Sho Shimabukuro and Yuki Mochizuki will square off in the 1st round of the Matsuyama Challenger for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sho Shimabukuro who should win in 2 sets.
Sho Shimabukuro -> 1.133
Yuki Mochizuki -> 4.9
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Prediction and head to head Sho Shimabukuro vs. Yuki Mochizuki
This will be the 6th time that Sho Shimabukuro and Yuki Mochizuki fight against each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Shimabukuro (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Shimabukuro won 6-2 6-4 in the 1st round in the Yokohama Challenger back in 2022.
Sho Shimabukuro
28 - 21win/loss
145
135
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34-23 | 29-19 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-28 | 21-17 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-26 | 19-17 | 7-1 | 9-4 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-25 | 38-20 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-20 | 28-18 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 157, Sho will start his run in the Matsuyama Challenger after he won the title in the Seoul Challenger after beating 6-4 6-3 Lam Coleman Wong in the final.
Shimabukuro has a composed 28-21 win-loss record in 2025, 25-18 on hard (See FULL STATS).
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Zhangjiagang Challenger where he overcame Oliver Crawford in the final 6-3 3-6 7-5 and the Seoul Challenger where he beat Chak Lam Coleman Wong in the final 6-4 6-3.
Shimabukuro won his last 5 matches.
Talking about his overall career, Sho has an overall 269-167 record. He has a positive 203-121 record on hard.
Previously in the Matsuyama Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022 and 2023. See his history.
Yuki Mochizuki
31 - 20win/loss
534
471
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31-22 | 25-15 | 6-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-24 | 19-20 | 4-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-26 | 21-23 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-20 | 18-12 | 14-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 15-8 | 15-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 544, Yuki reached the 1st round after defeating Kazushi Idogaki 7-6(4) 4-6 6-4 and James Watt 3-6 6-3 7-6(4).
In the qualifications against Watt, Yuki recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 7-64).During the match Mochizuki scored less points (1) than Watt. In fact, the world no. 157 won 94 points vs Watt’s. That means that Mochizuki was more focused during the important points. Yuki was quite aggressive to blast 53 winners.
About the serving games, Mochizuki wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Yuki Mochizuki lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Mochizuki put 79% of his first serves in, winning 68% (53/78) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the 2nd serve. Mochizuki broke Watt 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Yuki started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 50% of the points he played.
Yuki’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Osaka and M25 Taipei.
The Japanese has a composed 31-20 win-loss record in 2025, 25-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Tennis Scores in Matsuyama Challenger
- Garrett JohnsJohns – Maximus JonesJones (6-4 4-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Oliver CrawfordCrawford – Hynek BartonBarton (7-67 1-6 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Henrique RochaRocha – Kokoro IsomuraIsomura (5-7 6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Sho KatayamaKatayama (6-4 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov – Duje AjdukovicAjdukovic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yusuke TakahashiTakahashi – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Yuki MochizukiMochizuki (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Sanhui ShinShin – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Oliver CrawfordCrawford – Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Moerani BouzigeBouzige – Renta TokudaTokuda (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hikaru ShiraishiShiraishi – Hugo GrenierGrenier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Takuya KumasakaKumasaka – Ryan PenistonPeniston (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Max BasingBasing – Ryuki MatsudaMatsuda (0-0) – H2H and prediction