Alejandro Moro Canas and Lorenzo Giustino will square off in the semifinal of the Monastir Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 11:00 am on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alejandro Moro Canas who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alejandro Moro Canas is the pick to win this match.
Alejandro Moro Canas -> 1.51
Lorenzo Giustino -> 2.35

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Prediction and head to head Alejandro Moro Canas vs. Lorenzo Giustino

This will be the 2^nd time that Alejandro Moro Canas and Lorenzo Giustino square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Giustino (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Giustino won 3-6 6-4 7-6(5) in the semifinal in M25 Santander back in August 2025.

Alejandro Moro Canas

Ranked no. 245, Moro Canas reached the semifinal after defeating Giles Hussey 6-4 7-5, Adrian Andreev 6-2 6-1 and Luka Mikrut 7-6(8) 6-7(3) 6-4.

In the quarter, Moro Canas defeated Mikrut (7-6⁸ 6-7³ 6-4).During the match, Moro Canas scored less points (2) than Mikrut. In fact, the world no. 245 won 126 points vs Mikrut’s. That means that Moro Canas was more focused during the important points. The Spaniard was quite aggressive to blast 50 winners.

Regarding the service games, Moro Canas bagged 2 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Alejandro Moro Canas lost the serve 5 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Moro Canas put 65% of his first serves in, winning 58% (50/86) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (24/46) on the 2nd serve. Moro Canas broke Mikrut 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Moro Canas has surrendered 1 set in this event to win 54% of the points he played.

Moro Canas has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 59% of his matches (208-145). 16-9 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Moro Canas has an aggregate94-44 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

Moro Canas’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Tenerife 1 Challenger.

The Spaniard has an overall 38-32 win-loss record in 2025, 16-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Monastir Challenger

The Spaniard has never competed in this tournament before.

Lorenzo Giustino

Ranked no. 269, Lorenzo reached the semifinal after beating George Loffhagen 6-4 6-4, Ioannis Xilas 6-4 6-1 and Dan Added 6-3 6-4.

In the quarter, Lorenzo had a good straight sets win against Added (6-3 6-4). During the match Giustino scored 72 points vs Added’s 60. Giustino was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.

About the serving games, Giustino bagged 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Lorenzo Giustino lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Giustino put 60% of his first serves in, winning 77% (33/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (13/29) on the 2nd serve. Giustino broke Added 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Lorenzo hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Giustino’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Badalona,M25 Vic,Loubet,M25 Gijon,M25 Santander,M25 Sabadell and M25 Zaragoza.

The Italian has a compiled 50-29 win-loss record in 2025, 7-5 on hard (See FULL STATS)

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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Moro Canas	Giustino
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	6
Tot Games	73	56
Pts	249-215	206-171
Total Points	464	377
Winners	92	94
%Winners	37%	46%

Both Moro Canas and Giustino played 3 matches. At the moment, Alejandro Moro Canas conceded 1 set while Lorenzo Giustino hasn’t lost a set so far. Moro Canas has played 1 set more than Giustino (7 vs 6). Therefore, Moro Canas played 17 games more than Giustino. Alejandro scored 92 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian made 94 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Moro Canas	Giustino
Aces	9	18
Avg per match	3	6
1st in	145/237	123/202
%1st in	61%	61%
1st pts	92/145	94/123
%1st pts	63%	76%
2nd pts	54/92	39/79
%2nd pts	59%	49%

Moro Canas blasted 9 aces (3 per match). Giustino fired 18 aces (6 per match). Moro Canas won 63% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Giustino won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Moro Canas	Giustino
Won	15	9
Converted	15/23	9/25
% Converted	65%	36%
Conceded	18	19
Saved	10	17
% Saved	56%	89%
Times Broken	8	2

The Spaniard broke his opponents 15 times with a 65% conversion rate. Moro Canas conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Giustino broke his opponents 9 times with a 36% conversion rate. Lorenzo conceded his serve twice and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded.

Moro Canas
	R1 Hussey	R2 Andreev	1/4 Mikrut	Total
Score	6-4 7-5	6-2 6-1	7-68 6-73 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	22	15	36	73
pts	68-56	55-31	126-128	249-215
Total points	124	86	254	464
Winners	23	19	50	92
%Winners	34%	35%	40%	37%
SERVE
Aces	2	5	2	9
Double Faults	3	2	5	10
1st in	32/58	27/47	86/132	145/237
% 1st in	55%	57%	65%	61%
1st pts	23/32	19/27	50/86	92/145
% 1st pts	72%	70%	58%	63%
2nd pts	17/26	13/20	24/46	54/92
% 2nd pts	65%	65%	52%	59%
Breaks
Won	4	5	6	15
Converted	4/7	5/8	6/8	15/23
Converted %	57%	63%	75%	65%
Conceded	2	4	12	18
Saved	0/2	3/4	7/12	10
Saved %	0%	75%	58%	44%
Times Broken	2	1	5	8

Giustino
	R1 Loffhagen	R2 Xilas	1/4 Added	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	6-4 6-1	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	20	17	19	56
pts	73-65	61-46	72-60	206-171
Total points	138	107	132	377
Winners	33	28	33	94
%Winners	45%	46%	46%	46%
SERVE
Aces	7	6	5	18
Double Faults	3	1	3	7
1st in	46/74	34/56	43/72	123/202
% 1st in	62%	61%	60%	61%
1st pts	33/46	28/34	33/43	94/123
% 1st pts	72%	82%	77%	76%
2nd pts	15/28	11/22	13/29	39/79
% 2nd pts	54%	50%	45%	49%
Breaks
Won	3	3	3	9
Converted	3/7	3/7	3/11	9/25
Converted %	43%	43%	27%	36%
Conceded	9	4	6	19
Saved	8/9	4/4	5/6	17
Saved %	89%	100%	83%	91%
Times Broken	1	0	1	2

Tennis Scores in Monastir Challenger

• Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino – Dan AddedAdded (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas – Luka MikrutMikrut (7-6⁸ 6-7³ 6-4) – See score progression
• Arthur GeaGea – Remy BertolaBertola (7-6(4) 6-1) – See score progression
• Petr BrunclikBrunclik – Mert AlkayaAlkaya (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas – Luka MikrutMikrut (7-6(8) 6-7(3) 6-4) – See score progression
• Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino – Dan AddedAdded (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Arthur GeaGea – Remy BertolaBertola (7-6(4) 6-1) – See score progression
• Petr BrunclikBrunclik – Mert AlkayaAlkaya (7-5 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas – Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino (0-1) – H2H and prediction