Matej Dodig and Marko Topo will play each other in the qualifications of the Helsinki Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 4:00 pm on COURT 6. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matej Dodig who should win in 3 sets.
Matej Dodig -> 1.82
Marko Topo -> 1.86
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Prediction and head to head Matej Dodig vs. Marko Topo
This will be the 2nd time that Matej Dodig and Marko Topo fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Dodig (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played, Dodig won 6-0 6-3 in the 1st round in M25 Monastir back in 2023.
Matej Dodig
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 36-32 | 0-0 | 24-22 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-26 | 14-5 | 30-20 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-16 | 1-2 | 38-12 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 249, the Croatian reached the qualifications after beating Alexandr Binda 7-6(5) 6-4.
In the qualifications, Dodig had a good straight sets win against Binda (7-65 6-4). During the match, Dodig scored 79 points vs Binda’s 72. Dodig was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Dodig recorded 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Matej Dodig lost the serve 4 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Dodig put 56% of his first serves in, winning 66% (25/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (17/30) on the 2nd serve. Dodig broke Binda 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Dodig has a solid match record in the last 3 years having won 63% of his matches (119-71). 6-7 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Dodig has an aggregate10-9 win-loss record in the last 3 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Trieste Challenger where he defeated Thiago Agustin Tirante in the final 6-3 6-4.
The Croatian has a compiled 30-29 win-loss record in 2025, 6-7 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Helsinki Challenger
Matej has never competed in this tournament before.
Marko Topo
41 - 21win/loss
282
255
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 42-22 | 7-1 | 30-15 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2024 | 33-23 | 9-4 | 23-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-26 | 0-1 | 31-19 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 26-28 | 8-6 | 12-13 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 4-5 | 1-0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 258, Marko reached the qualifications after defeating Patrick Kaukovalta 6-3 6-2.
In the qualifications, The Serbian had a good straight sets win against Kaukovalta (6-3 6-2). During the match Topo scored 61 points vs Kaukovalta’s 42. Marko was very aggressive to blast 18 winners.
About the serving games, Topo blasted 6 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Marko Topo was very effective on serve to win 78% (18/23) of his 1st serve and 82% (18/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Topo broke Kaukovalta 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Marko’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M25 Faro and M25 Kursumlijska Banja.
The Serbian has an overall 41-21 win-loss record in 2025, 4-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Dodig | Topo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 17 |
| Pts | 79-72 | 61-42 |
| Total Points | 151 | 103 |
| Winners | 25 | 18 |
| %Winners | 32% | 30% |
Both Dodig and Topo played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Dodig and Topo have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Dodig played 6 games more than Topo. Matej scored 25 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Marko scored 18 winners (30%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Dodig | Topo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 6 |
| 1st in | 38/68 | 23/45 |
| %1st in | 56% | 51% |
| 1st pts | 25/38 | 18/23 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 17/30 | 18/22 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 82% |
Dodig fired 9 aces . Topo bagged 6 aces . Dodig won 66% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Topo won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 82% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Dodig | Topo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 3 |
| Converted | 5/9 | 3/9 |
| % Converted | 56% | 33% |
| Conceded | 5 | 0 |
| Saved | 1 | 0 |
| % Saved | 20% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 |
The Croatian broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Matej lost his serve 4 times and he saved 20% of the break points that he conceded. The Serbian broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. Topo was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Dodig | |||
| Q1 Binda | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 79-72 | 79-72 | |
| Total points | 151 | 151 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 38/68 | 38/68 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 25/38 | 25/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/30 | 17/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 1/5 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 20% | 20% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Topo | |||
| Q1 Kaukovalta | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 61-42 | 61-42 | |
| Total points | 103 | 103 | |
| Winners | 18 | 18 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 30% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 23/45 | 23/45 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 18/23 | 18/23 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/22 | 18/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 82% | 82% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/9 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
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