrick KypsonKypson – Calvin HemeryHemery (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Chris RodeschRodesch – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Gauthier OnclinOnclin – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (0-0) – H2H and prediction