Keegan Smith and Shunsuke Mitsui will square off in the qualifications of the Knoxville Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 3:00 pm on COURT 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Keegan Smith who should win in 3 sets.
Keegan Smith -> 1.59
Shunsuke Mitsui -> 2.18
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Prediction and head to head Keegan Smith vs. Shunsuke Mitsui
There is no head to head record between Keegan Smith and Shunsuke Mitsui since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Keegan Smith
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39-21 | 26-11 | 0-0 | 13-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-26 | 36-21 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-26 | 31-20 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-24 | 26-14 | 3-4 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 485, Keegan reached the qualifications after defeating Andrew Delgado 7-6(3) 6-4.
In the qualifications, Smith had a good straight sets win against Delgado (7-63 6-4). During the match, Smith scored 77 points vs Delgado’s 59. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about the service games, Smith scored 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Keegan Smith was extremely efficient on serve to win 84% (31/37) of his 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The American broke Delgado 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Smith has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (209-127). 12-8 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Smith has a compiled 33-29 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
Keegan’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 San Diego and M15 Fayetteville.
The American has an aggregate 38-19 win-loss record in 2025, 12-8 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Knoxville Challenger
Shunsuke Mitsui
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-10 | 24-8 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 16-10 | 11-7 | 2-1 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-7 | 17-7 | 0-0 | 4-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 6-5 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 687, Shunsuke got to the qualifications after defeating Tomas Antonio Serrano Luis 6-1 6-2.
In the qualifications, Shunsuke had a good straight sets win against Antonio Serrano Luis (6-1 6-2). During the match Mitsui scored 56 points vs Antonio Serrano Luis’s 27. The Japanese was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about serving, Mitsui managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Shunsuke Mitsui was exceptionally effective on serve to win 100% (21/21) of his 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Mitsui broke Antonio Serrano Luis 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Mitsui’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Luan,Salem and M15 Lexington.
Shunsuke has a compiled 24-8 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Knoxville Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Smith | Mitsui |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 15 |
| Pts | 77-59 | 56-27 |
| Total Points | 136 | 83 |
| Winners | 31 | 21 |
| %Winners | 40% | 38% |
Both Smith and Mitsui played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Smith and Mitsui have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Smith played 8 games more than Mitsui. The American scored 31 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Mitsui scored 21 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Smith | Mitsui |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 6 |
| 1st in | 37/55 | 21/41 |
| %1st in | 67% | 51% |
| 1st pts | 31/37 | 21/21 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 100% |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | 12/20 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 60% |
Smith struck 3 aces . Mitsui recorded 6 aces . Smith won 84% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Mitsui won 100% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Smith | Mitsui |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/7 | 4/9 |
| % Converted | 43% | 44% |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 |
| Saved | 1 | 0 |
| % Saved | 33% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 |
Keegan broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Smith dropped his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. Shunsuke broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Japanese was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Smith | |||
| Q1 Delgado | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 77-59 | 77-59 | |
| Total points | 136 | 136 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 37/55 | 37/55 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 31/37 | 31/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | 12/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Mitsui | |||
| Q1 Antonio Serrano Luis | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 56-27 | 56-27 | |
| Total points | 83 | 83 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 21/41 | 21/41 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 21/21 | 21/21 | |
| % 1st pts | 100% | 100% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 12/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
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- Andre IlaganIlagan – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- James Kent TrotterKent Trotter – Charles BroomBroom (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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