Jannik Sinner and Felix Auger-Aliassime will fight against each other in the final of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 5^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.089
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 8.2

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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime

This will be the 5^th time that Jannik Sinner and Felix Auger-Aliassime play each other. The head to head is 2-2 for Sinner and Auger-Aliassime (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they played each other, Sinner won 6-1 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the semifinal in at the U.S. Open back in September 2025.

Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger-Aliassime – U.S. Open 05-September-2025

Jannik Sinner

Ranked no. 2, Sinner got to the final after defeating Zizou Bergs 6-4 6-2, Francisco Cerundolo 7-5 6-1, Ben Shelton 6-3 6-3 and Alexander Zverev 6-0 6-1.

In the semifinal, Jannik had a good straight sets win against Zverev (6-0 6-1). During the match, Sinner scored 54 points vs Zverev’s 26. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 19 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sinner recorded 8 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Jannik Sinner conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 68% of his first serves in, win 90% (19/21) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (5/10) on the 2nd serve. Sinner broke Zverev 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 60% of the points he played.

Sinner has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 76% of his matches (398-127). 9-0 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sinner has an aggregate109-25 match record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the year was conquering the title at the Australian Open where he overcame Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 6-3 and at the Wimbledon where he defeated Carlos Alcaraz in the final 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4 and in Beijing where he defeated Learner Tien in the final 6-2 6-2 and in Vienna where he beat Alexander Zverev in the final 3-6 6-3 7-5.

Sinner has a composed 52-6 win-loss record in 2025, 9-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Ranked no. 10, Auger-Aliassime got to the final after defeating Francisco Comesana 6-7(2) 6-3 6-3, Alexandre Muller 5-7 7-6(5) 7-6(4), Daniel Altmaier 3-6 6-3 6-2, Valentin Vacherot 6-2 6-2 and Alexander Bublik 7-6(3) 6-4

.

In the semifinal, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Bublik (7-6³

6-4). During the match Auger-Aliassime scored 69 points vs Bublik’s 61. Felix was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.

About the serving games, Auger-Aliassime struck 12 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Felix Auger-Aliassime lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Auger-Aliassime put 66% of his first serves in, winning 85% (34/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (9/21) on the 2nd serve. The Canadian broke Bublik 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Auger-Aliassime has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was conquering the title in Adelaide where he overcame Sebastian Korda in the final 6-3 3-6 6-1 and in Montpellier where he overcame Aleksandar Kovacevic in the final 6-2 6-7(7) 7-6(2) and in Brussels where he beat Jiri Lehecka in the final 7-6(2) 6-7(6) 6-2.

The Canadian has a compiled 48-22 win-loss record in 2025, 15-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sinner	Auger-Aliassime
Match played	4	5
Tot Set	8	13
Tot Games	68	134
Pts	243-159	439-374
Total Points	402	813
Winners	96	189
%Winners	40%	43%

Sinner played 4 matches while Auger-Aliassime competed in 5 matches. At the moment, Felix Auger-Aliassime conceded 3 sets while Jannik Sinner hasn’t dropped a set so far. Sinner has played 5 set(s) less than Auger-Aliassime (8 vs 13). Therefore, Sinner played 66 games less than Auger-Aliassime. The Italian scored 96 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Felix struck 189 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sinner	Auger-Aliassime
Aces	16	54
Avg per match	4	10.8
1st in	117/168	222/373
%1st in	70%	60%
1st pts	96/117	189/222
%1st pts	82%	85%
2nd pts	31/51	81/151
%2nd pts	61%	54%

Sinner struck 16 aces (4 per match). Auger-Aliassime bagged 54 aces (10.8 per match). Sinner won 82% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Auger-Aliassime won 85% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sinner	Auger-Aliassime
Won	18	16
Converted	18/36	16/37
% Converted	50%	43%
Conceded	4	19
Saved	1	12
% Saved	25%	63%
Times Broken	3	7

Sinner broke his opponents 18 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Italian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded. Felix broke his opponents 16 times with a 43% conversion rate. Auger-Aliassime conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
	R2 Bergs	R3 Cerundolo	1/4 Shelton	1/2 Zverev	Total
Score	6-4 6-2	7-5 6-1	6-3 6-3	6-0 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	18	19	18	13	68
pts	66-52	68-45	55-36	54-26	243-159
Total points	118	113	91	80	402
Winners	24	29	24	19	96
%Winners	36%	43%	44%	35%	40%
SERVE
Aces	0	4	4	8	16
Double Faults	2	2	0	0	4
1st in	31/48	35/49	30/40	21/31	117/168
% 1st in	65%	71%	75%	68%	70%
1st pts	24/31	29/35	24/30	19/21	96/117
% 1st pts	77%	83%	80%	90%	82%
2nd pts	12/17	6/14	8/10	5/10	31/51
% 2nd pts	71%	43%	80%	50%	61%
Breaks
Won	3	5	4	6	18
Converted	3/11	5/8	4/8	6/9	18/36
Converted %	27%	63%	50%	67%	50%
Conceded	0	3	1	0	4
Saved	0/0	1/3	0/1	0/0	1
Saved %	–	33%	0%	–	8%
Times Broken	0	2	1	0	3

Auger-Aliassime
	R1 Comesana	R2 Muller	R3 Altmaier	1/4 Vacherot	1/2 Bublik	Total
Score	6-72 6-3 6-3	5-7 7-65 7-64	3-6 6-3 6-2	6-2 6-2	7-63 6-4
Tot Set	3	3	3	2	2	13
Tot Games	31	38	26	16	23	134
pts	100-80	115-120	92-76	63-37	69-61	439-374
Total points	180	235	168	100	130	813
Winners	37	55	39	24	34	189
%Winners	37%	48%	42%	38%	49%	43%
SERVE
Aces	11	21	7	3	12	54
Double Faults	7	6	3	0	2	18
1st in	44/80	66/119	45/74	27/39	40/61	222/373
% 1st in	55%	55%	61%	69%	66%	60%
1st pts	37/44	55/66	39/45	24/27	34/40	189/222
% 1st pts	84%	83%	87%	89%	85%	85%
2nd pts	21/36	26/53	16/29	9/12	9/21	81/151
% 2nd pts	58%	49%	55%	75%	43%	54%
Breaks
Won	5	1	3	4	3	16
Converted	5/10	1/5	3/10	4/8	3/4	16/37
Converted %	50%	20%	30%	50%	75%	43%
Conceded	5	5	5	2	2	19
Saved	3/5	3/5	4/5	2/2	0/2	12
Saved %	60%	60%	80%	100%	0%	75%
Times Broken	2	2	1	0	2	7

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Jannik SinnerSinner (2-2) – H2H and prediction