Yuki Mochizuki and James Watt will square off in the qualifications of the Matsuyama Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on COURT 4. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is James Watt who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, James Watt is the pick to win this match.
James Watt -> 1.72
Yuki Mochizuki -> 1.98

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Prediction and head to head Yuki Mochizuki vs. James Watt

There is no head to head record between Yuki Mochizuki and James Watt since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Yuki Mochizuki

Ranked no. 520, Yuki reached the qualifications after defeating Kazushi Idogaki 7-6(4) 4-6 6-4.

In the qualifications, Yuki defeated Idogaki (7-6⁴ 4-6 6-4). During the match, Mochizuki scored 116 points vs Idogaki’s 112. Mochizuki was quite aggressive to blast 49 winners.

Talking about the service games, Mochizuki recorded 3 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Yuki Mochizuki lost the serve 4 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Mochizuki put 73% of his first serves in, winning 64% (49/77) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Idogaki 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Mochizuki has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (193-129). 24-14 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mochizuki has a compiled 141-98 match record in the last years on hard.

The Japanese’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M15 Osaka and M25 Taipei.

Yuki has a composed 30-20 win-loss record in 2025, 24-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Matsuyama Challenger

James Watt

Ranked no. 680, Watt got to the qualifications after defeating Ryotaro Taguchi 6-4 6-1.

In the qualifications, Watt had a good straight sets win against Taguchi (6-4 6-1). During the match Watt scored 55 points vs Taguchi’s 40. The Kiwi was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Talking about serving, Watt recorded 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, James Watt was exceptionally effective on serve to win 74% (23/31) of his 1st serve and 65% (11/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. James broke Taguchi 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Watt has a compiled 16-19 win-loss record in 2025, 9-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Mochizuki	Watt
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	2
Tot Games	33	17
Pts	116-112	55-40
Total Points	228	95
Winners	49	23
%Winners	42%	42%

Both Mochizuki and Watt played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Yuki Mochizuki surrendered 1 set while James Watt hasn’t dropped a set so far. Mochizuki has played 1 set more than Watt (3 vs 2). Therefore, Mochizuki played 16 games more than Watt. Mochizuki scored 49 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, James scored 23 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Mochizuki	Watt
Aces	3	5
Avg per match	3	5
1st in	77/105	31/48
%1st in	73%	65%
1st pts	49/77	23/31
%1st pts	64%	74%
2nd pts	15/28	11/17
%2nd pts	54%	65%

Mochizuki struck 3 aces . Watt recorded 5 aces . Mochizuki won 64% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Watt won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Mochizuki	Watt
Won	4	4
Converted	4/12	4/6
% Converted	33%	67%
Conceded	6	1
Saved	2	0
% Saved	33%	0%
Times Broken	4	1

Yuki broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. James broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Watt conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.

Mochizuki
	Q1 Idogaki	Total
Score	7-64 4-6 6-4
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	33	33
pts	116-112	116-112
Total points	228	228
Winners	49	49
%Winners	42%	42%
SERVE
Aces	3	3
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	77/105	77/105
% 1st in	73%	73%
1st pts	49/77	49/77
% 1st pts	64%	64%
2nd pts	15/28	15/28
% 2nd pts	54%	54%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/12	4/12
Converted %	33%	33%
Conceded	6	6
Saved	2/6	2
Saved %	33%	33%
Times Broken	4	4

Watt
	Q1 Taguchi	Total
Score	6-4 6-1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	17	17
pts	55-40	55-40
Total points	95	95
Winners	23	23
%Winners	42%	42%
SERVE
Aces	5	5
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	31/48	31/48
% 1st in	65%	65%
1st pts	23/31	23/31
% 1st pts	74%	74%
2nd pts	11/17	11/17
% 2nd pts	65%	65%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/6	4/6
Converted %	67%	67%
Conceded	1	1
Saved	0/1	0
Saved %	0%	0%
Times Broken	1	1

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