Andres Andrade and Mariano Kestelboim will square off in the qualifications of the Lima 3 Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 12:30 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andres Andrade who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Andres Andrade is the pick to win this match.
Andres Andrade -> 1.49
Mariano Kestelboim -> 2.4

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Prediction and head to head Andres Andrade vs. Mariano Kestelboim

This will be the 2^nd time that Andres Andrade and Mariano Kestelboim square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Kestelboim (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Kestelboim won 3-6 7-6(2) 6-1 in the qualifications in the Santo Domingo Challenger back in 2024.

Andres Andrade

Ranked no. 286, the Ecuadorian reached the qualifications after beating Paulo Saraiva Dos Santos 6-2 6-3.

In the qualifications, The Ecuadorian had a good straight sets win against Saraiva Dos Santos (6-2 6-3). During the match, Andrade scored 61 points vs Saraiva Dos Santos’s 41. Andres was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Regarding the service games, Andrade couldn’t to score even 1 ace during the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Andres Andrade lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Andrade put 56% of his first serves in, winning 72% (23/32) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (12/25) on the 2nd serve. The Ecuadorian broke Saraiva Dos Santos 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).

Andrade has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 62% of his matches (157-95). 16-11 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Andrade has an overall75-45 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.

Andres’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M25 Pensacola,M25 Wichita,M25 Barueri and M25 Salvador.

The Ecuadorian has a composed 41-24 win-loss record in 2025, 16-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lima 3 Challenger

The Ecuadorian has never competed in this tournament before.

Mariano Kestelboim

Ranked no. 402, Kestelboim got to the qualifications after beating Alessandro Rubini 6-0 7-6(5).

In the qualifications, Mariano had a good straight sets win against Rubini (6-0 7-6⁵). During the match Kestelboim scored 70 points vs Rubini’s 46. The Argentine was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about serving, Kestelboim wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Mariano Kestelboim lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kestelboim put 73% of his first serves in, winning 63% (26/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the 2nd serve. Mariano broke Rubini 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).

The Argentine’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M25 Punta del Este and M25 Lujan.

Kestelboim has an aggregate 35-24 win-loss record in 2025, 35-23 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Andrade	Kestelboim
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	17	19
Pts	61-41	70-46
Total Points	102	116
Winners	23	26
%Winners	38%	37%

Both Andrade and Kestelboim played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Andrade and Kestelboim have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Andrade played 2 games less than Kestelboim. Andrade scored 23 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Mariano made 26 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Andrade	Kestelboim
Aces	0	0
Avg per match	0	0
1st in	32/57	41/56
%1st in	56%	73%
1st pts	23/32	26/41
%1st pts	72%	63%
2nd pts	12/25	9/15
%2nd pts	48%	60%

Andrade didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Kestelboim also didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Andrade won 72% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Kestelboim won 63% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Andrade	Kestelboim
Won	5	6
Converted	5/6	6/9
% Converted	83%	67%
Conceded	7	5
Saved	5	2
% Saved	71%	40%
Times Broken	2	3

Andres broke his opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. The Ecuadorian lost his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponent 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. Mariano conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded.

Andrade
	Q1 Saraiva Dos Santos	Total
Score	6-2 6-3
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	17	17
pts	61-41	61-41
Total points	102	102
Winners	23	23
%Winners	38%	38%
SERVE
Aces	0	0
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	32/57	32/57
% 1st in	56%	56%
1st pts	23/32	23/32
% 1st pts	72%	72%
2nd pts	12/25	12/25
% 2nd pts	48%	48%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/6	5/6
Converted %	83%	83%
Conceded	7	7
Saved	5/7	5
Saved %	71%	71%
Times Broken	2	2

Kestelboim
	Q1 Rubini	Total
Score	6-0 7-65
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	19	19
pts	70-46	70-46
Total points	116	116
Winners	26	26
%Winners	37%	37%
SERVE
Aces	0	0
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	41/56	41/56
% 1st in	73%	73%
1st pts	26/41	26/41
% 1st pts	63%	63%
2nd pts	9/15	9/15
% 2nd pts	60%	60%
Breaks
Won	6	6
Converted	6/9	6/9
Converted %	67%	67%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	2/5	2
Saved %	40%	40%
Times Broken	3	3

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