Felix Auger-Aliassime and Alexander Bublik will play each other in the semifinal of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 6^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 2:30 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Bublik who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexander Bublik is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Bublik -> 1.77
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 2.04

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Prediction and head to head Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Alexander Bublik

This will be the 6^th time that Felix Auger-Aliassime and Alexander Bublik fight against each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Auger-Aliassime (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they fought against each other, Auger-Aliassime won 7-6(7) 6-7(4) 6-3 in the 1^st round in Dubai back in February 2025.

Highlights Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Bublik – Dubai 25-February-2025

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Ranked no. 10, Auger-Aliassime got to the semifinal after beating Francisco Comesana 6-7(2) 6-3 6-3, Alexandre Muller 5-7 7-6(5) 7-6(4), Daniel Altmaier 3-6 6-3 6-2 and Valentin Vacherot 6-2 6-2.

In the quarter, Auger-Aliassime had a good straight sets win against Vacherot (6-2 6-2). During the match, Auger-Aliassime scored 63 points vs Vacherot’s 37. Felix was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Regarding the service games, Auger-Aliassime struck 3 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults. Felix Auger-Aliassime was pretty effective on serve to win 89% (24/27) of his 1st serve and 75% (9/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Felix broke Vacherot 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Felix has surrendered 3 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Auger-Aliassime has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (375-222). 14-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Auger-Aliassime has an aggregate 97-42 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Adelaide where he beat Sebastian Korda in the final 6-3 3-6 6-1 and in Montpellier where he beat Aleksandar Kovacevic in the final 6-2 6-7(7) 7-6(2) and in Brussels where he beat Jiri Lehecka in the final 7-6(2) 6-7(6) 6-2.

Felix has a compiled 47-22 win-loss record in 2025, 14-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Alexander Bublik

Ranked no. 16 (career-high), Alexander reached the semifinal after beating Alexei Popyrin 6-4 6-3, Corentin Moutet 6-3 7-5, Taylor Fritz 7-6(5) 6-2 and Alex De Minaur 6-7(5) 6-4 7-5.

In the quarter against De Minaur, The Kazakhstani recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7⁵ 6-4 7-5). During the match Bublik scored 109 points vs De Minaur’s 108. The Kazakhstani was pretty aggressive to blast 62 winners.

Talking about serving, Bublik recorded 16 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Alexander Bublik conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Bublik put 63% of his first serves in, winning 89% (62/70) of the points behind his 1st serve and 32% (13/41) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke De Minaur twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Kazakhstani has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Turin Challenger where he defeated Bu Yunchaokete in the final 6-3 6-3 and in Halle where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and in Gstaad where he beat Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the final 6-4 4-6 6-3 and in Kitzbuhel where he beat Arthur Cazaux in the final 6-4 6-3 and in Hangzhou where he beat Valentin Royer in the final 7-6(4) 7-6(4).

Alexander has a compiled 48-22 win-loss record in 2025, 8-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Auger-Aliassime	Bublik
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	11	9
Tot Games	111	96
Pts	370-313	324-293
Total Points	683	617
Winners	155	163
%Winners	42%	50%

Both Auger-Aliassime and Bublik played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Felix Auger-Aliassime lost 3 sets, while Alexander Bublik lost 1 set. Auger-Aliassime has played 2 sets more than Bublik (11 vs 9). Therefore, Auger-Aliassime played 15 games more than Bublik. Auger-Aliassime scored 155 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Bublik made 163 winners (50%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Auger-Aliassime	Bublik
Aces	42	46
Avg per match	10.5	11.5
1st in	182/312	196/309
%1st in	58%	63%
1st pts	155/182	163/196
%1st pts	85%	83%
2nd pts	72/130	49/113
%2nd pts	55%	43%

Auger-Aliassime fired 42 aces (10.5 per match). Bublik made 46 aces (11.5 per match). Auger-Aliassime won 85% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Bublik won 83% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 43% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Auger-Aliassime	Bublik
Won	13	9
Converted	13/33	9/30
% Converted	39%	30%
Conceded	17	11
Saved	12	10
% Saved	71%	91%
Times Broken	5	1

The Canadian broke his opponents 13 times with a 39% conversion rate. Felix surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. The Kazakhstani broke his opponents 9 times with a 30% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani conceded his serve once and he saved 91% of the break points that he conceded.

Auger-Aliassime
	R1 Comesana	R2 Muller	R3 Altmaier	1/4 Vacherot	Total
Score	6-72 6-3 6-3	5-7 7-65 7-64	3-6 6-3 6-2	6-2 6-2
Tot Set	3	3	3	2	11
Tot Games	31	38	26	16	111
pts	100-80	115-120	92-76	63-37	370-313
Total points	180	235	168	100	683
Winners	37	55	39	24	155
%Winners	37%	48%	42%	38%	42%
SERVE
Aces	11	21	7	3	42
Double Faults	7	6	3	0	16
1st in	44/80	66/119	45/74	27/39	182/312
% 1st in	55%	55%	61%	69%	58%
1st pts	37/44	55/66	39/45	24/27	155/182
% 1st pts	84%	83%	87%	89%	85%
2nd pts	21/36	26/53	16/29	9/12	72/130
% 2nd pts	58%	49%	55%	75%	55%
Breaks
Won	5	1	3	4	13
Converted	5/10	1/5	3/10	4/8	13/33
Converted %	50%	20%	30%	50%	39%
Conceded	5	5	5	2	17
Saved	3/5	3/5	4/5	2/2	12
Saved %	60%	60%	80%	100%	75%
Times Broken	2	2	1	0	5

Bublik
	R1 Popyrin	R2 Moutet	R3 Fritz	1/4 De Minaur	Total
Score	6-4 6-3	6-3 7-5	7-65 6-2	6-75 6-4 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	9
Tot Games	19	21	21	35	96
pts	61-54	73-62	81-69	109-108	324-293
Total points	115	135	150	217	617
Winners	32	34	35	62	163
%Winners	52%	47%	43%	57%	50%
SERVE
Aces	13	6	11	16	46
Double Faults	4	2	1	4	11
1st in	36/58	43/70	47/70	70/111	196/309
% 1st in	62%	61%	67%	63%	63%
1st pts	32/36	34/43	35/47	62/70	163/196
% 1st pts	89%	79%	74%	89%	83%
2nd pts	7/22	15/27	14/23	13/41	49/113
% 2nd pts	32%	56%	61%	32%	43%
Breaks
Won	3	2	2	2	9
Converted	3/5	2/10	2/10	2/5	9/30
Converted %	60%	20%	20%	40%	30%
Conceded	4	1	4	2	11
Saved	3/4	1/1	4/4	2/2	10
Saved %	75%	100%	100%	100%	94%
Times Broken	1	0	0	0	1

Tennis Scores in Paris

• Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Valentin VacherotVacherot (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry Patten – Alexander Erler/Robert GallowayErler/Robert Galloway (4-6 7-6³ 10-6) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Ben SheltonShelton (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Alexander BublikBublik – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-7⁵ 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Francisco Cabral/Lucas MiedlerCabral/Lucas Miedler – John Peers/James TracyPeers/James Tracy (7-6⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Valentin VacherotVacherot (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Alexander BublikBublik – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-7(5) 6-4 7-5) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexander ZverevZverev (14-7) – H2H and prediction
• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Alexander BublikBublik (3-2) – H2H and prediction