Rio Noguchi and Philip Sekulic will face off in the 2nd round of the Matsuyama Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rio Noguchi who should win in 3 sets.
Rio Noguchi -> 1.57
Philip Sekulic -> 2.22
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Prediction and head to head Rio Noguchi vs. Philip Sekulic
This will be the 3rd time that Rio Noguchi and Philip Sekulic play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Noguchi (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Noguchi won 6-2 6-4 in the 1st round in the Granby Challenger back in July 2025.
Rio Noguchi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 36-30 | 36-30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 41-31 | 36-22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-31 | 12-18 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 54-22 | 41-10 | 9-9 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-26 | 18-18 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 246, Rio reached the 2nd round after beating Yusuke Takahashi 7-5 6-4.
In the 1st round, Rio had a good straight sets win against Takahashi (7-5 6-4). During the match, Noguchi scored 76 points vs Takahashi’s 61. Rio was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Noguchi scored just 1 ace during the match and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Rio Noguchi lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Noguchi put 55% of his first serves in, winning 65% (24/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 77% (23/30) on the 2nd serve. Noguchi broke Takahashi 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Noguchi has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (364-255). 35-27 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Noguchi has a compiled 259-167 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger where he defeated Jie Cui in the final 7-6(9) 6-2.
The Japanese has an aggregate 35-27 win-loss record in 2025, 35-27 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Matsuyama Challenger
Philip Sekulic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-15 | 18-14 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-31 | 34-26 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-28 | 33-24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-23 | 19-15 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 8-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 465, Philip got to the 2nd round after defeating Hyeon Chung 6-4 6-3.
In the 1st round, Sekulic had a good straight sets win against Chung (6-4 6-3). During the match Sekulic scored 62 points vs Chung’s 54. Sekulic was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about serving, Sekulic blasted 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Philip Sekulic was pretty efficient on serve to win 73% (32/44) of his 1st serve and 52% (13/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Australian broke Chung 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Sekulic’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Bali.
Sekulic has an overall 17-13 win-loss record in 2025, 17-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Matsuyama Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Noguchi | Sekulic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 19 |
| Pts | 76-61 | 62-54 |
| Total Points | 137 | 116 |
| Winners | 24 | 32 |
| %Winners | 32% | 52% |
Both Noguchi and Sekulic played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Noguchi and Sekulic have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Noguchi played 3 games more than Sekulic. Rio scored 24 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Philip recorded 32 winners (52%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Noguchi | Sekulic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 5 |
| 1st in | 37/67 | 44/69 |
| %1st in | 55% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 24/37 | 32/44 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 23/30 | 13/25 |
| %2nd pts | 77% | 52% |
Noguchi managed to score 1 ace . Sekulic also made 5 aces . Noguchi won 65% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 77% of the points. On the other side, Sekulic won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Noguchi | Sekulic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 3 |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/4 |
| % Converted | 43% | 75% |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 |
| Saved | 2 | 5 |
| % Saved | 67% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
The Japanese broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Rio conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Sekulic broke his opponent 3 times with a 75% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
| Noguchi | |||
| R1 Takahashi | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 76-61 | 76-61 | |
| Total points | 137 | 137 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 37/67 | 37/67 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 24/37 | 24/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/30 | 23/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 77% | 77% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Sekulic | |||
| R1 Chung | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 62-54 | 62-54 | |
| Total points | 116 | 116 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 44/69 | 44/69 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 32/44 | 32/44 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/25 | 13/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/4 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Tennis Scores in Matsuyama Challenger
- Koki MatsudaMatsuda – Abedallah ShelbayhShelbayh (7-64 6-2) – See score progression
- Duje AjdukovicAjdukovic – Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Yusuke TakahashiTakahashi (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Yuki MochizukiMochizuki (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama – Kaylan BigunBigun (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Philip SekulicSekulic – Hyeon ChungChung (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Renta TokudaTokuda – Moerani BouzigeBouzige (3-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – Yusuke KusuharaKusuhara (7-64 6-73 6-3) – See score progression
- Shunsuke NakagawaNakagawa – Sanhui ShinShin (2-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Hugo GrenierGrenier – Hikaru ShiraishiShiraishi (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Max BasingBasing – Ryuki MatsudaMatsuda (6-3 1-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Ryan PenistonPeniston – Takuya KumasakaKumasaka (6-0 6-1) – See score progression
- Henrique RochaRocha – Kokoro IsomuraIsomura (5-7 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Sho KatayamaKatayama (6-4 7-66) – See score progression
- Oliver CrawfordCrawford – Hynek BartonBarton (7-67 1-6 7-63) – See score progression
- Garrett JohnsJohns – Maximus JonesJones (6-4 4-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Renta TokudaTokuda – Moerani BouzigeBouzige (3-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Philip SekulicSekulic – Hyeon ChungChung (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Yusuke TakahashiTakahashi (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Max BasingBasing – Ryuki MatsudaMatsuda (6-3 1-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – Yusuke KusuharaKusuhara (7-6(4) 6-7(3) 6-3) – See score progression
- Duje AjdukovicAjdukovic – Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Koki MatsudaMatsuda – Abedallah ShelbayhShelbayh (7-6(4) 6-2) – See score progression
- Shunsuke NakagawaNakagawa – Sanhui ShinShin (2-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Ryan PenistonPeniston – Takuya KumasakaKumasaka (6-0 6-1) – See score progression
- Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Yuki MochizukiMochizuki (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama – Kaylan BigunBigun (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Hugo GrenierGrenier – Hikaru ShiraishiShiraishi (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama – Hugo GrenierGrenier (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Garrett JohnsJohns (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Duje AjdukovicAjdukovic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Oliver CrawfordCrawford – Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Max BasingBasing – Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva (0-0) – H2H and prediction