Martin Damm and Rafael Jodar will play each other in the final of the Charlottesville Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Jodar who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Rafael Jodar is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Jodar -> 1.46
Martin Damm -> 2.49

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Prediction and head to head Martin Damm vs. Rafael Jodar

This will be the 2^nd time that Martin Damm and Rafael Jodar face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Jodar (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they played, Jodar won 6-7(3) 6-3 6-3 in the final in the Lincoln Challenger back in October 2025.

Martin Damm

Ranked no. 191, Damm reached the final after beating Charles Broom 6-3 6-3, Keegan Smith 6-1 7-5, Daniil Glinka 6-7(3) 6-4 6-4 and Mats Rosenkranz 7-6(3) 6-4.

In the semifinal, Martin had a good straight sets win against Rosenkranz (7-6³ 6-4). During the match, Damm scored 77 points vs Rosenkranz’s 68. Martin was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Regarding the service games, Damm overpowered his opponent with 21 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Martin Damm lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Damm put 59% of his first serves in, winning 80% (32/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (13/28) on the 2nd serve. Damm broke Rosenkranz twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Damm has a winning record in the last 7 years having won 59% of his matches (188-128). 16-4 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Damm has an overall46-30 record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.

Martin’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M15 Sharm ElSheikh,M25 Tbilisi,M15 Vaasa,M25 Elvas,the Columbus Challenger and the Lincoln Challenger.

Martin has a compiled 52-19 win-loss record in 2025, 16-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Charlottesville Challenger

Rafael Jodar

Ranked no. 207 (career-high), the Spaniard got to the final after defeating Murphy Cassone 6-4 7-5, Saba Purtseladze 6-4 6-0, Dylan Dietrich 7-5 6-3 and Johannus Monday 6-4 4-2 ret..

In the semifinal against Monday, Jodar had a free pass after Monday retired on a 6-4 4-2 . scoreline.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Hersonissos 3 Challenger where he defeated Dan Added in the final 6-4 6-2 and the Lincoln Challenger where he defeated Martin Damm in the final 6-7(3) 6-3 6-3.

Jodar has a composed 38-12 win-loss record in 2025, 12-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Damm	Jodar
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	9	9
Tot Games	93	75
Pts	301-258	293-231
Total Points	559	524
Winners	137	110
%Winners	46%	38%

Both Damm and Jodar played 4 matches. At the moment, Martin Damm conceded 1 set while Rafael Jodar hasn’t lost a set so far. Talking about their workload, Damm and Jodar have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Damm played 18 games more than Jodar. Damm scored 137 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Jodar bagged 110 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Damm	Jodar
Aces	61	22
Avg per match	15.3	5.5
1st in	160/258	143/247
%1st in	62%	58%
1st pts	137/160	110/143
%1st pts	86%	77%
2nd pts	50/98	58/104
%2nd pts	51%	56%

Damm managed to score 61 aces (15.3 per match). Jodar blasted 22 aces (5.5 per match). Damm won 86% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Jodar won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Damm	Jodar
Won	11	12
Converted	11/26	12/30
% Converted	42%	40%
Conceded	4	17
Saved	3	15
% Saved	75%	88%
Times Broken	1	2

The American broke his opponents 11 times with a 42% conversion rate. The American dropped his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Jodar broke his opponents 12 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve twice and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.

Damm
	R1 Broom	R2 Smith	1/4 Glinka	1/2 Rosenkranz	Total
Score	6-3 6-3	6-1 7-5	6-73 6-4 6-4	7-63 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	9
Tot Games	18	19	33	23	93
pts	55-43	68-50	101-97	77-68	301-258
Total points	98	118	198	145	559
Winners	24	26	55	32	137
%Winners	44%	38%	54%	42%	46%
SERVE
Aces	8	11	21	21	61
Double Faults	2	5	6	3	16
1st in	28/48	30/46	62/96	40/68	160/258
% 1st in	58%	65%	65%	59%	62%
1st pts	24/28	26/30	55/62	32/40	137/160
% 1st pts	86%	87%	89%	80%	86%
2nd pts	12/20	10/16	15/34	13/28	50/98
% 2nd pts	60%	63%	44%	46%	51%
Breaks
Won	3	4	2	2	11
Converted	3/6	4/10	2/4	2/6	11/26
Converted %	50%	40%	50%	33%	42%
Conceded	0	0	2	2	4
Saved	0/0	0/0	2/2	1/2	3
Saved %	–	–	100%	50%	38%
Times Broken	0	0	0	1	1

Jodar
	R1 Cassone	R2 Purtseladze	1/4 Dietrich	1/2 Monday	Total
Score	6-4 7-5	6-4 6-0	7-5 6-3	6-4 4-2 ret.
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	22	16	21	16	75
pts	84-70	65-39	84-73	60-49	293-231
Total points	154	104	157	109	524
Winners	32	17	38	23	110
%Winners	38%	26%	45%	38%	38%
SERVE
Aces	7	2	5	8	22
Double Faults	0	2	1	0	3
1st in	43/74	18/39	51/84	31/50	143/247
% 1st in	58%	46%	61%	62%	58%
1st pts	32/43	17/18	38/51	23/31	110/143
% 1st pts	74%	94%	75%	74%	77%
2nd pts	17/31	15/21	16/33	10/19	58/104
% 2nd pts	55%	71%	48%	53%	56%
Breaks
Won	3	4	2	3	12
Converted	3/5	4/7	2/8	3/10	12/30
Converted %	60%	57%	25%	30%	40%
Conceded	8	0	7	2	17
Saved	7/8	0/0	7/7	1/2	15
Saved %	88%	–	100%	50%	60%
Times Broken	1	0	0	1	2

Upcoming matches in the draw