Takuya Kumasaka and Hayato Matsuoka will face off in the qualifications of the Matsuyama Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on COURT 8. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Takuya Kumasaka who should win in 3 sets.
Takuya Kumasaka -> 1.66
Hayato Matsuoka -> 2.06
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Prediction and head to head Takuya Kumasaka vs. Hayato Matsuoka
This will be the 2nd time that Takuya Kumasaka and Hayato Matsuoka fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Kumasaka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Kumasaka won 7-6(7) 6-0 in the quarter in M15 Ipoh Perak back in 2023.
Takuya Kumasaka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 44-22 | 44-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-22 | 31-19 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-24 | 18-12 | 15-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-14 | 22-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 8-8 | 8-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 485, the Japanese got to the qualifications after defeating Taku Ito 6-2 6-0.
In the qualifications, Kumasaka had a good straight sets win against Ito (6-2 6-0). During the match, Kumasaka scored 50 points vs Ito’s 18. The Japanese was quite aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kumasaka made 2 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Takuya Kumasaka was very efficient on serve to win 86% (19/22) of his 1st serve and 90% (9/10) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Takuya broke Ito 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Kumasaka has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 60% of his matches (152-103). 42-19 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Kumasaka has a composed130-81 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
The Japanese’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Tokyo,M15 Tsukuba and M15 Nakhon Pathom.
Kumasaka has an overall 42-19 win-loss record in 2025, 42-19 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Matsuyama Challenger
Hayato Matsuoka
27 - 26win/loss
483
483
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 36-28 | 29-21 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-26 | 26-15 | 13-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 15-13 | 10-9 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 657, Matsuoka got to the qualifications after beating Nathan Trouve 1-6 6-3 6-1.
In the qualifications against Trouve, The Japanese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-3 6-1). During the match Matsuoka scored 75 points vs Trouve’s 68. The Japanese was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about serving, Matsuoka was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Hayato Matsuoka lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Matsuoka put 85% of his first serves in, winning 56% (32/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 70% (7/10) on the 2nd serve. Hayato broke Trouve 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Matsuoka’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in M15 Torello,M25 Les Franqueses del Valles and M25 Huzhou.
The Japanese has a compiled 27-26 win-loss record in 2025, 20-19 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Matsuyama Challenger
Matsuoka has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kumasaka | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 14 | 23 |
| Pts | 50-18 | 75-68 |
| Total Points | 68 | 143 |
| Winners | 19 | 32 |
| %Winners | 38% | 43% |
Both Kumasaka and Matsuoka played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Hayato Matsuoka lost 1 set while Takuya Kumasaka hasn’t conceded a set so far. Kumasaka has played 1 set(s) less than Matsuoka (2 vs 3). Therefore, Kumasaka played 9 games less than Matsuoka. Takuya scored 19 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Matsuoka recorded 32 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kumasaka | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 0 |
| 1st in | 22/32 | 57/67 |
| %1st in | 69% | 85% |
| 1st pts | 19/22 | 32/57 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 56% |
| 2nd pts | 9/10 | 7/10 |
| %2nd pts | 90% | 70% |
Kumasaka struck 2 aces . Matsuoka didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Kumasaka won 86% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 90% of the points. On the other side, Matsuoka won 56% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 70% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kumasaka | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/10 |
| % Converted | 71% | 50% |
| Conceded | 0 | 7 |
| Saved | 0 | 4 |
| % Saved | 0% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
Kumasaka broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. The Japanese very solid his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. Matsuoka broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. Matsuoka conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kumasaka | |||
| Q1 Ito | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 50-18 | 50-18 | |
| Total points | 68 | 68 | |
| Winners | 19 | 19 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 22/32 | 22/32 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 19/22 | 19/22 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/10 | 9/10 | |
| % 2nd pts | 90% | 90% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Matsuoka | |||
| Q1 Trouve | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 75-68 | 75-68 | |
| Total points | 143 | 143 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 57/67 | 57/67 | |
| % 1st in | 85% | 85% | |
| 1st pts | 32/57 | 32/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 56% | 56% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/10 | 7/10 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 70% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov – Duje AjdukovicAjdukovic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yusuke TakahashiTakahashi – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Sho KatayamaKatayama (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Oliver CrawfordCrawford – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Moerani BouzigeBouzige – Renta TokudaTokuda (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yuta KikuchiKikuchi – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yuki MochizukiMochizuki – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hikaru ShiraishiShiraishi – Hugo GrenierGrenier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Takuya KumasakaKumasaka – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Max BasingBasing – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ryuki MatsudaMatsuda – (0-0) – H2H and prediction