Shintaro Mochizuki and Mackenzie Mcdonald will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Hellenic Championship for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mackenzie Mcdonald who should win in 3 sets.
Mackenzie Mcdonald -> 1.72
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 1.98
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Prediction and head to head Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Mackenzie Mcdonald
This will be the 3rd time that Shintaro Mochizuki and Mackenzie Mcdonald clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Mochizuki and Mcdonald (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played each other, Mochizuki won 2-6 6-4 6-2 in the 2nd round in the Surbiton Challenger back in 2024.
Shintaro Mochizuki
43 - 28win/loss
94
92
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 43-30 | 27-16 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 11-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-33 | 19-22 | 7-5 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-33 | 22-16 | 13-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-34 | 18-17 | 13-12 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 11-10 | 18-11 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 94, the Japanese reached the qualifications after defeating Pavlos Tsitsipas 6-1 6-2.
In the qualifications, Mochizuki had a good straight sets win against Tsitsipas (6-1 6-2). During the match, Mochizuki scored 58 points vs Tsitsipas’s 31. Shintaro was quite aggressive to blast 17 winners.
Regarding the service games, Mochizuki bagged 6 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Shintaro Mochizuki was very efficient on serve to win 100% (17/17) of his 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Mochizuki broke Tsitsipas 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Mochizuki has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 55% of his matches (218-181). 3-3 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Mochizuki has a composed16-21 record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Noumea Challenger where he beat Moerani Bouzige in the final 6-1 6-3.
Mochizuki has a composed 43-28 win-loss record in 2025, 3-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Athens
Shintaro has never competed in this tournament before.
Mackenzie Mcdonald
39 - 30win/loss
112
37
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 40-31 | 24-16 | 1-4 | 9-6 | 6-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-23 | 18-12 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-30 | 23-15 | 0-6 | 4-3 | 8-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 16-16 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-26 | 15-12 | 12-5 | 9-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 108, the American got to the qualifications after defeating Marco Trungelliti 2-6 6-2 7-5.
In the qualifications against Trungelliti, Mackenzie recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-2 7-5). During the match Mcdonald scored 107 points vs Trungelliti’s 102. The American was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Mcdonald recorded 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Mackenzie Mcdonald lost the serve 5 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Mcdonald put 54% of his first serves in, winning 63% (30/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 51% (21/41) on the 2nd serve. Mackenzie broke Trungelliti 6 times after converting 32% of his break points (6/19).
The American’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the San Diego Challenger and the Jinan Challenger.
Mackenzie has a composed 39-30 win-loss record in 2025, 8-5 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mochizuki | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 28 |
| Pts | 58-31 | 107-102 |
| Total Points | 89 | 209 |
| Winners | 17 | 30 |
| %Winners | 29% | 28% |
Both Mochizuki and Mcdonald played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Mackenzie Mcdonald conceded 1 set while Shintaro Mochizuki hasn’t conceded a set so far. Mochizuki has played 1 set(s) less than Mcdonald (2 vs 3). Therefore, Mochizuki played 13 games less than Mcdonald. Mochizuki scored 17 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, Mackenzie bagged 30 winners (28%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mochizuki | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 9 |
| 1st in | 17/41 | 48/89 |
| %1st in | 41% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 17/17 | 30/48 |
| %1st pts | 100% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 15/24 | 21/41 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 51% |
Mochizuki struck 6 aces . Mcdonald bagged 9 aces . Mochizuki won 100% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Mcdonald won 63% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mochizuki | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 6 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 6/19 |
| % Converted | 57% | 32% |
| Conceded | 0 | 11 |
| Saved | 0 | 6 |
| % Saved | 0% | 55% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 |
Shintaro broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Shintaro pretty solid on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. Mackenzie broke his opponent 6 times with a 32% conversion rate. Mcdonald conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mochizuki | |||
| Q1 Tsitsipas | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 58-31 | 58-31 | |
| Total points | 89 | 89 | |
| Winners | 17 | 17 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 29% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 17/41 | 17/41 | |
| % 1st in | 41% | 41% | |
| 1st pts | 17/17 | 17/17 | |
| % 1st pts | 100% | 100% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/24 | 15/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Mcdonald | |||
| Q1 Trungelliti | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 107-102 | 107-102 | |
| Total points | 209 | 209 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 28% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 48/89 | 48/89 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 30/48 | 30/48 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/41 | 21/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/19 | 6/19 | |
| Converted % | 32% | 32% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 6/11 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 55% | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
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