Henrique Rocha and Renta Tokuda will play each other in the 2^nd round of the Matsuyama Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 11:00 am on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Henrique Rocha who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Henrique Rocha is the pick to win this match.
Henrique Rocha -> 1.41
Renta Tokuda -> 2.64

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Prediction and head to head Henrique Rocha vs. Renta Tokuda

There is no head to head record between Henrique Rocha and Renta Tokuda since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Henrique Rocha

Ranked no. 167, the Portuguese reached the 2^nd round after defeating Kokoro Isomura 5-7 6-4 6-1.

In the 1^st round against Isomura, The Portuguese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-1). During the match, Rocha scored 107 points vs Isomura’s 95. The Portuguese was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rocha struck 6 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Henrique Rocha lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Rocha put 57% of his first serves in, winning 65% (41/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (24/48) on the 2nd serve. Rocha broke Isomura 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).

Rocha has a winning record in the last 6 years having won 57% of his matches (155-118). 12-9 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Rocha has a composed80-43 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.

The Portuguese’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Lisbon Challenger.

Rocha has an aggregate 29-28 win-loss record in 2025, 12-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Matsuyama Challenger

The Portuguese has never competed in this tournament before.

Renta Tokuda

Ranked no. 313, Tokuda reached the 2^nd round after defeating Moerani Bouzige 3-2 ret..

In the 1^st round against Bouzige, Renta had a free pass after Bouzige retired on a 3-2 . scoreline.

Renta’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M15 Tashkent,M15 Tokyo and M25 Sapporo.

Renta has a compiled 59-20 win-loss record in 2025, 59-20 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rocha	Tokuda
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	2
Tot Games	29	5
Pts	107-95	17-15
Total Points	202	32
Winners	41	11
%Winners	38%	65%

Both Rocha and Tokuda played 1 match. At the moment, Henrique Rocha lost 1 set while Renta Tokuda hasn’t dropped a set so far. Rocha has played 1 set more than Tokuda (3 vs 2). Therefore, Rocha played 24 games more than Tokuda. Henrique scored 41 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Renta blasted 11 winners (65%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rocha	Tokuda
Aces	6	0
Avg per match	6	0
1st in	63/111	16/20
%1st in	57%	80%
1st pts	41/63	11/16
%1st pts	65%	69%
2nd pts	24/48	3/4
%2nd pts	50%	75%

Rocha fired 6 aces . Tokuda didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Rocha won 65% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Tokuda won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 75% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rocha	Tokuda
Won	6	0
Converted	6/14	0/0
% Converted	43%	0%
Conceded	11	0
Saved	7	0
% Saved	64%	0%
Times Broken	4	0

Henrique broke his opponent 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Portuguese lost his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. On the other side, Renta hasn’t manged yet to break his opponent. He didn’t manage to even clinch a single break point. Renta was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points without even conceding a single break point.

Rocha
	R1 Isomura	Total
Score	5-7 6-4 6-1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	29	29
pts	107-95	107-95
Total points	202	202
Winners	41	41
%Winners	38%	38%
SERVE
Aces	6	6
Double Faults	5	5
1st in	63/111	63/111
% 1st in	57%	57%
1st pts	41/63	41/63
% 1st pts	65%	65%
2nd pts	24/48	24/48
% 2nd pts	50%	50%
Breaks
Won	6	6
Converted	6/14	6/14
Converted %	43%	43%
Conceded	11	11
Saved	7/11	7
Saved %	64%	64%
Times Broken	4	4

Tokuda
	R1 Bouzige	Total
Score	3-2 ret.
Tot Set	1	1
Tot Games	5	5
pts	17-15	17-15
Total points	32	32
Winners	11	11
%Winners	65%	65%
SERVE
Aces	0	0
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	16/20	16/20
% 1st in	80%	80%
1st pts	11/16	11/16
% 1st pts	69%	69%
2nd pts	3/4	3/4
% 2nd pts	75%	75%
Breaks
Won	0	0
Converted	0/0	0/0
Converted %	0%	0%
Conceded	0	0
Saved	0/0	0
Saved %	–	0%
Times Broken	0	0

Tennis Scores in Matsuyama Challenger

• Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Yuki MochizukiMochizuki (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama – Kaylan BigunBigun (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Philip SekulicSekulic – Hyeon ChungChung (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Renta TokudaTokuda – Moerani BouzigeBouzige (3-2 ret.) – See score progression
• Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – Yusuke KusuharaKusuhara (7-6⁴ 6-7³ 6-3) – See score progression
• Shunsuke NakagawaNakagawa – Sanhui ShinShin (2-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Hugo GrenierGrenier – Hikaru ShiraishiShiraishi (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Max BasingBasing – Ryuki MatsudaMatsuda (6-3 1-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Ryan PenistonPeniston – Takuya KumasakaKumasaka (6-0 6-1) – See score progression
• Koki MatsudaMatsuda – Abedallah ShelbayhShelbayh (7-6⁴ 6-2) – See score progression
• Duje AjdukovicAjdukovic – Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Yusuke TakahashiTakahashi (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Oliver CrawfordCrawford – Hynek BartonBarton (7-6⁷ 1-6 7-6³) – See score progression
• Garrett JohnsJohns – Maximus JonesJones (6-4 4-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Henrique RochaRocha – Kokoro IsomuraIsomura (5-7 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Sho KatayamaKatayama (6-4 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Renta TokudaTokuda – Moerani BouzigeBouzige (3-2 ret.) – See score progression
• Philip SekulicSekulic – Hyeon ChungChung (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Yusuke TakahashiTakahashi (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Max BasingBasing – Ryuki MatsudaMatsuda (6-3 1-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – Yusuke KusuharaKusuhara (7-6(4) 6-7(3) 6-3) – See score progression
• Duje AjdukovicAjdukovic – Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Koki MatsudaMatsuda – Abedallah ShelbayhShelbayh (7-6(4) 6-2) – See score progression
• Shunsuke NakagawaNakagawa – Sanhui ShinShin (2-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Ryan PenistonPeniston – Takuya KumasakaKumasaka (6-0 6-1) – See score progression
• Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Yuki MochizukiMochizuki (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama – Kaylan BigunBigun (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Hugo GrenierGrenier – Hikaru ShiraishiShiraishi (6-4 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama – Hugo GrenierGrenier (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Garrett JohnsJohns (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Duje AjdukovicAjdukovic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Oliver CrawfordCrawford – Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Max BasingBasing – Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva (0-0) – H2H and prediction