Jannik Sinner and Alexander Zverev will square off in the semifinal of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 9^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 5:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.132
Alexander Zverev -> 5.85

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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev

This will be the 9^th time that Jannik Sinner and Alexander Zverev face off. The head to head is 4-4 for Sinner and Zverev (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they locked horns, Sinner won 3-6 6-3 7-5 in the final in Vienna back in October 2025.

Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev – Vienna 26-October-2025

Jannik Sinner

Ranked no. 2, Jannik got to the semifinal after beating Zizou Bergs 6-4 6-2, Francisco Cerundolo 7-5 6-1 and Ben Shelton 6-3 6-3.

In the quarter, Sinner had a good straight sets win against Shelton (6-3 6-3). During the match, Sinner scored 55 points vs Shelton’s 36. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sinner made 4 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Jannik Sinner was extremely effective on serve to win 80% (24/30) of his 1st serve and 80% (8/10) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Shelton 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 59% of the points he played.

Sinner has a fantastic match record in the last 8 years having won 76% of his matches (397-127). 8-0 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Sinner has an overall108-25 win-loss record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title at the Australian Open where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 6-3 and at the Wimbledon where he beat Carlos Alcaraz in the final 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4 and in Beijing where he overcame Learner Tien in the final 6-2 6-2 and in Vienna where he overcame Alexander Zverev in the final 3-6 6-3 7-5.

The Italian has a composed 51-6 win-loss record in 2025, 8-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Alexander Zverev

Ranked no. 3, the German got to the semifinal after defeating Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-7(5) 6-1 7-5

, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-2 6-4 and Daniil Medvedev 2-6 6-3 7-6(5).

In the quarter against Medvedev, Zverev recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 7-6⁵). During the match Zverev scored 97 points vs Medvedev’s 93. Zverev was quite aggressive to blast 51 winners.

Talking about serving, Zverev scored 4 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Alexander Zverev lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Zverev put 78% of his first serves in, winning 70% (51/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (8/20) on the 2nd serve. The German broke Medvedev 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Zverev has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Munich where he beat Ben Shelton in the final 6-2 6-4.

Alexander has an aggregate 54-22 win-loss record in 2025, 6-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Previously, he won this tournament once in 2024. See his history

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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sinner	Zverev
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	6	8
Tot Games	55	80
Pts	189-133	275-235
Total Points	322	510
Winners	77	133
%Winners	41%	48%

Both Sinner and Zverev played 3 matches. At the moment, Alexander Zverev lost 2 sets while Jannik Sinner hasn’t dropped a set so far. Sinner has played 2 set(s) less than Zverev (6 vs 8). Therefore, Sinner played 25 games less than Zverev. Jannik scored 77 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The German blasted 133 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sinner	Zverev
Aces	8	15
Avg per match	2.7	5
1st in	96/137	186/242
%1st in	70%	77%
1st pts	77/96	133/186
%1st pts	80%	72%
2nd pts	26/41	34/56
%2nd pts	63%	61%

Sinner struck 8 aces (2.7 per match). Zverev managed to score 15 aces (5 per match). Sinner won 80% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Zverev won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sinner	Zverev
Won	12	11
Converted	12/27	11/26
% Converted	44%	42%
Conceded	4	15
Saved	1	9
% Saved	25%	60%
Times Broken	3	6

Sinner broke his opponents 12 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Italian lost his serve 3 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded. Alexander broke his opponents 11 times with a 42% conversion rate. Alexander conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
	R2 Bergs	R3 Cerundolo	1/4 Shelton	Total
Score	6-4 6-2	7-5 6-1	6-3 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	18	19	18	55
pts	66-52	68-45	55-36	189-133
Total points	118	113	91	322
Winners	24	29	24	77
%Winners	36%	43%	44%	41%
SERVE
Aces	0	4	4	8
Double Faults	2	2	0	4
1st in	31/48	35/49	30/40	96/137
% 1st in	65%	71%	75%	70%
1st pts	24/31	29/35	24/30	77/96
% 1st pts	77%	83%	80%	80%
2nd pts	12/17	6/14	8/10	26/41
% 2nd pts	71%	43%	80%	63%
Breaks
Won	3	5	4	12
Converted	3/11	5/8	4/8	12/27
Converted %	27%	63%	50%	44%
Conceded	0	3	1	4
Saved	0/0	1/3	0/1	1
Saved %	–	33%	0%	11%
Times Broken	0	2	1	3

Zverev
	R2 Ugo	R3 Davidovich Fokina	1/4 Medvedev	Total
Score	6-75 6-1 7-5	6-2 6-4	2-6 6-3 7-65
Tot Set	3	2	3	8
Tot Games	32	18	30	80
pts	110-91	68-51	97-93	275-235
Total points	201	119	190	510
Winners	51	31	51	133
%Winners	46%	46%	53%	48%
SERVE
Aces	7	4	4	15
Double Faults	0	1	0	1
1st in	69/92	44/57	73/93	186/242
% 1st in	75%	77%	78%	77%
1st pts	51/69	31/44	51/73	133/186
% 1st pts	74%	70%	70%	72%
2nd pts	18/23	8/13	8/20	34/56
% 2nd pts	78%	62%	40%	61%
Breaks
Won	4	4	3	11
Converted	4/6	4/11	3/9	11/26
Converted %	67%	36%	33%	42%
Conceded	1	4	10	15
Saved	0/1	3/4	6/10	9
Saved %	0%	75%	60%	45%
Times Broken	1	1	4	6

Tennis Scores in Paris

• Alexander BublikBublik – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-7⁵ 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Julian Cash/Lloyd GlasspoolCash/Lloyd Glasspool – Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (2-6 6-3 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry Patten – Alexander Erler/Robert GallowayErler/Robert Galloway (4-6 7-6³ 10-6) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Ben SheltonShelton (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Valentin VacherotVacherot (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Francisco Cabral/Lucas MiedlerCabral/Lucas Miedler – John Peers/James TracyPeers/James Tracy (7-6⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (2-6 6-3 7-6(5)) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Ben SheltonShelton (6-3 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Alexander ZverevZverev – Jannik SinnerSinner (4-4) – H2H and prediction
• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Alexander BublikBublik (3-2) – H2H and prediction