Franco Roncadelli and Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez will play each other in the qualifications of the Lima 3 Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:30 pm on CANCHA 5. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez -> 1.75
Franco Roncadelli -> 1.94
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Prediction and head to head Franco Roncadelli vs. Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
This will be the 4th time that Franco Roncadelli and Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Joaquin (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Joaquin won 6-4 7-6(7) in the qualifications in the Florianopolis Challenger back in 2024.
Franco Roncadelli
37 - 24win/loss
357
336
LLWLWWLLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 38-27 | 1-1 | 37-26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-26 | 0-0 | 48-26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-29 | 3-5 | 34-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 0-0 | 38-23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-25 | 0-0 | 36-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 370, Franco got to the qualifications after defeating Ignacio Carou 6-2 7-5.
In the qualifications, The Uruguayan had a good straight sets win against Carou (6-2 7-5). During the match, Roncadelli scored 69 points vs Carou’s 48. The Uruguayan was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Roncadelli fired 2 aces and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults. Franco Roncadelli lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Roncadelli put 70% of his first serves in, winning 63% (24/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 63% (10/16) on the 2nd serve. Roncadelli broke Carou 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).
Roncadelli has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 57% of his matches (207-154). 35-23 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Roncadelli has a compiled203-146 record in the last 8 years on clay.
The Uruguayan’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger,M25+H Bacau and M25 Pitesti.
Franco has an overall 36-24 win-loss record in 2025, 35-23 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lima 3 Challenger
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 48-26 | 0-0 | 48-25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 23-20 | 0-1 | 23-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 58-28 | 0-0 | 58-28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-16 | 0-0 | 31-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-20 | 4-3 | 39-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 430, Joaquin reached the qualifications after defeating Christoph Negritu 6-3 6-7(2) 6-3.
In the qualifications, The Argentine defeated Negritu (6-3 6-72 6-3). During the match Joaquin scored 103 points vs Negritu’s 99. The Argentine was pretty aggressive to blast 53 winners.
About the serving games, Joaquin blasted 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Joaquin put 67% of his first serves in, winning 69% (53/77) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (17/38) on the 2nd serve. Joaquin broke Negritu 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
Joaquin’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M15 Santiago,M15 Naples and M15 San Salvador de Jujuy.
Lorenzo has a composed 43-22 win-loss record in 2025, 43-21 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Roncadelli | Joaquin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 31 |
| Pts | 69-48 | 103-99 |
| Total Points | 117 | 202 |
| Winners | 24 | 53 |
| %Winners | 35% | 51% |
Both Roncadelli and Joaquin played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez surrendered 1 set while Franco Roncadelli hasn’t dropped a set so far. Roncadelli has played 1 set(s) less than Joaquin (2 vs 3). Therefore, Roncadelli played 11 games less than Joaquin. Roncadelli scored 24 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Joaquin made 53 winners (51%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Roncadelli | Joaquin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 4 |
| 1st in | 38/54 | 77/115 |
| %1st in | 70% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 24/38 | 53/77 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 10/16 | 17/38 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 45% |
Roncadelli recorded 2 aces . Joaquin fired 4 aces . Roncadelli won 63% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Joaquin won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Roncadelli | Joaquin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 5 |
| Converted | 6/8 | 5/8 |
| % Converted | 75% | 63% |
| Conceded | 4 | 11 |
| Saved | 1 | 8 |
| % Saved | 25% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Franco broke his opponent 6 times with a 75% conversion rate. Franco surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Joaquin conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Roncadelli | |||
| Q1 Carou |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 69-48 | 69-48 | |
| Total points | 117 | 117 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 38/54 | 38/54 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 24/38 | 24/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/16 | 10/16 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 6/8 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Joaquin | ||||
| Q1 Negritu |
Q1 Negritu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-72 6-3 | 6-3 6-72 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | 62 | |
| pts | 103-99 | 103-99 | 206-198 | |
| Total points | 202 | 202 | 404 | |
| Winners | 53 | 53 | 106 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 51% | 51% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 77/115 | 77/115 | 154/230 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 53/77 | 53/77 | 106/154 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/38 | 17/38 | 34/76 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | 10/16 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | 22 | |
| Saved | 8/11 | 8/11 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 73% | 146% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWWLLWL
WWLLLWWWLW 
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